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Title: Global Carbon Budget 2017

Abstract

Here an accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere – the global carbon budget – is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe data sets and methodology to quantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties. CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and industry (EFF) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, respectively, while emissions from land-use change (ELUC), mainly deforestation, are based on land-cover change data and bookkeeping models. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its rate of growth (GATM) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The ocean CO2 sink (SOCEAN) and terrestrial CO2 sink (SLAND) are estimated with global process models constrained by observations. The resulting carbon budget imbalance (BIM), the difference between the estimated total emissions and the estimated changes in the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere, is a measure of imperfect data and understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. All uncertainties are reported as ±1σ. For the last decade available (2007–2016), EFF was 9.4 ± 0.5 GtC yr–1, ELUCmore » 1.3 ± 0.7 GtC yr–1, GATM 4.7 ± 0.1 GtC yr–1, SOCEAN 2.4 ± 0.5 GtC yr–1, and SLAND 3.0 ± 0.8 GtC yr–1, with a budget imbalance BIM of 0.6 GtC yr–1 indicating overestimated emissions and/or underestimated sinks. For year 2016 alone, the growth in EFF was approximately zero and emissions remained at 9.9 ±\ 0.5 GtC yr–1. Also for 2016, ELUC was 1.3 ± .7 GtC yr–1, GATM was 6.1 ± 0.2 GtC yr–1, SOCEAN was 2.6 ± 0.5 GtC yr–1, and SLAND was 2.7 ± 1.0 GtC yr–1, with a small BIM of –0.3 GtC. GATM continued to be higher in 2016 compared to the past decade (2007–2016), reflecting in part the high fossil emissions and the small SLAND consistent with El Niño conditions. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 402.8 ± 0.1 ppm averaged over 2016. For 2017, preliminary data for the first 6–9 months indicate a renewed growth in EFF of +2.0 % (range of 0.8 to 3.0 %) based on national emissions projections for China, USA, and India, and projections of gross domestic product (GDP) corrected for recent changes in the carbon intensity of the economy for the rest of the world. This living data update documents changes in the methods and data sets used in this new global carbon budget compared with previous publications of this data set.« less

Authors:
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [2];  [3];  [3];  [4];  [1]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [5];  [6];  [7];  [8]; ORCiD logo [1];  [9]; ORCiD logo [1];  [10];  [11];  [12];  [13]; ORCiD logo [14] more »;  [15];  [14];  [16];  [16];  [17];  [18];  [1]; ORCiD logo [19];  [5];  [20];  [21]; ORCiD logo [15];  [4];  [22]; ORCiD logo [23];  [24]; ORCiD logo [25];  [26];  [27];  [4];  [28];  [29]; ORCiD logo [30];  [31];  [32];  [28];  [33];  [34];  [35]; ORCiD logo [4];  [36];  [36];  [37];  [14];  [11];  [10];  [38]; ORCiD logo [39];  [40];  [41];  [42];  [43];  [42]; ORCiD logo [44]; ORCiD logo [45];  [29];  [46]; ORCiD logo [47];  [48]; ORCiD logo [49]; ORCiD logo [14];  [14]; ORCiD logo [7];  [3];  [50]; ORCiD logo [41]; ORCiD logo [14] « less
  1. Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich (United Kingdom)
  2. CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo (Norway)
  3. Univ. of Exeter, Exeter (United Kingdom)
  4. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg (Germany)
  5. CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Canberra, ACT (Australia)
  6. Stanford Univ., Stanford, CA (United States)
  7. Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
  8. Earth System Research Lab. (NOAA/ESRL), Boulder, CO (United States)
  9. Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, BC (Canada)
  10. Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL (United States); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Lab. (NOAA/AOML), Miami, FL (United States)
  11. Univ. of Bergen, Bergen (Norway); Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen (Norway)
  12. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter (United Kingdom); Univ. of Exeter, Exeter (United Kingdom)
  13. Ecole Normale Superieure, Paris (France)
  14. Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX (France)
  15. Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States)
  16. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA (United States)
  17. National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Dunedin (New Zealand)
  18. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg (Austria)
  19. Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven (Germany)
  20. Woods Hole Research Centre (WHRC), Falmouth, MA (United States)
  21. Univ. of New Hampshire, Durham, NH (United States)
  22. Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL (United States)
  23. Institute of Applied Energy (IAE), Tokyo (Japan)
  24. Karlsruhe Inst. of Technology (KIT) (Germany)
  25. Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA (United States)
  26. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency; The Hague (The Netherlands); Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht (The Netherlands)
  27. GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research, Kiel (Germany)
  28. Sorbonne Univ. (UPMC, Univ. Paris 06), Paris (France)
  29. CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere (Australia); Univ. of Tasmania (Australia)
  30. Univ. of Bern, Bern (Germany)
  31. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), Woods Hole, MA (United States)
  32. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States)
  33. Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL (United States)
  34. CSIR-CHPC, Cape Town (South Africa)
  35. Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO (United States)
  36. National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Ibaraki (Japan)
  37. Instituto de Investigacions Marinas (CSIC), Vigo (Spain)
  38. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), Greenbelt, MD (United States); Montana State Univ., Bozeman, MT (United States)
  39. Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemunde, Rostock (Germany)
  40. Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE (United States)
  41. Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena (Germany)
  42. Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen (Norway)
  43. Centre National de Recherche Meteorologique, Toulouse (France)
  44. CREAF, Catalonia (Spain)
  45. Auburn Univ., Auburn, AL (United States)
  46. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome (Italy)
  47. Wageningen Univ. & Research, Wageningen (The Netherlands)
  48. Vrije Univ. Amsterdam, Amsterdam (The Netherlands)
  49. Univ. of Groningen, Groningen (The Netherlands)
  50. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter (United Kingdom)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
OSTI Identifier:
1437913
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-00OR22725
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Earth System Science Data (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Earth System Science Data (Online); Journal Volume: 10; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher:
Copernicus
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Citation Formats

