Long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient PM2.5 and O3 pollution and the related health burden for 2000–2015
Abstract
Global economic development and urbanization during the past two decades have driven the increases in demand of personal and commercial vehicle fleets, especially in developing countries, which has likely resulted in changes in year-to-year vehicle tailpipe emissions associated with aerosols and trace gases. However, long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on air quality and human health are not clear. In this study, we employ the Community Earth System Model in conjunction with the newly developed Community Emissions Data System as anthropogenic emission inventory to quantify the long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient air quality and human health for the period of 2000–2015. Global gasoline and diesel emissions contributed to regional increases in annual mean surface PM2.5 (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters ≤2.5 μm) concentrations by up to 17.5 and 13.7 µg m–3, and surface ozone (O3) concentrations by up to 7.1 and 7.2 ppbv, respectively, for 2000–2015. However, we also found substantial declines of surface PM2.5 and O3 concentrations over Europe, the US, Canada, and China for the same period, which suggested the co-benefits of air quality and human health from improving gasoline and diesel fuel quality and tightening vehiclemore »
- Authors:
-
- Wayne State Univ., Detroit, MI (United States)
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), College Park, MD (United States)
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1897525
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-178796
Journal ID: ISSN 1748-9326
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Environmental Research Letters
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 17; Journal Issue: 10; Journal ID: ISSN 1748-9326
- Publisher:
- IOP Publishing
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Citation Formats
Xiong, Ying, Partha, Debatosh, Prime, Noah S., Smith, Steven J., Mariscal, Noribeth, Salah, Halima, and Huang, Yaoxian. Long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient PM2.5 and O3 pollution and the related health burden for 2000–2015. United States: N. p., 2022.
Web. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac9422.
Xiong, Ying, Partha, Debatosh, Prime, Noah S., Smith, Steven J., Mariscal, Noribeth, Salah, Halima, & Huang, Yaoxian. Long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient PM2.5 and O3 pollution and the related health burden for 2000–2015. United States. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9422
Xiong, Ying, Partha, Debatosh, Prime, Noah S., Smith, Steven J., Mariscal, Noribeth, Salah, Halima, and Huang, Yaoxian. Thu .
"Long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient PM2.5 and O3 pollution and the related health burden for 2000–2015". United States. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9422. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1897525.
@article{osti_1897525,
title = {Long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient PM2.5 and O3 pollution and the related health burden for 2000–2015},
author = {Xiong, Ying and Partha, Debatosh and Prime, Noah S. and Smith, Steven J. and Mariscal, Noribeth and Salah, Halima and Huang, Yaoxian},
abstractNote = {Global economic development and urbanization during the past two decades have driven the increases in demand of personal and commercial vehicle fleets, especially in developing countries, which has likely resulted in changes in year-to-year vehicle tailpipe emissions associated with aerosols and trace gases. However, long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on air quality and human health are not clear. In this study, we employ the Community Earth System Model in conjunction with the newly developed Community Emissions Data System as anthropogenic emission inventory to quantify the long-term trends of impacts of global gasoline and diesel emissions on ambient air quality and human health for the period of 2000–2015. Global gasoline and diesel emissions contributed to regional increases in annual mean surface PM2.5 (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters ≤2.5 μm) concentrations by up to 17.5 and 13.7 µg m–3, and surface ozone (O3) concentrations by up to 7.1 and 7.2 ppbv, respectively, for 2000–2015. However, we also found substantial declines of surface PM2.5 and O3 concentrations over Europe, the US, Canada, and China for the same period, which suggested the co-benefits of air quality and human health from improving gasoline and diesel fuel quality and tightening vehicle emissions standards. Globally, we estimate the mean annual total PM2.5- and O3-induced premature deaths are 139 700–170 700 for gasoline and 205 200–309 300 for diesel, with the corresponding years of life lost of 2.74–3.47 and 4.56–6.52 million years, respectively. Diesel and gasoline emissions create health-effect disparities between the developed and developing countries, which are likely to aggravate afterwards.},
doi = {10.1088/1748-9326/ac9422},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
number = 10,
volume = 17,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Oct 06 00:00:00 EDT 2022},
month = {Thu Oct 06 00:00:00 EDT 2022}
}
Works referenced in this record:
Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
journal, October 2020
- Murray, Christopher J. L.; Aravkin, Aleksandr Y.; Zheng, Peng
- The Lancet, Vol. 396, Issue 10258
Global and regional climate changes due to black carbon
journal, March 2008
- Ramanathan, V.; Carmichael, G.
