Bonneville Power Administration Forecasts of Electricity Consumption in the Pacific Northwest; Executive Summary.

Technical Report · Sun Jul 01 04:00:00 EDT 1984

OSTI ID:6539894

This document presents a 20-year forecast of electricity consumption in the Pacific Northwest, for the years 1984 to 2004 for internal BNL planning needs. The forecast consists of high, medium, and low case scenarios. The medium projection is produced by merging the results from separate long-term and midterm forecasting models. The high and low projections were produced using the long-term forecasting models only. The long-term forecast is produced using a series of demand models in conjunction with an electricity supply pricing model. These models provide a detailed breakdown of energy use, but they are not, however, sensitive to monthly weather conditions, business cycles, or economic fluctuations which might prove significant in the near future. Midterm forecasting models are designed specifically to be responsive to such factors, allowing them to be captured in the final medium case load forecast which merges the long-term and midterm model results. These midterm models econometrically forecast monthly energy demand by state but without any detail by consuming sector.

• Research Organization: USDOE Bonneville Power Administration, Portland, OR. Div. of Power Requirements
• OSTI ID: 6539894
• Report Number(s): DOE/BP-307; ON: DE84017115
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
296000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Electric Power
CONSUMPTION RATES
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMICS
ELECTRIC POWER
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
Electric power consumption - Northwest
Pacitif - Forecasting
FORECASTING
LOAD MANAGEMENT
MANAGEMENT
POWER
PRICES
SUPPLY AND DEMAND