Le Quere, Corinne, Andrew, Robbie M., Friedlingstein, Pierre, Sitch, Stephen, Pongratz, Julia, Manning, Andrew C., Korsbakken, Jan Ivar, Peters, Glen P., Canadell, Josep G., Jackson, Robert B., Boden, Thomas A., Tans, Pieter P., Andrews, Oliver D., Arora, Vivek K., Bakker, Dorothee C. E., Barbero, Leticia, Becker, Meike, Betts, Richard A., Bopp, Laurent, Chevallier, Frederic, Chini, Louise P., Ciais, Philippe, Cosca, Catherine E., Cross, Jessica, Currie, Kim, Gasser, Thomas, Harris, Ian, Hauck, Judith, Haverd, Vanessa, Houghton, Richard A., Hunt, Christopher W., Hurtt, George, Ilyina, Tatiana, Jain, Atul K., Kato, Etsushi, Kautz, Markus, Keeling, Ralph F., Goldewijk, Kees Klein, Kortzinger, Arne, Landschutzer, Peter, Lefevre, Nathalie, Lenton, Andrew, Lienert, Sebastian, Lima, Ivan, Lombardozzi, Danica, Metzl, Nicolas, Millero, Frank, Monteiro, Pedro M. S., Munro, David R., Nabel, Julia E. M. S., Nakaoka, Shin-ichiro, Nojiri, Yukihiro, Padin, X. Antonio, Peregon, Anna, Pfeil, Benjamin, Pierrot, Denis, Poulter, Benjamin, Rehder, Gregor, Reimer, Janet, Rodenbeck, Christian, Schwinger, Jorg, Seferian, Roland, Skjelvan, Ingunn, Stocker, Benjamin D., Tian, Hanqin, Tilbrook, Bronte, Tubiello, Francesco N., van der Laan-Luijkx, Ingrid T., van der Werf, Guido R., van Heuven, Steven, Viovy, Nicolas, Vuichard, Nicolas, Walker, Anthony P., Watson, Andrew J., Wiltshire, Andrew J., Zaehle, Sonke, and Zhu, Dan. Global Carbon Budget 2017. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.5194/essd-10-405-2018.
Le Quere, Corinne, Andrew, Robbie M., Friedlingstein, Pierre, Sitch, Stephen, Pongratz, Julia, Manning, Andrew C., Korsbakken, Jan Ivar, Peters, Glen P., Canadell, Josep G., Jackson, Robert B., Boden, Thomas A., Tans, Pieter P., Andrews, Oliver D., Arora, Vivek K., Bakker, Dorothee C. E., Barbero, Leticia, Becker, Meike, Betts, Richard A., Bopp, Laurent, Chevallier, Frederic, Chini, Louise P., Ciais, Philippe, Cosca, Catherine E., Cross, Jessica, Currie, Kim, Gasser, Thomas, Harris, Ian, Hauck, Judith, Haverd, Vanessa, Houghton, Richard A., Hunt, Christopher W., Hurtt, George, Ilyina, Tatiana, Jain, Atul K., Kato, Etsushi, Kautz, Markus, Keeling, Ralph F., Goldewijk, Kees Klein, Kortzinger, Arne, Landschutzer, Peter, Lefevre, Nathalie, Lenton, Andrew, Lienert, Sebastian, Lima, Ivan, Lombardozzi, Danica, Metzl, Nicolas, Millero, Frank, Monteiro, Pedro M. S., Munro, David R., Nabel, Julia E. M. S., Nakaoka, Shin-ichiro, Nojiri, Yukihiro, Padin, X. Antonio, Peregon, Anna, Pfeil, Benjamin, Pierrot, Denis, Poulter, Benjamin, Rehder, Gregor, Reimer, Janet, Rodenbeck, Christian, Schwinger, Jorg, Seferian, Roland, Skjelvan, Ingunn, Stocker, Benjamin D., Tian, Hanqin, Tilbrook, Bronte, Tubiello, Francesco N., van der Laan-Luijkx, Ingrid T., van der Werf, Guido R., van Heuven, Steven, Viovy, Nicolas, Vuichard, Nicolas, Walker, Anthony P., Watson, Andrew J., Wiltshire, Andrew J., Zaehle, Sonke, & Zhu, Dan. Global Carbon Budget 2017. United States. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-405-2018
Le Quere, Corinne, Andrew, Robbie M., Friedlingstein, Pierre, Sitch, Stephen, Pongratz, Julia, Manning, Andrew C., Korsbakken, Jan Ivar, Peters, Glen P., Canadell, Josep G., Jackson, Robert B., Boden, Thomas A., Tans, Pieter P., Andrews, Oliver D., Arora, Vivek K., Bakker, Dorothee C. E., Barbero, Leticia, Becker, Meike, Betts, Richard A., Bopp, Laurent, Chevallier, Frederic, Chini, Louise P., Ciais, Philippe, Cosca, Catherine E., Cross, Jessica, Currie, Kim, Gasser, Thomas, Harris, Ian, Hauck, Judith, Haverd, Vanessa, Houghton, Richard A., Hunt, Christopher W., Hurtt, George, Ilyina, Tatiana, Jain, Atul K., Kato, Etsushi, Kautz, Markus, Keeling, Ralph F., Goldewijk, Kees Klein, Kortzinger, Arne, Landschutzer, Peter, Lefevre, Nathalie, Lenton, Andrew, Lienert, Sebastian, Lima, Ivan, Lombardozzi, Danica, Metzl, Nicolas, Millero, Frank, Monteiro, Pedro M. S., Munro, David R., Nabel, Julia E. M. S., Nakaoka, Shin-ichiro, Nojiri, Yukihiro, Padin, X. Antonio, Peregon, Anna, Pfeil, Benjamin, Pierrot, Denis, Poulter, Benjamin, Rehder, Gregor, Reimer, Janet, Rodenbeck, Christian, Schwinger, Jorg, Seferian, Roland, Skjelvan, Ingunn, Stocker, Benjamin D., Tian, Hanqin, Tilbrook, Bronte, Tubiello, Francesco N., van der Laan-Luijkx, Ingrid T., van der Werf, Guido R., van Heuven, Steven, Viovy, Nicolas, Vuichard, Nicolas, Walker, Anthony P., Watson, Andrew J., Wiltshire, Andrew J., Zaehle, Sonke, and Zhu, Dan. Mon . "Global Carbon Budget 2017". United States. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-405-2018. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1437913.
