Tracking the Pacific Decadal Precession
Abstract
Abstract Events of recent years—including extended droughts across California, record fires across western Canada, and destabilization of marine ecosystems—highlight the profound impact of multiannual to decadal‐scale climate shifts upon physical, biological, and socioeconomic systems. While previous research has focused on the influence of decadal‐scale climate oscillations such as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation/Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, recent research has revealed the presence of a quasi‐decadal mode of climate variability that, unlike the quasi‐stationary standing wave‐like structure of the oscillatory modes, involves a progression of atmospheric pressure anomalies around the North Pacific, which has been termed the Pacific Decadal Precession (PDP). In this paper we develop a set of methods to track the spatial and temporal evolutions of the PDP within historical observations as well as numerical model simulations. In addition, we provide a method that approximates the time evolution of the PDP across the full period of available data for real‐time monitoring of the PDP. Through the development of these tracking methods, we hope to provide the community with a consistent framework for future analysis and diagnosis of the PDP's characteristics and underlying processes, thereby avoiding the use of different, and disparate, phenomenological‐ and mathematical‐based indices thatmore »
- Authors:
-
[1];
[2];
[3];
- Boston Univ., MA (United States). Dept. of Earth and Environment
- Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK (United States). School of Meteorology
- Georgia Inst. of Technology, Atlanta, GA (United States). School of Earth and Atmospheric Science
- Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA (United States). Parsons Lab.
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Boston Univ., MA (United States); Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); National Science Foundation (NSF)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1466738
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1402400
- Grant/Contract Number:
- SC0006914; AGS-0958907; OCE-1356924; OCE-1419292; DE‐SC0006914
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 122; Journal Issue: 6; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-897X
- Publisher:
- American Geophysical Union
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; decadal variability; North Pacific; climate indices; extratropics
Citation Formats
Anderson, Bruce T., Furtado, Jason C., Di Lorenzo, Emanuele, and Short Gianotti, Daniel J. Tracking the Pacific Decadal Precession. United States: N. p., 2017.
Web. doi:10.1002/2016JD025962.
Anderson, Bruce T., Furtado, Jason C., Di Lorenzo, Emanuele, & Short Gianotti, Daniel J. Tracking the Pacific Decadal Precession. United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025962
Anderson, Bruce T., Furtado, Jason C., Di Lorenzo, Emanuele, and Short Gianotti, Daniel J. Wed .
"Tracking the Pacific Decadal Precession". United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025962. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1466738.
@article{osti_1466738,
title = {Tracking the Pacific Decadal Precession},
author = {Anderson, Bruce T. and Furtado, Jason C. and Di Lorenzo, Emanuele and Short Gianotti, Daniel J.},
abstractNote = {Abstract Events of recent years—including extended droughts across California, record fires across western Canada, and destabilization of marine ecosystems—highlight the profound impact of multiannual to decadal‐scale climate shifts upon physical, biological, and socioeconomic systems. While previous research has focused on the influence of decadal‐scale climate oscillations such as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation/Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, recent research has revealed the presence of a quasi‐decadal mode of climate variability that, unlike the quasi‐stationary standing wave‐like structure of the oscillatory modes, involves a progression of atmospheric pressure anomalies around the North Pacific, which has been termed the Pacific Decadal Precession (PDP). In this paper we develop a set of methods to track the spatial and temporal evolutions of the PDP within historical observations as well as numerical model simulations. In addition, we provide a method that approximates the time evolution of the PDP across the full period of available data for real‐time monitoring of the PDP. Through the development of these tracking methods, we hope to provide the community with a consistent framework for future analysis and diagnosis of the PDP's characteristics and underlying processes, thereby avoiding the use of different, and disparate, phenomenological‐ and mathematical‐based indices that can confound our understanding of the PDP and its evolution.},
doi = {10.1002/2016JD025962},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},
number = 6,
volume = 122,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Feb 22 00:00:00 EST 2017},
month = {Wed Feb 22 00:00:00 EST 2017}
}
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Works referencing / citing this record:
Interactions between Kuroshio Extension and Central Tropical Pacific lead to preferred decadal-timescale oscillations in Pacific climate
journal, September 2019
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- Scientific Reports, Vol. 9, Issue 1