- Nature Geoscience, Vol. 1, Issue 4
Impacts and mitigation of excess diesel-related NOx emissions in 11 major vehicle markets
journal, May 2017
- Anenberg, Susan C.; Miller, Joshua; Minjares, Ray
- Nature, Vol. 545, Issue 7655
Climate Effects of Black Carbon Aerosols in China and India
journal, September 2002
- Menon, S.
- Science, Vol. 297, Issue 5590
Source-resolved attribution of ground-level ozone formation potential from VOC emissions in Metropolitan Vancouver, BC
journal, June 2020
- Xiong, Ying; Du, Ke
- Science of The Total Environment, Vol. 721
Review of Acellular Assays of Ambient Particulate Matter Oxidative Potential: Methods and Relationships with Composition, Sources, and Health Effects
journal, March 2019
- Bates, Josephine T.; Fang, Ting; Verma, Vishal
- Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 53, Issue 8
Size, source and chemical composition as determinants of toxicity attributable to ambient particulate matter
journal, December 2012
- Kelly, Frank J.; Fussell, Julia C.
- Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 60
Seasonal and spatial differences in source contributions to PM2.5 in Wuhan, China
journal, January 2017
- Xiong, Ying; Zhou, Jiabin; Schauer, James J.
- Science of The Total Environment, Vol. 577
Global Climate and Human Health Effects of the Gasoline and Diesel Vehicle Fleets
journal, March 2020
- Huang, Yaoxian; Unger, Nadine; Harper, Kandice
- GeoHealth, Vol. 4, Issue 3
Surface ozone and its precursors at Summit, Greenland: comparison between observations and model simulations
journal, January 2017
- Huang, Yaoxian; Wu, Shiliang; Kramer, Louisa J.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 17, Issue 23
Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
journal, December 2012
- Lozano, Rafael; Naghavi, Mohsen; Foreman, Kyle
- The Lancet, Vol. 380, Issue 9859
Historical (1750–2014) anthropogenic emissions of reactive gases and aerosols from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS)
journal, January 2018
- Hoesly, Rachel M.; Smith, Steven J.; Feng, Leyang
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 1
Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution
journal, January 2009
- Fiore, A. M.; Dentener, F. J.; Wild, O.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 114, Issue D4
Global estimates of mortality associated with long-term exposure to outdoor fine particulate matter
journal, September 2018
- Burnett, Richard; Chen, Hong; Szyszkowicz, Mieczysław
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 115, Issue 38
The Impact of Individual Anthropogenic Emissions Sectors on the Global Burden of Human Mortality due to Ambient Air Pollution
journal, November 2016
- Silva, Raquel A.; Adelman, Zachariah; Fry, Meridith M.
- Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 124, Issue 11
Relationship between summertime concurring PM2.5 and O3 pollution and boundary layer height differs between Beijing and Shanghai, China
journal, January 2021
- Miao, Yucong; Che, Huizheng; Zhang, Xiaoye
- Environmental Pollution, Vol. 268
Fast climate responses to emission reductions in aerosol and ozone precursors in China during 2013–2017
journal, June 2022
- Gao, Jiyuan; Yang, Yang; Wang, Hailong
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 22, Issue 11
The contribution of outdoor air pollution sources to premature mortality on a global scale
journal, September 2015
- Lelieveld, J.; Evans, J. S.; Fnais, M.
- Nature, Vol. 525, Issue 7569
Long-Term Ozone Exposure and Mortality in a Large Prospective Study
journal, May 2016
- Turner, Michelle C.; Jerrett, Michael; Pope, C. Arden
- American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Vol. 193, Issue 10
Global burden of mortalities due to chronic exposure to ambient PM 2.5 from open combustion of domestic waste
journal, December 2016
- Kodros, John K.; Wiedinmyer, Christine; Ford, Bonne
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 11, Issue 12
Abrupt emissions reductions during COVID-19 contributed to record summer rainfall in China
journal, February 2022
- Yang, Yang; Ren, Lili; Wu, Mingxuan
- Nature Communications, Vol. 13, Issue 1
Source sector and fuel contributions to ambient PM2.5 and attributable mortality across multiple spatial scales
journal, June 2021
- McDuffie, Erin E.; Martin, Randall V.; Spadaro, Joseph V.