@article{osti_1437913,
title = {Global Carbon Budget 2017},
author = {Le Quere, Corinne and Andrew, Robbie M. and Friedlingstein, Pierre and Sitch, Stephen and Pongratz, Julia and Manning, Andrew C. and Korsbakken, Jan Ivar and Peters, Glen P. and Canadell, Josep G. and Jackson, Robert B. and Boden, Thomas A. and Tans, Pieter P. and Andrews, Oliver D. and Arora, Vivek K. and Bakker, Dorothee C. E. and Barbero, Leticia and Becker, Meike and Betts, Richard A. and Bopp, Laurent and Chevallier, Frederic and Chini, Louise P. and Ciais, Philippe and Cosca, Catherine E. and Cross, Jessica and Currie, Kim and Gasser, Thomas and Harris, Ian and Hauck, Judith and Haverd, Vanessa and Houghton, Richard A. and Hunt, Christopher W. and Hurtt, George and Ilyina, Tatiana and Jain, Atul K. and Kato, Etsushi and Kautz, Markus and Keeling, Ralph F. and Goldewijk, Kees Klein and Kortzinger, Arne and Landschutzer, Peter and Lefevre, Nathalie and Lenton, Andrew and Lienert, Sebastian and Lima, Ivan and Lombardozzi, Danica and Metzl, Nicolas and Millero, Frank and Monteiro, Pedro M. S. and Munro, David R. and Nabel, Julia E. M. S. and Nakaoka, Shin-ichiro and Nojiri, Yukihiro and Padin, X. Antonio and Peregon, Anna and Pfeil, Benjamin and Pierrot, Denis and Poulter, Benjamin and Rehder, Gregor and Reimer, Janet and Rodenbeck, Christian and Schwinger, Jorg and Seferian, Roland and Skjelvan, Ingunn and Stocker, Benjamin D. and Tian, Hanqin and Tilbrook, Bronte and Tubiello, Francesco N. and van der Laan-Luijkx, Ingrid T. and van der Werf, Guido R. and van Heuven, Steven and Viovy, Nicolas and Vuichard, Nicolas and Walker, Anthony P. and Watson, Andrew J. and Wiltshire, Andrew J. and Zaehle, Sonke and Zhu, Dan},
abstractNote = {Here an accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere – the global carbon budget – is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe data sets and methodology to quantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties. CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and industry (EFF) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, respectively, while emissions from land-use change (ELUC), mainly deforestation, are based on land-cover change data and bookkeeping models. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its rate of growth (GATM) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The ocean CO2 sink (SOCEAN) and terrestrial CO2 sink (SLAND) are estimated with global process models constrained by observations. The resulting carbon budget imbalance (BIM), the difference between the estimated total emissions and the estimated changes in the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere, is a measure of imperfect data and understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. All uncertainties are reported as ±1σ. For the last decade available (2007–2016), EFF was 9.4 ± 0.5 GtC yr–1, ELUC 1.3 ± 0.7 GtC yr–1, GATM 4.7 ± 0.1 GtC yr–1, SOCEAN 2.4 ± 0.5 GtC yr–1, and SLAND 3.0 ± 0.8 GtC yr–1, with a budget imbalance BIM of 0.6 GtC yr–1 indicating overestimated emissions and/or underestimated sinks. For year 2016 alone, the growth in EFF was approximately zero and emissions remained at 9.9 ±\ 0.5 GtC yr–1. Also for 2016, ELUC was 1.3 ± .7 GtC yr–1, GATM was 6.1 ± 0.2 GtC yr–1, SOCEAN was 2.6 ± 0.5 GtC yr–1, and SLAND was 2.7 ± 1.0 GtC yr–1, with a small BIM of –0.3 GtC. GATM continued to be higher in 2016 compared to the past decade (2007–2016), reflecting in part the high fossil emissions and the small SLAND consistent with El Niño conditions. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 402.8 ± 0.1 ppm averaged over 2016. For 2017, preliminary data for the first 6–9 months indicate a renewed growth in EFF of +2.0 % (range of 0.8 to 3.0 %) based on national emissions projections for China, USA, and India, and projections of gross domestic product (GDP) corrected for recent changes in the carbon intensity of the economy for the rest of the world. This living data update documents changes in the methods and data sets used in this new global carbon budget compared with previous publications of this data set.},
doi = {10.5194/essd-10-405-2018},
journal = {Earth System Science Data (Online)},
number = 1,
volume = 10,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Mar 12 00:00:00 EDT 2018},
month = {Mon Mar 12 00:00:00 EDT 2018}
}

