Stochastic sensitivity analysis of US input-output model. Final report

Technical Report · Wed Oct 01 00:00:00 EDT 1980

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6864923· OSTI ID:6864923

Bullard, C. W.

Input-output tables have been used in a wide variety of energy analyses to examine the economic impacts of changes in demand due to changes in the cost and availability of energy. There have been several questions concerning their use in general and the applicability of these to energy issues. This report describes a simulation that is used to measure the propagation of uncertainty through input-output calculations. This research developed measures of uncertainty and probability distributions for published input values. A Monte Carlo simulation was utilized to develop the distributions of sector outputs for 30-, 90-, and 101-sector tables.

• Research Organization: Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, IL (United States)
• OSTI ID: 6864923
• Report Number(s): EPRI-EA-518
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
ECONOMY
INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS
ENERGY ANALYSIS
ENERGY MODELS
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
USA
AVAILABILITY
CORRELATIONS
COST
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ENERGY DEMAND
MONTE CARLO METHOD
PROBABILITY
SIMULATION
VARIATIONS
DEMAND
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMICS
NORTH AMERICA
320000* - Energy Conservation
Consumption
& Utilization
290200 - Energy Planning & Policy- Economics & Sociology
298000 - Energy Planning & Policy- Consumption & Utilization
290100 - Energy Planning & Policy- Energy Analysis & Modeling