DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region: Modeled Productivity in Permafrost Regions

Abstract

Realistic projection of future climate-carbon (C) cycle feedbacks requires better understanding and an improved representation of the C cycle in permafrost regions in the current generation of Earth system models. Here we evaluated 10 terrestrial ecosystem models for their estimates of net primary productivity (NPP) and responses to historical climate change in permafrost regions in the Northern Hemisphere. In comparison with the satellite estimate from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS; 246 ± 6 g C m-2yr-1), most models produced higher NPP (309 ± 12 g C m-2yr-1) over the permafrost region during 2000–2009. By comparing the simulated gross primary productivity (GPP) with a flux tower-based database, we found that although mean GPP among the models was only overestimated by 10% over 1982–2009, there was a twofold discrepancy among models (380 to 800 g C m-2yr-1), which mainly resulted from differences in simulated maximum monthly GPP (GPPmax). Most models overestimated C use efficiency (CUE) as compared to observations at both regional and site levels. Further analysis shows that model variability of GPP and CUE are nonlinearly correlated to variability in specific leaf area and the maximum rate of carboxylation by the enzyme Rubisco at 25°C (Vcmax_25), respectively. The models alsomore » varied in their sensitivities of NPP, GPP, and CUE to historical changes in climate and atmospheric CO2 concentration. These results indicate that model predictive ability of the C cycle in permafrost regions can be improved by better representation of the processes controlling CUE and GPPmax as well as their sensitivity to climate change.« less

Authors:
 [1]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [3];  [4]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [6]; ORCiD logo [7]; ORCiD logo [8]; ORCiD logo [9]; ORCiD logo [10]; ORCiD logo [11]; ORCiD logo [12];  [13]; ORCiD logo [7]; ORCiD logo [6];  [14];  [7];  [15];  [12]; ORCiD logo [16] more »;  [1]; ORCiD logo [17]; ORCiD logo [18];  [6];  [19]; ORCiD logo [17];  [19]; ORCiD logo [20];  [21];  [1]; ORCiD logo [21];  [21];  [17]; ORCiD logo [22] « less
  1. East China Normal Univ. (ECNU), Shanghai (China). Research Center for Global Change and Ecological Forecasting and Tiantong National Field Observation Station for Forest Ecosystem, School of Ecological and Environmental Sciences
  2. Univ. of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK (United States). US Geological Survey, Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit
  3. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States)
  4. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter (United Kingdom)
  5. Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Environmental Sciences Division
  6. Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States). Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering
  7. Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques (CNRM), Toulouse (France)
  8. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  9. Univ. of Victoria, BC (Canada). School of Earth and Ocean Sciences
  10. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), Gif-sur-Yvette (France); Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Grenoble (France). Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l'Environnement (LGGE); Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble (France). Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l'Environnement (LGGE)
  11. Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing (China). College of Global Change and Earth System Science; Alfred Wegener Inst. Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam (Germany)
  12. Japan Agency for Marine-Earth, Yokohama (Japan). Dept. of Integrated Climate Change Projection Research
  13. Univ. of Copenhagen (Denmark). Center for Permafrost (CENPERM), Dept. of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management
  14. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), Gif-sur-Yvette (France)
  15. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Grenoble (France). Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l'Environnement (LGGE); Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble (France). Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l'Environnement (LGGE); Irstea, Villeurbanne (France)
  16. Univ. of Maine, Orono, ME (United States). School of Forest Resources
  17. Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing (China). College of Global Change and Earth System Science
  18. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Grenoble (France). Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l'Environnement (LGGE); Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble (France). Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l'Environnement (LGGE)
  19. Lund Univ. (Sweden). Dept. of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science
  20. National Inst. of Polar Research, Tachikawa (Japan); Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama (Japan)
  21. Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK (United States). Dept. of Microbiology and Plant Biology
  22. Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK (United States). Dept. of Microbiology and Plant Biology; Tsinghua Univ., Beijing (China). Dept. for Earth System Science
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
National Science Foundation (NSF); European Union (EU); USDOE Office of Science (SC)
OSTI Identifier:
1394452
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1402146; OSTI ID: 1476459
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-00OR22725; SC0008270; SC0014085; SC00114085; EF 1137293; OIA-1301789; AC02-05CH11231
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Biogeosciences
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 122; Journal Issue: 2; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-8953
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; arctic; carbon use efficiency; climate warming; CO2 elevation; high latitudes; model intercomparison