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EDGAR v4.3.2 Global Atlas of the three major greenhouse gas emissions for the period 1970–2012
journal, January 2019

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Contrasting effects of CO2 fertilization, land-use change and warming on seasonal amplitude of Northern Hemisphere CO2 exchange
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Three decades of simulated global terrestrial carbon fluxes from a data assimilation system confronted with different periods of observations
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Predicting the variable ocean carbon sink
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The response of soil respiration to climatic drivers in undrained forest and drained oil palm plantations in an Indonesian peatland
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Importance of Surface Roughness for the Local Biogeophysical Effects of Deforestation
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High-precision atmospheric oxygen measurement comparisons between a newly built CRDS analyzer and existing measurement techniques
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Proton Conductivity of Composite Polyelectrolyte Membranes with Metal‐Organic Frameworks for Fuel Cell Applications
journal, December 2018

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Influence of high-latitude warming and land-use changes in the early 20th century northern Eurasian CO 2 sink
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Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 degrees C warming
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Ambiguity in the Land Use Component of Mitigation Contributions Toward the Paris Agreement Goals
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Evaluating climate geoengineering proposals in the context of the Paris Agreement temperature goals
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Chesapeake Bay Inorganic Carbon: Spatial Distribution and Seasonal Variability
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LSCE-FFNN-v1: a two-step neural network model for the reconstruction of surface ocean pCO2 over the global ocean
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Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming
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Evidence for large carbon sink and long residence time in semiarid forests based on 15 year flux and inventory records
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Framing the picture of energy consumption in China
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Global change microbiology — big questions about small life for our future
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Constraints on biomass energy deployment in mitigation pathways: the case of water scarcity
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Whole‐plant optimality predicts changes in leaf nitrogen under variable CO 2 and nutrient availability
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What drives the latitudinal gradient in open-ocean surface dissolved inorganic carbon concentration?
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Technical note: A simple theoretical model framework to describe plant stomatal “sluggishness” in response to elevated ozone concentrations
journal, January 2018

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Study of An Innovative Approach of Roof Presplitting for Gob-Side Entry Retaining in Longwall Coal Mining
journal, August 2019