- Nature Communications, Vol. 12, Issue 1
Rapid sulfate formation from synergetic oxidation of SO2 by O3 and NO2 under ammonia-rich conditions: Implications for the explosive growth of atmospheric PM2.5 during haze events in China
journal, June 2021
- Zhang, Si; Li, Dapeng; Ge, Shuangshuang
- Science of The Total Environment, Vol. 772
Impacts of Global Solid Biofuel Stove Emissions on Ambient Air Quality and Human Health
journal, March 2021
- Huang, Yaoxian; Partha, Debatosh B.; Harper, Kandice
- GeoHealth, Vol. 5, Issue 3
Impact of the Volkswagen emissions control defeat device on US public health
journal, October 2015
- Barrett, Steven R. H.; Speth, Raymond L.; Eastham, Sebastian D.
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 10, Issue 11
Long-term changes in emissions of nitrogen oxides and particulate matter from on-road gasoline and diesel vehicles
journal, January 2008
- Ban-Weiss, George A.; McLaughlin, John P.; Harley, Robert A.
- Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 42, Issue 2
An Estimate of the Global Burden of Anthropogenic Ozone and Fine Particulate Matter on Premature Human Mortality Using Atmospheric Modeling
journal, September 2010
- Anenberg, Susan C.; Horowitz, Larry W.; Tong, Daniel Q.
- Environmental Health Perspectives, Vol. 118, Issue 9
Development of Ozone Reactivity Scales for Volatile Organic Compounds
journal, July 1994
- Carter, William P. L.
- Air & Waste, Vol. 44, Issue 7
High secondary aerosol contribution to particulate pollution during haze events in China
journal, September 2014
- Huang, Ru-Jin; Zhang, Yanlin; Bozzetti, Carlo
- Nature, Vol. 514, Issue 7521
Monthly Global Estimates of Fine Particulate Matter and Their Uncertainty
journal, November 2021
- van Donkelaar, Aaron; Hammer, Melanie S.; Bindle, Liam
- Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 55, Issue 22
Changing risk factors that contribute to premature mortality from ambient air pollution between 2000 and 2015
journal, June 2020
- Chowdhury, Sourangsu; Pozzer, Andrea; Dey, Sagnik
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 15, Issue 7
Air Pollution in China: Mapping of Concentrations and Sources
journal, August 2015
- Rohde, Robert A.; Muller, Richard A.
- PLOS ONE, Vol. 10, Issue 8
Cancer risk assessment for exposure to hazardous volatile organic compounds in Calgary, Canada
journal, June 2021
- Xiong, Ying; Zhou, Jiabin; Xing, Zhenyu
- Chemosphere, Vol. 272
Atmospheric Degradation of Volatile Organic Compounds
journal, December 2003
- Atkinson, Roger; Arey, Janet
- Chemical Reviews, Vol. 103, Issue 12
Evaluating the climate and air quality impacts of short-lived pollutants
journal, January 2015
- Stohl, A.; Aamaas, B.; Amann, M.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 15, Issue 18
CEDS v_2021_04_21 Release Emission Data
dataset, January 2021
- O'Rourke, Patrick R.; Smith, Steven J.; Mott, Andrea
- Zenodo
Chemistry of secondary organic aerosol: Formation and evolution of low-volatility organics in the atmosphere
journal, May 2008
- Kroll, Jesse H.; Seinfeld, John H.
- Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 42, Issue 16
Estimating source-attributable health impacts of ambient fine particulate matter exposure: global premature mortality from surface transportation emissions in 2005
journal, October 2014
- Chambliss, S. E.; Silva, R.; West, J. J.
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 9, Issue 10
Seasonal variations in the oxidative stress and inflammatory potential of PM2.5 in Tehran using an alveolar macrophage model; The role of chemical composition and sources
journal, February 2019
- Al Hanai, Ahlam H.; Antkiewicz, Dagmara S.; Hemming, Jocelyn D. C.
- Environment International, Vol. 123
The effects of fuel standards on air pollution: Evidence from China
journal, September 2020
- Li, Pei; Lu, Yi; Wang, Jin
- Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 146
On-road vehicle emissions and their control in China: A review and outlook
journal, January 2017
- Wu, Ye; Zhang, Shaojun; Hao, Jiming
- Science of The Total Environment, Vol. 574
Public health and components of particulate matter: The changing assessment of black carbon
journal, April 2014
- Grahame, Thomas J.; Klemm, Rebecca; Schlesinger, Richard B.
- Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, Vol. 64, Issue 6
Ambient volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in two coastal cities in western Canada: Spatiotemporal variation, source apportionment, and health risk assessment
journal, March 2020
- Xiong, Ying; Bari, Md. Aynul; Xing, Zhenyu
- Science of The Total Environment, Vol. 706