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Title: Strategic petroleum reserve and liquefied natural gas supplies. Final report. [Impact of LNG and/or oil embargo]

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6118353· OSTI ID:6118353

The United States is planning to import liquefied natural gas (LNG) to offset the effects of our apparent dwindling natural gas supply. These imports would begin by the 1980s and would come from Algeria, Indonesia, Pakistan, Iran, Nigeria, and possibly the Soviet Union. If a disruption in LNG supplies were to occur, the impact to the nation could be eased by supplying oil to those with dual fuel (oil or gas) capability. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) could be called upon to supply this oil if an LNG embargo were to occur simultaneously with a foreign oil embargo. To assist the Strategic Petroleum Reserve Office (SPRO) in planning the SPR, this report analyzes the impact which would be caused by an LNG embargo alone and a simultaneous LNG and oil embaro. The latter is of prime importance since incremental oil demand caused by an LNG only embargo could be met from the normal oil suppliers. Assuming a 15% industrial dual fuel capability and 0.4 trillion cubic feet LNG annual import level (likely lower limits), incremental oil demand caused by an LNG and oil embargo would be an insignificant 0.02 million barrels per day; should imports rise to 3.8 Tcf and dual fuel capability increase to 85% of gas consumption (probable upper limits) incremental oil demand could rise to 1.28 MMbbl/d which represents 39% of total demand on the SPR.

Research Organization:
TRW, Inc., McLean, VA (USA). Energy Systems Planning Div.
OSTI ID:
6118353
Report Number(s):
DOE/TIC-10462
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English