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Autonomous Biogeochemical Floats Detect Significant Carbon Dioxide Outgassing in the High-Latitude Southern Ocean
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Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change
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State of the science in reconciling top‐down and bottom‐up approaches for terrestrial CO 2 budget
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Changes in surface hydrology, soil moisture and gross primary production in the Amazon during the 2015/2016 El Niño
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Global sea-level budget 1993-present
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Understanding the Land Carbon Cycle with Space Data: Current Status and Prospects
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Revisiting IPCC Tier 1 coefficients for soil organic and biomass carbon storage in agroforestry systems
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Effect of interannual precipitation variability on dryland productivity: A global synthesis
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Global atmospheric CO 2 inverse models converging on neutral tropical land exchange, but disagreeing on fossil fuel and atmospheric growth rate
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Increasing carbon footprint of grain crop production in the US Western Corn Belt
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Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy
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Predicting Carbon Accumulation in Temperate Forests of Ontario, Canada Using a LiDAR-Initialized Growth-and-Yield Model
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Decadal trends in the ocean carbon sink
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Large influence of soil moisture on long-term terrestrial carbon uptake
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Trend analysis of the airborne fraction and sink rate of anthropogenically released CO2
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Global carbon dioxide removal rates from forest landscape restoration activities
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A radiative forcing analysis of tropical peatlands before and after their conversion to agricultural plantations
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Role of forest regrowth in global carbon sink dynamics
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Climate Sensitivity From Both Physical and Carbon Cycle Feedbacks
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Improved estimates of global terrestrial photosynthesis using information on leaf chlorophyll content
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Striking divergences in Earth Observation products may limit their use for REDD+
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Reconciling global-model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks
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The sensitivity of the forest carbon budget shifts across processes along with stand development and climate change
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High predictability of terrestrial carbon fluxes from an initialized decadal prediction system
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Global urbanization and food production in direct competition for land: Leverage places to mitigate impacts on SDG2 and on the Earth System
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Atmospheric radiocarbon measurements to quantify CO2 emissions in the UK from 2014 to 2015
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Quantifying the Terrestrial Carbon Feedback to Anthropogenic Carbon Emission
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Implementing land-based mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement in Europe requires food system transformation
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Vegetation distribution and terrestrial carbon cycle in a carbon cycle configuration of JULES4.6 with new plant functional types
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Intercomparison of atmospheric trace gas dispersion models: Barnett Shale case study
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On the Future of Argo: A Global, Full-Depth, Multi-Disciplinary Array
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Earth system models underestimate carbon fixation by plants in the high latitudes
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Trends in tuna carbon isotopes suggest global changes in pelagic phytoplankton communities
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Evaluating the Interplay Between Biophysical Processes and Leaf Area Changes in Land Surface Models
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Sudden emergence of a shallow aragonite saturation horizon in the Southern Ocean
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A new model of the coupled carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus cycles in the terrestrial biosphere (QUINCY v1.0; revision 1996)
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The capacity of northern peatlands for long-term carbon sequestration
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The structure, drivers and policy implications of the European carbon footprint
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Integrated Observations of Global Surface Winds, Currents, and Waves: Requirements and Challenges for the Next Decade
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Tropical forests did not recover from the strong 2015–2016 El Niño event
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Large but decreasing effect of ozone on the European carbon sink
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Seasonal Asymmetry in the Evolution of Surface Ocean p CO 2 and pH Thermodynamic Drivers and the Influence on Sea‐Air CO 2 Flux
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World’s carbon emissions set to spike by 2% in 2017
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Simulating the atmospheric CO2 concentration across the heterogeneous landscape of Denmark using a coupled atmosphere–biosphere mesoscale model system
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Developing allometric models to predict the individual aboveground biomass of shrubs worldwide
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Climate warming and tree carbon use efficiency in a whole‐tree 13 CO 2 tracer study
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Untangling methodological and scale considerations in growth and productivity trend estimates of Canada’s forests
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Non-deforestation drivers of fires are increasingly important sources of aerosol and carbon dioxide emissions across Amazonia
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The climatic drivers of primary Picea forest growth along the Carpathian arc are changing under rising temperatures
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Use of the SAR Shadowing Effect for Deforestation Detection with Sentinel-1 Time Series
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Aspects of Forest Biomass in the Earth System: Its Role and Major Unknowns
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The utility of the historical record for assessing the transient climate response to cumulative emissions
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Maximum carbon uptake rate dominates the interannual variability of global net ecosystem exchange
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Low sensitivity of gross primary production to elevated CO2 in a mature eucalypt woodland
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Linkage between tropical terrestrial carbon cycle and precipitation: The two anomalous years of 1979 and 1996
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Important role of forest disturbances in the global biomass turnover and carbon sinks
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Forest genomics: Advancing climate adaptation, forest health, productivity, and conservation
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Temporal effects of ocean warming and acidification on coral–algal competition
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Global CO2 emissions from cement production, 1928–2017
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Carbonate system distribution, anthropogenic carbon and acidification in the western tropical South Pacific (OUTPACE 2015 transect)
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Vegetation Pattern and Terrestrial Carbon Variation in Past Warm and Cold Climates
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Detection of fossil fuel emission trends in the presence of natural carbon cycle variability
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Simulated Impacts of Soy and Infrastructure Expansion in the Brazilian Amazon: A Maximum Entropy Approach
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The Tropical Atlantic Observing System
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The Global Ocean Ship-Based Hydrographic Investigations Program (GO-SHIP): A Platform for Integrated Multidisciplinary Ocean Science
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Ocean Solutions to Address Climate Change and Its Effects on Marine Ecosystems
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Evaluation of terrestrial pan-Arctic carbon cycling using a data-assimilation system
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Contribution of the land sector to a 1.5 °C world
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Greenhouse Gas Concentration and Volcanic Eruptions Controlled the Variability of Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Over the Last Millennium
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Path-dependent reductions in CO2 emission budgets caused by permafrost carbon release
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Global trends in carbon sinks and their relationships with CO2 and temperature
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Mechanistic reaction pathways of enhanced ethylene yields during electroreduction of CO2–CO co-feeds on Cu and Cu-tandem electrocatalysts
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Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters' Paris‐Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes
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Quantifying the UK's carbon dioxide flux: an atmospheric inverse modelling approach using a regional measurement network
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Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy
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Land carbon models underestimate the severity and duration of drought’s impact on plant productivity
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Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Global Satellite Observations of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide and Methane
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Computation and analysis of atmospheric carbon dioxide annual mean growth rates from satellite observations during 2003–2016
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A Simplified Climate Change Model and Extreme Weather Model Based on a Machine Learning Method
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Evidence for Edge Enhancements of Soil Respiration in Temperate Forests
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Land Surface Cooling Induced by Sulfate Geoengineering Constrained by Major Volcanic Eruptions
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The impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on global photosynthesis using satellite remote sensing
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Vegetation structural change since 1981 significantly enhanced the terrestrial carbon sink
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Six years of ecosystem-atmosphere greenhouse gas fluxes measured in a sub-boreal forest
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Degradation and forgone removals increase the carbon impact of intact forest loss by 626%
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Importance of Surface Roughness for the Local Biogeophysical Effects of Deforestation
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A spatial assessment of the forest carbon budget for Ukraine
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Evolving paradigms in biological carbon cycling in the ocean
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Crowd oil not crude oil
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Largely underestimated carbon emission from land use and land cover change in the conterminous United States
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Hydro-Geochemistry of the River Water in the Jiulongjiang River Basin, Southeast China: Implications of Anthropogenic Inputs and Chemical Weathering
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The race to remove CO2 needs more contestants
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Comparative assessment of net CO2 exchange across an urbanization gradient in Korea based on eddy covariance measurements
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Global energy growth is outpacing decarbonization
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The influence of rising tropospheric carbon dioxide and ozone on plant productivity
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Effect of land‐use and land‐cover change on mangrove blue carbon: A systematic review
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Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies
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Arctic Amplification Response to Individual Climate Drivers
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Field-experiment constraints on the enhancement of the terrestrial carbon sink by CO2 fertilization
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Multimodel Analysis of Future Land Use and Climate Change Impacts on Ecosystem Functioning
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Impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on the terrestrial carbon cycle constrained by bottom-up and top-down approaches
journal, October 2018

