Impacts of climate change and climate extremes on major crops productivity in China at a global warming of 1.5 and 2.0 °C

Chen, Yi; Zhang, Zhao; Tao, Fulu

doi:10.5194/esd-9-543-2018

Title: Impacts of climate change and climate extremes on major crops productivity in China at a global warming of 1.5 and 2.0 °C

Journal Article · Fri May 18 00:00:00 EDT 2018 · Earth System Dynamics (Online)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-543-2018· OSTI ID:1544104

Chen, Yi ^[1]; Zhang, Zhao ^[2]; Tao, Fulu ^[3]

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Beijing (China)
Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing (China)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Beijing (China); Univ. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing (China)

A new temperature goal of “holding the increase in global average temperature well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels” has been established in the Paris Agreement, which calls for an understanding of climate risk under 1.5 and 2.0°C warming scenarios. Here, we evaluated the effects of climate change on growth and productivity of three major crops (i.e. maize, wheat, rice) in China during 2106–2115 in warming scenarios of 1.5 and 2.0°C using a method of ensemble simulation with well-validated Model to capture the Crop–Weather relationship over a Large Area (MCWLA) family crop models, their 10 sets of optimal crop model parameters and 70 climate projections from four global climate models.

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Research Organization:: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

OSTI ID:: 1544104

Journal Information:: Earth System Dynamics (Online), Vol. 9, Issue 2; ISSN 2190-4987

Publisher:: European Geosciences UnionCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Cited by: 57 works

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