Citation Formats

Xia, Jianyang, McGuire, A. David, Lawrence, David, Burke, Eleanor, Chen, Guangsheng, Chen, Xiaodong, Delire, Christine, Koven, Charles, MacDougall, Andrew, Peng, Shushi, Rinke, Annette, Saito, Kazuyuki, Zhang, Wenxin, Alkama, Ramdane, Bohn, Theodore J., Ciais, Philippe, Decharme, Bertrand, Gouttevin, Isabelle, Hajima, Tomohiro, Hayes, Daniel J., Huang, Kun, Ji, Duoying, Krinner, Gerhard, Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Miller, Paul A., Moore, John C., Smith, Benjamin, Sueyoshi, Tetsuo, Shi, Zheng, Yan, Liming, Liang, Junyi, Jiang, Lifen, Zhang, Qian, and Luo, Yiqi. Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region: Modeled Productivity in Permafrost Regions. United States: N. p., 2017. Web. doi:10.1002/2016JG003384.
Xia, Jianyang, McGuire, A. David, Lawrence, David, Burke, Eleanor, Chen, Guangsheng, Chen, Xiaodong, Delire, Christine, Koven, Charles, MacDougall, Andrew, Peng, Shushi, Rinke, Annette, Saito, Kazuyuki, Zhang, Wenxin, Alkama, Ramdane, Bohn, Theodore J., Ciais, Philippe, Decharme, Bertrand, Gouttevin, Isabelle, Hajima, Tomohiro, Hayes, Daniel J., Huang, Kun, Ji, Duoying, Krinner, Gerhard, Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Miller, Paul A., Moore, John C., Smith, Benjamin, Sueyoshi, Tetsuo, Shi, Zheng, Yan, Liming, Liang, Junyi, Jiang, Lifen, Zhang, Qian, & Luo, Yiqi. Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region: Modeled Productivity in Permafrost Regions. United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JG003384
Xia, Jianyang, McGuire, A. David, Lawrence, David, Burke, Eleanor, Chen, Guangsheng, Chen, Xiaodong, Delire, Christine, Koven, Charles, MacDougall, Andrew, Peng, Shushi, Rinke, Annette, Saito, Kazuyuki, Zhang, Wenxin, Alkama, Ramdane, Bohn, Theodore J., Ciais, Philippe, Decharme, Bertrand, Gouttevin, Isabelle, Hajima, Tomohiro, Hayes, Daniel J., Huang, Kun, Ji, Duoying, Krinner, Gerhard, Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Miller, Paul A., Moore, John C., Smith, Benjamin, Sueyoshi, Tetsuo, Shi, Zheng, Yan, Liming, Liang, Junyi, Jiang, Lifen, Zhang, Qian, and Luo, Yiqi. Thu . "Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region: Modeled Productivity in Permafrost Regions". United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JG003384. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1394452.
@article{osti_1394452,
title = {Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region: Modeled Productivity in Permafrost Regions},
author = {Xia, Jianyang and McGuire, A. David and Lawrence, David and Burke, Eleanor and Chen, Guangsheng and Chen, Xiaodong and Delire, Christine and Koven, Charles and MacDougall, Andrew and Peng, Shushi and Rinke, Annette and Saito, Kazuyuki and Zhang, Wenxin and Alkama, Ramdane and Bohn, Theodore J. and Ciais, Philippe and Decharme, Bertrand and Gouttevin, Isabelle and Hajima, Tomohiro and Hayes, Daniel J. and Huang, Kun and Ji, Duoying and Krinner, Gerhard and Lettenmaier, Dennis P. and Miller, Paul A. and Moore, John C. and Smith, Benjamin and Sueyoshi, Tetsuo and Shi, Zheng and Yan, Liming and Liang, Junyi and Jiang, Lifen and Zhang, Qian and Luo, Yiqi},
abstractNote = {Realistic projection of future climate-carbon (C) cycle feedbacks requires better understanding and an improved representation of the C cycle in permafrost regions in the current generation of Earth system models. Here we evaluated 10 terrestrial ecosystem models for their estimates of net primary productivity (NPP) and responses to historical climate change in permafrost regions in the Northern Hemisphere. In comparison with the satellite estimate from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS; 246 ± 6 g C m-2yr-1), most models produced higher NPP (309 ± 12 g C m-2yr-1) over the permafrost region during 2000–2009. By comparing the simulated gross primary productivity (GPP) with a flux tower-based database, we found that although mean GPP among the models was only overestimated by 10% over 1982–2009, there was a twofold discrepancy among models (380 to 800 g C m-2yr-1), which mainly resulted from differences in simulated maximum monthly GPP (GPPmax). Most models overestimated C use efficiency (CUE) as compared to observations at both regional and site levels. Further analysis shows that model variability of GPP and CUE are nonlinearly correlated to variability in specific leaf area and the maximum rate of carboxylation by the enzyme Rubisco at 25°C (Vcmax_25), respectively. The models also varied in their sensitivities of NPP, GPP, and CUE to historical changes in climate and atmospheric CO2 concentration. These results indicate that model predictive ability of the C cycle in permafrost regions can be improved by better representation of the processes controlling CUE and GPPmax as well as their sensitivity to climate change.},
doi = {10.1002/2016JG003384},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research. Biogeosciences},
number = 2,
volume = 122,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Jan 26 00:00:00 EST 2017},
month = {Thu Jan 26 00:00:00 EST 2017}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record

Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 42 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

The responses of alpine grassland to four seasons of CO2 enrichment: a synthesis
journal, January 1997


Permafrost carbon−climate feedback is sensitive to deep soil carbon decomposability but not deep soil nitrogen dynamics
journal, March 2015

  • Koven, Charles D.; Lawrence, David M.; Riley, William J.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1415123112

Responses of Arctic Tundra to Experimental and Observed Changes in Climate
journal, April 1995

  • Chapin, F. Stuart; Shaver, Gaius R.; Giblin, Anne E.
  • Ecology, Vol. 76, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.2307/1939337

Allocation of gross primary production in forest ecosystems: allometric constraints and environmental responses
journal, July 2013

  • Chen, Guangshui; Yang, Yusheng; Robinson, David
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 200, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.12426

Steeper declines in forest photosynthesis than respiration explain age-driven decreases in forest growth
journal, June 2014

  • Tang, J.; Luyssaert, S.; Richardson, A. D.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 111, Issue 24
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1320761111

Benchmarking the seasonal cycle of CO 2 fluxes simulated by terrestrial ecosystem models : Seasonal cycle of CO2 fluxes
journal, January 2015

  • Peng, Shushi; Ciais, Philippe; Chevallier, Frédéric
  • Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 29, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1002/2014GB004931

Influence of spring and autumn phenological transitions on forest ecosystem productivity
journal, October 2010

  • Richardson, Andrew D.; Andy Black, T.; Ciais, Philippe
  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol. 365, Issue 1555
  • DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2010.0102

Global patterns of the responses of leaf-level photosynthesis and respiration in terrestrial plants to experimental warming
journal, February 2013

  • Liang, Junyi; Xia, Jianyang; Liu, Lingli
  • Journal of Plant Ecology, Vol. 6, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1093/jpe/rtt003

Evaluation of the carbon cycle components in the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM)
journal, January 2013

  • Tjiputra, J. F.; Roelandt, C.; Bentsen, M.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 6, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-6-301-2013

Methane emissions from western Siberian wetlands: heterogeneity and sensitivity to climate change
journal, October 2007


Terrestrial Gross Carbon Dioxide Uptake: Global Distribution and Covariation with Climate
journal, July 2010


Terrestrial Carbon Cycle: Climate Relations in Eight CMIP5 Earth System Models
journal, November 2013


Nitrogen limitation on land and in the sea: How can it occur?
journal, January 1991

  • Vitousek, PeterM.; Howarth, RobertW.
  • Biogeochemistry, Vol. 13, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1007/BF00002772

Leaf phosphorus influences the photosynthesis–nitrogen relation: a cross-biome analysis of 314 species
journal, February 2009


Variations in net primary productivity and its relationships with warming climate in the permafrost zone of the Tibetan Plateau
journal, June 2015


Creation of the WATCH Forcing Data and Its Use to Assess Global and Regional Reference Crop Evaporation over Land during the Twentieth Century
journal, October 2011

  • Weedon, G. P.; Gomes, S.; Viterbo, P.
  • Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 12, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1175/2011JHM1369.1

Nutrient availability as the key regulator of global forest carbon balance
journal, April 2014

  • Fernández-Martínez, M.; Vicca, S.; Janssens, I. A.
  • Nature Climate Change, Vol. 4, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2177