  • Bastos, Ana; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Sitch, Stephen
  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol. 373, Issue 1760
  • DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0304

Environmental Controls on the Riverine Export of Dissolved Black Carbon
journal, July 2019

  • Jones, Matthew W.; Aragão, Luiz E. O. C.; Dittmar, Thorsten
  • Global Biogeochemical Cycles
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018gb006140

A radiative forcing analysis of tropical peatlands before and after their conversion to agricultural plantations
journal, August 2018

  • Dommain, René; Frolking, Steve; Jeltsch-Thömmes, Aurich
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 24, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14400

A successful prediction of the record CO 2 rise associated with the 2015/2016 El Niño
journal, October 2018

  • Betts, Richard A.; Jones, Chris D.; Knight, Jeff. R.
  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol. 373, Issue 1760
  • DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0301

A global monthly climatology of total alkalinity: a neural network approach
journal, January 2019


Current and Future Decadal Trends in the Oceanic Carbon Uptake Are Dominated by Internal Variability
journal, January 2018

  • Li, Hongmei; Ilyina, Tatiana
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1002/2017gl075370

Simulating growth-based harvest adaptive to future climate change
journal, January 2019

  • Yousefpour, Rasoul; Nabel, Julia E. M. S.; Pongratz, Julia
  • Biogeosciences, Vol. 16, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/bg-16-241-2019

Tropical Pacific Observing System
journal, February 2019

  • Smith, Neville; Kessler, William S.; Cravatte, Sophie
  • Frontiers in Marine Science, Vol. 6
  • DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00031

Copernicus Marine Service Ocean State Report
journal, August 2018

  • von Schuckmann, Karina; Le Traon, Pierre-Yves; Smith, Neville
  • Journal of Operational Oceanography, Vol. 11, Issue sup1
  • DOI: 10.1080/1755876x.2018.1489208

Projecting consequences of global warming for the functional diversity of fleshy‐fruited plants and frugivorous birds along a tropical elevational gradient
journal, June 2019

  • Nowak, Larissa; Kissling, W. Daniel; Bender, Irene M. A.
  • Diversity and Distributions, Vol. 25, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12946

Sugarcane straw management for bioenergy: effects of global warming on greenhouse gas emissions and soil carbon storage
journal, July 2019

  • Popin, Gustavo V.; Santos, Arthur K. B.; Oliveira, Thiago de P.
  • Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change
  • DOI: 10.1007/s11027-019-09880-7

Path-dependent reductions in CO2 emission budgets caused by permafrost carbon release
text, January 2018

  • Gasser, T.; Kechiar, M.; Ciais, P.
  • Nature Publishing Group
  • DOI: 10.48350/155695

Australian vegetated coastal ecosystems as global hotspots for climate change mitigation
journal, October 2019

  • Serrano, Oscar; Lovelock, Catherine E.; B. Atwood, Trisha
  • Nature Communications, Vol. 10, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-12176-8

Global Carbon Budget 2018
text, January 2018

  • Le Quéré, Corinne; Andrew, Robbie M.; Friedlingstein, Pierre
  • Copernicus Publications
  • DOI: 10.7892/boris.141541

On the need to consider wood formation processes in global vegetation models and a suggested approach
journal, April 2019

  • Friend, Andrew D.; Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H.; Fonti, Patrick
  • Annals of Forest Science, Vol. 76, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1007/s13595-019-0819-x

Sensitivity of atmospheric CO2 growth rate to observed changes in terrestrial water storage
journal, August 2018


Estimation of Terrestrial Global Gross Primary Production (GPP) with Satellite Data-Driven Models and Eddy Covariance Flux Data
journal, August 2018

  • Joiner, Joanna; Yoshida, Yasuko; Zhang, Yao
  • Remote Sensing, Vol. 10, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.3390/rs10091346

An inter-model assessment of the role of direct air capture in deep mitigation pathways
journal, July 2019


Comparison of Regional Simulation of Biospheric CO2 Flux from the Updated Version of CarbonTracker Asia with FLUXCOM and Other Inversions over Asia
journal, January 2020

  • Kenea, Samuel Takele; Labzovskii, Lev D.; Goo, Tae-Young
  • Remote Sensing, Vol. 12, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.3390/rs12010145

Reconciling Observation and Model Trends in North Atlantic Surface CO 2
journal, October 2019

  • Lebehot, Alice D.; Halloran, Paul R.; Watson, Andrew J.
  • Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 33, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006186

SURATLANT: a 1993–2017 surface sampling in the central part of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre
journal, January 2018

  • Reverdin, Gilles; Metzl, Nicolas; Olafsdottir, Solveig
  • Earth System Science Data, Vol. 10, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.5194/essd-10-1901-2018

CO 2 enrichment and soil type additively regulate grassland productivity
journal, November 2018

  • Polley, H. Wayne; Aspinwall, Michael J.; Collins, Harold P.
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 222, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.15562

Simulating the effect of tillage practices with the global ecosystem model LPJmL (version 5.0-tillage)
journal, January 2019

  • Lutz, Femke; Herzfeld, Tobias; Heinke, Jens
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-2419-2019

Methane removal and atmospheric restoration
journal, May 2019


Global warming will happen faster than we think
journal, December 2018


Quantifying the effect of forest age in annual net forest carbon balance
text, January 2018


From Understanding to Sustainable Use of Peatlands: The WETSCAPES Approach
journal, March 2020


Household Preferences to Reduce Their Greenhouse Gas Footprint: A Comparative Study from Four European Cities
journal, November 2018

  • Sköld, Bore; Baltruszewicz, Marta; Aall, Carlo
  • Sustainability, Vol. 10, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.3390/su10114044

Gas exchange and water‐use efficiency in plant canopies
journal, December 2018


Global Carbon Budget 2019
text, January 2019

  • Friedlingstein, Pierre; Jones, Matthew W.; Michael, O&Apos;Sullivan,
  • Copernicus Publications
  • DOI: 10.7892/boris.141543

Understanding the value and limits of nature-based solutions to climate change and other global challenges
journal, January 2020

  • Seddon, Nathalie; Chausson, Alexandre; Berry, Pam
  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol. 375, Issue 1794
  • DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0120

On the Time Evolution of Climate Sensitivity and Future Warming
journal, September 2018


The CO2 emission changes in China’s transportation sector during 1992–2015: a structural decomposition analysis
journal, January 2020

  • Lian, Lian; Lin, Jingyan; Yao, Ronghan
  • Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Vol. 27, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1007/s11356-019-07094-7

A segmentation algorithm for characterizing rise and fall segments in seasonal cycles: an application to XCO 2 to estimate benchmarks and assess model bias
journal, January 2019

  • Calle, Leonardo; Poulter, Benjamin; Patra, Prabir K.
  • Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol. 12, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.5194/amt-12-2611-2019

The oceanic sink for anthropogenic CO 2 from 1994 to 2007
journal, March 2019


Modelling carbon sources and sinks in terrestrial vegetation
journal, September 2018

  • Fatichi, Simone; Pappas, Christoforos; Zscheischler, Jakob
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 221, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.15451

El Niño‐Southern Oscillation‐Induced Variability of Terrestrial Gross Primary Production During the Satellite Era
journal, August 2019

  • Zhang, Yulong; Dannenberg, Matthew P.; Hwang, Taehee
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Vol. 124, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1029/2019jg005117

On the need to consider wood formation processes in global vegetation models and a suggested approach
text, January 2019

  • Friend, Andrew; Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie; Fonti, Patrick
  • Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
  • DOI: 10.17863/cam.38169

Effects of 21st‐century climate, land use, and disturbances on ecosystem carbon balance in California
journal, June 2019

  • Sleeter, Benjamin M.; Marvin, David C.; Cameron, D. Richard
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 25, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14677

Ground Data are Essential for Biomass Remote Sensing Missions
journal, April 2019


Intact Forests in the United States: Proforestation Mitigates Climate Change and Serves the Greatest Good
journal, June 2019