Spring hydrology determines summer net carbon uptake in northern ecosystems
journal, May 2014


Global evaluation of MTCLIM and related algorithms for forcing of ecological and hydrological models
journal, July 2013


Terrestrial biosphere model performance for inter-annual variability of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange
journal, March 2012


No growth stimulation by CO 2 enrichment in alpine glacier forefield plants
journal, November 2011


Carbon allocation in forest ecosystems
journal, October 2007


Model-data synthesis for the next generation of forest free-air CO 2 enrichment (FACE) experiments
journal, August 2015

  • Norby, Richard J.; De Kauwe, Martin G.; Domingues, Tomas F.
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 209, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.13593

Biomass production efficiency controlled by management in temperate and boreal ecosystems
journal, October 2015

  • Campioli, M.; Vicca, S.; Luyssaert, S.
  • Nature Geoscience, Vol. 8, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2553

Trends in seedling growth and carbon-use efficiency vary among broadleaf tree species along a latitudinal transect in eastern North America
journal, January 2014

  • Dillaway, Dylan N.; Kruger, Eric L.
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 20, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12427

Observing terrestrial ecosystems and the carbon cycle from space
journal, February 2015

  • Schimel, David; Pavlick, Ryan; Fisher, Joshua B.
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 21, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12822

Determining Relative Contributions of Vegetation and Topography to Burn Severity from LANDSAT Imagery
journal, July 2013


Simulated resilience of tropical rainforests to CO2-induced climate change
journal, March 2013

  • Huntingford, Chris; Zelazowski, Przemyslaw; Galbraith, David
  • Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1038/ngeo1741

Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models for their response to climate variability and to CO 2 trends
journal, April 2013

  • Piao, Shilong; Sitch, Stephen; Ciais, Philippe
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 19, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12187

Uncertainty of Concentration–Terrestrial Carbon Feedback in Earth System Models
journal, May 2014


Equilibrium responses of global net primary production and carbon storage to doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide: Sensitivity to changes in vegetation nitrogen concentration
journal, June 1997

  • McGuire, A. David; Melillo, Jerry M.; Kicklighter, David W.
  • Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 11, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1029/97GB00059

Carbon–Concentration and Carbon–Climate Feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth System Models
journal, August 2013

  • Arora, Vivek K.; Boer, George J.; Friedlingstein, Pierre
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00494.1

Thermal optimality of net ecosystem exchange of carbon dioxide and underlying mechanisms
journal, March 2012


Causes of variation in soil carbon simulations from CMIP5 Earth system models and comparison with observations
journal, January 2013

  • Todd-Brown, K. E. O.; Randerson, J. T.; Post, W. M.
  • Biogeosciences, Vol. 10, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/bg-10-1717-2013

Satellite-based model detection of recent climate-driven changes in northern high-latitude vegetation productivity
journal, January 2008

  • Zhang, Ke; Kimball, John S.; Hogg, E. H.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113, Issue G3
  • DOI: 10.1029/2007JG000621

Is the northern high-latitude land-based CO 2 sink weakening? : THE HIGH-LATITUDE CO
journal, August 2011

  • Hayes, D. J.; McGuire, A. D.; Kicklighter, D. W.
  • Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 25, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1029/2010GB003813

CO2 enhancement of forest productivity constrained by limited nitrogen availability
journal, October 2010

  • Norby, R. J.; Warren, J. M.; Iversen, C. M.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 107, Issue 45
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1006463107

Effects of CO 2 enrichment and nutrition on growth, photosynthesis, and nutrient concentration of Alaskan tundra plant species
journal, December 1986

  • Oberbauer, Steven F.; Sionit, Nasser; Hastings, Steven J.
  • Canadian Journal of Botany, Vol. 64, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1139/b86-396

Modeling the large-scale effects of surface moisture heterogeneity on wetland carbon fluxes in the West Siberian Lowland
journal, January 2013


The Role of Nitrogen in the Response of Forest Net Primary Production to Elevated Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
journal, November 1995


Carbon balance in tussock tundra under ambient and elevated atmospheric CO2
journal, July 1990

  • Grulke, N. E.; Riechers, G. H.; Oechel, W. C.
  • Oecologia, Vol. 83, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1007/BF00317199

Progressive Nitrogen Limitation of Ecosystem Responses to Rising Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
journal, January 2004


Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations - the CRU TS3.10 Dataset: UPDATED HIGH-RESOLUTION GRIDS OF MONTHLY CLIMATIC OBSERVATIONS
journal, May 2013

  • Harris, I.; Jones, P. D.; Osborn, T. J.
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 34, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.3711

Ability of the land surface model ISBA-A-gs to simulate leaf area index at the global scale: Comparison with satellites products
journal, January 2006

  • Gibelin, Anne-Laure; Calvet, Jean-Christophe; Roujean, Jean-Louis
  • Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 111, Issue D18
  • DOI: 10.1029/2005JD006691

Terrestrial biosphere models need better representation of vegetation phenology: results from the North American Carbon Program Site Synthesis
journal, November 2011


Increased plant productivity in Alaskan tundra as a result of experimental warming of soil and permafrost: Increased plant productivity in Alaskan tundra
journal, November 2011


MIROC-ESM 2010: model description and basic results of CMIP5-20c3m experiments
journal, January 2011

  • Watanabe, S.; Hajima, T.; Sudo, K.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 4, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-4-845-2011

Forest carbon use efficiency: is respiration a constant fraction of gross primary production?
journal, June 2007


Respiratory flexibility and efficiency are affected by simulated global change in Arctic plants
journal, December 2012

  • Kornfeld, Ari; Heskel, Mary; Atkin, Owen K.
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 197, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.12083

Quantifying photosynthetic capacity and its relationship to leaf nitrogen content for global-scale terrestrial biosphere models
journal, April 2009


PROGRESSIVE NITROGEN LIMITATION OF ECOSYSTEM PROCESSES UNDER ELEVATED CO 2 IN A WARM-TEMPERATE FOREST
journal, January 2006

  • Finzi, Adrien C.; Moore, David J. P.; DeLucia, Evan H.
  • Ecology, Vol. 87, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1890/04-1748

Vulnerability of Permafrost Carbon to Climate Change: Implications for the Global Carbon Cycle
journal, September 2008

  • Schuur, Edward A. G.; Bockheim, James; Canadell, Josep G.
  • BioScience, Vol. 58, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1641/B580807

Recent Declines in Warming and Vegetation Greening Trends over Pan-Arctic Tundra
journal, August 2013

  • Bhatt, Uma; Walker, Donald; Raynolds, Martha
  • Remote Sensing, Vol. 5, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.3390/rs5094229

Spatiotemporal variations of nitrogen isotopic records in the Arabian Sea
journal, January 2015

  • Kao, S. -J.; Wang, B. -Y.; Zheng, L. -W.
  • Biogeosciences, Vol. 12, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.5194/bg-12-1-2015

Carbon limitation in trees
journal, February 2003


Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback
journal, April 2015

  • Schuur, E. A. G.; McGuire, A. D.; Schädel, C.
  • Nature, Vol. 520, Issue 7546
  • DOI: 10.1038/nature14338

Climate-driven global changes in carbon use efficiency: Global carbon use efficiency dynamics
journal, June 2013

  • Zhang, Yangjian; Yu, Guirui; Yang, Jian
  • Global Ecology and Biogeography, Vol. 23, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1111/geb.12086

The Common Land Model
journal, August 2003

  • Dai, Yongjiu; Zeng, Xubin; Dickinson, Robert E.
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 84, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-84-8-1013

Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): overview and key results
journal, April 1999


Correlations among leaf traits provide a significant constraint on the estimate of global gross primary production: CORRELATIONS OF LEAF TRAITS ON GPP
journal, October 2012

  • Wang, Y. P.; Lu, X. J.; Wright, I. J.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 39, Issue 19
  • DOI: 10.1029/2012GL053461

SEIB–DGVM: A new Dynamic Global Vegetation Model using a spatially explicit individual-based approach
journal, January 2007


The effects of climate, permafrost and fire on vegetation change in Siberia in a changing climate
journal, October 2009


Photosynthetic overcompensation under nocturnal warming enhances grassland carbon sequestration
journal, October 2009

  • Wan, Shiqiang; Xia, Jianyang; Liu, Weixing
  • Ecology, Vol. 90, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1890/08-2026.1

A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system: DVGM FOR COUPLED CLIMATE STUDIES
journal, February 2005

  • Krinner, G.; Viovy, Nicolas; de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie
  • Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 19, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1029/2003GB002199

Altitude and temperature dependence of change in the spring vegetation green-up date from 1982 to 2006 in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau
journal, December 2011


Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003
journal, September 2005


The Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), model description – Part 2: Carbon fluxes and vegetation dynamics
journal, January 2011

  • Clark, D. B.; Mercado, L. M.; Sitch, S.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 4, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-4-701-2011

Satellite based estimates underestimate the effect of CO2 fertilization on net primary productivity
journal, September 2016

  • De Kauwe, Martin G.; Keenan, Trevor F.; Medlyn, Belinda E.
  • Nature Climate Change, Vol. 6, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3105

Development of a 50-Year High-Resolution Global Dataset of Meteorological Forcings for Land Surface Modeling
journal, July 2006

  • Sheffield, Justin; Goteti, Gopi; Wood, Eric F.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 13
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3790.1

Moving beyond photosynthesis: from carbon source to sink-driven vegetation modeling
journal, November 2013

  • Fatichi, Simone; Leuzinger, Sebastian; Körner, Christian
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 201, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.12614

The impact of the permafrost carbon feedback on global climate
journal, August 2014

  • Schaefer, Kevin; Lantuit, Hugues; Romanovsky, Vladimir E.
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 9, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/8/085003

Joint control of terrestrial gross primary productivity by plant phenology and physiology
journal, February 2015

  • Xia, Jianyang; Niu, Shuli; Ciais, Philippe
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 112, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1413090112

Shifts in plant respiration and carbon use efficiency at a large-scale drought experiment in the eastern Amazon
journal, June 2010


Temporal variability of the NPP-GPP ratio at seasonal and interannual time scales in a temperate beech forest
journal, January 2011


Non-linear response of vegetation to coherent warming over northern high latitudes
journal, February 2013


Representation of vegetation dynamics in the modelling of terrestrial ecosystems: comparing two contrasting approaches within European climate space
journal, November 2001


Irradiance, temperature and rainfall influence leaf dark respiration in woody plants: evidence from comparisons across 20 sites
journal, November 2005


Uncertainties in CMIP5 Climate Projections due to Carbon Cycle Feedbacks
journal, January 2014

  • Friedlingstein, Pierre; Meinshausen, Malte; Arora, Vivek K.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00579.1

CO 2 balance of boreal, temperate, and tropical forests derived from a global database
journal, December 2007


Climate warming and biomass accumulation of terrestrial plants: a meta-analysis
journal, July 2010


An analysis of the carbon balance of the Arctic Basin from 1997 to 2006
journal, January 2010


Carbon use efficiency and storage in terrestrial ecosystems
journal, May 2013

  • Bradford, Mark A.; Crowther, Thomas W.
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 199, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.12334

Growth responses of an alpine grassland to elevated CO2
journal, January 1996

  • Schäppi, Bernd; Körner, Christian
  • Oecologia, Vol. 105, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1007/BF00328790

Overview of ChinaFLUX and evaluation of its eddy covariance measurement
journal, April 2006


Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change
journal, November 2009

  • McGuire, A. David; Anderson, Leif G.; Christensen, Torben R.
  • Ecological Monographs, Vol. 79, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1890/08-2025.1

Natural and anthropogenic climate change: incorporating historical land cover change, vegetation dynamics and the global carbon cycle
journal, March 2004


Relative Importance for Linear Regression in R : The Package relaimpo
journal, January 2006


Fertile forests produce biomass more efficiently: Forests’ biomass production efficiency
journal, April 2012


Permafrost carbon-climate feedbacks accelerate global warming
journal, August 2011

  • Koven, C. D.; Ringeval, B.; Friedlingstein, P.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 108, Issue 36
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1103910108

Nitrogen limitation constrains sustainability of ecosystem response to CO2
journal, April 2006

  • Reich, Peter B.; Hobbie, Sarah E.; Lee, Tali
  • Nature, Vol. 440, Issue 7086
  • DOI: 10.1038/nature04486

Terrestrial carbon cycle affected by non-uniform climate warming
journal, February 2014

  • Xia, Jianyang; Chen, Jiquan; Piao, Shilong
  • Nature Geoscience, Vol. 7, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2093

Evaluating the Land and Ocean Components of the Global Carbon Cycle in the CMIP5 Earth System Models
journal, September 2013


Simulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past four decades
journal, January 2015


Analysis of Permafrost Thermal Dynamics and Response to Climate Change in the CMIP5 Earth System Models
journal, March 2013