  • Moomaw, William R.; Masino, Susan A.; Faison, Edward K.
  • Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, Vol. 2
  • DOI: 10.3389/ffgc.2019.00027

Enhanced global primary production by biogenic aerosol via diffuse radiation fertilization
journal, August 2018


Global CO2 emissions from cement production, 1928–2018
journal, January 2019


Animals and the zoogeochemistry of the carbon cycle
journal, December 2018

  • Schmitz, Oswald J.; Wilmers, Christopher C.; Leroux, Shawn J.
  • Science, Vol. 362, Issue 6419
  • DOI: 10.1126/science.aar3213

Disentangling Climate and Disturbance Effects on Regional Vegetation Greening Trends
journal, November 2018


The Hestia fossil fuel CO2 emissions data product for the Los Angeles megacity (Hestia-LA)
journal, January 2019

  • Gurney, Kevin R.; Patarasuk, Risa; Liang, Jianming
  • Earth System Science Data, Vol. 11, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/essd-11-1309-2019

A review of the major drivers of the terrestrial carbon uptake: model-based assessments, consensus, and uncertainties
journal, September 2019

  • Tharammal, Thejna; Bala, Govindasamy; Devaraju, Narayanappa
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 14, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab3012

Evaluating the Interplay Between Biophysical Processes and Leaf Area Changes in Land Surface Models
journal, May 2018

  • Forzieri, Giovanni; Duveiller, Gregory; Georgievski, Goran
  • Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 10, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1002/2018ms001284

The sensitivity of the forest carbon budget shifts across processes along with stand development and climate change
journal, January 2019

  • Collalti, Alessio; Thornton, Peter E.; Cescatti, Alessandro
  • Ecological Applications, Vol. 29, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1002/eap.1837

Induction approach via P-Graph to rank clean technologies
journal, January 2020


Greenhouse Gas Concentration and Volcanic Eruptions Controlled the Variability of Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Over the Last Millennium
journal, June 2019

  • Zhang, Xuanze; Peng, Shushi; Ciais, Philippe
  • Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 11, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001566

Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming
journal, January 2019


Biophysical feedback of global forest fires on surface temperature
journal, January 2019


Earth system models underestimate carbon fixation by plants in the high latitudes
journal, February 2019

  • Winkler, Alexander J.; Myneni, Ranga B.; Alexandrov, Georgii A.
  • Nature Communications, Vol. 10, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-08633-z

Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps
journal, March 2019


Crowd oil not crude oil
journal, April 2019


An inter-model assessment of the role of direct air capture in deep mitigation pathways
journal, July 2019


Australian vegetated coastal ecosystems as global hotspots for climate change mitigation
journal, October 2019

  • Serrano, Oscar; Lovelock, Catherine E.; B. Atwood, Trisha
  • Nature Communications, Vol. 10, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-12176-8

Vegetation structural change since 1981 significantly enhanced the terrestrial carbon sink
journal, September 2019


Important role of forest disturbances in the global biomass turnover and carbon sinks
journal, August 2019


Six years of ecosystem-atmosphere greenhouse gas fluxes measured in a sub-boreal forest
journal, July 2019

  • Richardson, Andrew D.; Hollinger, David Y.; Shoemaker, Julie K.
  • Scientific Data, Vol. 6, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41597-019-0119-1

Land carbon models underestimate the severity and duration of drought’s impact on plant productivity
journal, February 2019

  • Kolus, Hannah R.; Huntzinger, Deborah N.; Schwalm, Christopher R.
  • Scientific Reports, Vol. 9, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-39373-1

Changes in surface hydrology, soil moisture and gross primary production in the Amazon during the 2015/2016 El Niño
journal, October 2018

  • van Schaik, Erik; Killaars, Lars; Smith, Naomi E.
  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol. 373, Issue 1760
  • DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0084

Effects of 21st‐century climate, land use, and disturbances on ecosystem carbon balance in California
journal, June 2019

  • Sleeter, Benjamin M.; Marvin, David C.; Cameron, D. Richard
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 25, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14677

Characteristics of free air carbon dioxide enrichment of a northern temperate mature forest
journal, September 2019

  • Hart, Kris M.; Curioni, Giulio; Blaen, Phillip
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 26, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14786

The influence of rising tropospheric carbon dioxide and ozone on plant productivity
journal, March 2019


Predicting the variable ocean carbon sink
journal, April 2019


Degradation and forgone removals increase the carbon impact of intact forest loss by 626%
journal, October 2019

  • Maxwell, Sean L.; Evans, Tom; Watson, James E. M.
  • Science Advances, Vol. 5, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aax2546

Global carbon dioxide removal rates from forest landscape restoration activities
journal, November 2018

  • Bernal, Blanca; Murray, Lara T.; Pearson, Timothy R. H.
  • Carbon Balance and Management, Vol. 13, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1186/s13021-018-0110-8

Hydro-Geochemistry of the River Water in the Jiulongjiang River Basin, Southeast China: Implications of Anthropogenic Inputs and Chemical Weathering
journal, February 2019

  • Li, Xiaoqiang; Han, Guilin; Liu, Man
  • International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol. 16, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16030440