An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids
journal, January 2005

  • Mitchell, Timothy D.; Jones, Philip D.
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 25, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.1181

Forest annual carbon cost: a global-scale analysis of autotrophic respiration
journal, March 2010

  • Piao, Shilong; Luyssaert, Sebastiaan; Ciais, Philippe
  • Ecology, Vol. 91, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1890/08-2176.1

Global pattern of NPP to GPP ratio derived from MODIS data: effects of ecosystem type, geographical location and climate
journal, May 2009


Description and basic evaluation of Beijing Normal University Earth System Model (BNU-ESM) version 1
journal, January 2014


Improving representation of leaf respiration in large-scale predictive climate-vegetation models
journal, April 2014

  • Atkin, Owen K.; Meir, Patrick; Turnbull, Matthew H.
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 202, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.12686

FLUXNET: A New Tool to Study the Temporal and Spatial Variability of Ecosystem–Scale Carbon Dioxide, Water Vapor, and Energy Flux Densities
journal, November 2001


Evaluation of MODIS NPP and GPP products across multiple biomes
journal, June 2006

  • Turner, David P.; Ritts, William D.; Cohen, Warren B.
  • Remote Sensing of Environment, Vol. 102, Issue 3-4
  • DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2006.02.017

Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009: MODELING PERMAFROST CARBON DYNAMICS
journal, July 2016

  • McGuire, A. David; Koven, Charles; Lawrence, David M.
  • Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 30, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1002/2016GB005405

Global variability in leaf respiration in relation to climate, plant functional types and leaf traits
journal, January 2015

  • Atkin, Owen K.; Bloomfield, Keith J.; Reich, Peter B.
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 206, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.13253

Hydrological and biogeochemical constraints on terrestrial carbon cycle feedbacks
journal, January 2017

  • Mystakidis, Stefanos; Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Gruber, Nicolas
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 12, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/12/1/014009

Global patterns of land-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide, latent heat, and sensible heat derived from eddy covariance, satellite, and meteorological observations
journal, January 2011

  • Jung, Martin; Reichstein, Markus; Margolis, Hank A.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 116
  • DOI: 10.1029/2010JG001566

Responses of Tundra Plants to Experimental Warming:Meta-Analysis of the International Tundra Experiment
journal, November 1999


Works referencing / citing this record:

Divergent long‐term trends and interannual variation in ecosystem resource use efficiencies of a southern boreal old black spruce forest 1999–2017
journal, May 2019

  • Liu, Peng; Black, T. Andrew; Jassal, Rachhpal S.
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 25, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14674

Joint structural and physiological control on the interannual variation in productivity in a temperate grassland: A data-model comparison
journal, May 2018

  • Hu, Zhongmin; Shi, Hao; Cheng, Kaili
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 24, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14274

Ecosystem carbon dynamics differ between tundra shrub types in the western Canadian Arctic
journal, July 2018

  • Street, Lorna E.; Subke, Jens-Arne; Baxter, Robert
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad363

Evaluating the simulated mean soil carbon transit times by Earth system models using observations
journal, January 2019


Evaluating the E3SM land model version 0 (ELMv0) at a temperate forest site using flux and soil water measurements
journal, January 2019

  • Liang, Junyi; Wang, Gangsheng; Ricciuto, Daniel M.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-1601-2019

Vegetation Functional Properties Determine Uncertainty of Simulated Ecosystem Productivity: A Traceability Analysis in the East Asian Monsoon Region
journal, June 2019

  • Cui, Erqian; Huang, Kun; Arain, Muhammad Altaf
  • Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 33, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018gb005909

Space‐Based Observations for Understanding Changes in the Arctic‐Boreal Zone
journal, January 2020

  • Duncan, Bryan N.; Ott, Lesley E.; Abshire, James B.
  • Reviews of Geophysics, Vol. 58, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1029/2019rg000652

Non-uniform seasonal warming regulates vegetation greening and atmospheric CO 2 amplification over northern lands
journal, November 2018

  • Li, Zhao; Xia, Jianyang; Ahlström, Anders
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aae9ad

Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change
journal, March 2018

  • McGuire, A. David; Lawrence, David M.; Koven, Charles
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 115, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1719903115

Vulnerability and resilience of the carbon exchange of a subarctic peatland to an extreme winter event
journal, June 2018

  • Parmentier, Frans-Jan W.; Rasse, Daniel P.; Lund, Magnus
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabff3