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Title: Compact binary merger rates: Comparison with LIGO/Virgo upper limits

Abstract

Here, we compare evolutionary predictions of double compact object merger rate densities with initial and forthcoming LIGO/Virgo upper limits. We find that: (i) Due to the cosmological reach of advanced detectors, current conversion methods of population synthesis predictions into merger rate densities are insufficient. (ii) Our optimistic models are a factor of 18 below the initial LIGO/Virgo upper limits for BH–BH systems, indicating that a modest increase in observational sensitivity (by a factor of ~2.5) may bring the first detections or first gravitational wave constraints on binary evolution. (iii) Stellar-origin massive BH–BH mergers should dominate event rates in advanced LIGO/Virgo and can be detected out to redshift z sime 2 with templates including inspiral, merger, and ringdown. Normal stars ($$\lt 150\;{M}_{\odot }$$) can produce such mergers with total redshifted mass up to $${M}_{{\rm{tot,z}}}\simeq 400\;{M}_{\odot }$$. (iv) High black hole (BH) natal kicks can severely limit the formation of massive BH–BH systems (both in isolated binary and in dynamical dense cluster evolution), and thus would eliminate detection of these systems even at full advanced LIGO/Virgo sensitivity. We find that low and high BH natal kicks are allowed by current observational electromagnetic constraints. (v) The majority of our models yield detections of all types of mergers (NS–NS, BH–NS, BH–BH) with advanced detectors. Numerous massive BH–BH merger detections will indicate small (if any) natal kicks for massive BHs.

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [1];  [5];  [6];  [1]
  1. Warsaw Univ., Warsaw (Poland)
  2. Radboud Univ. Nijmegen, Nijmegen (The Netherlands)
  3. Univ. of Chicago, Chicago, IL (United States)
  4. Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY (United States)
  5. Univ. of Mississippi, University, MS (United States); Univ. de Lisboa, Lisboa (Portugal)
  6. Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1296670
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-15-27496
Journal ID: ISSN 1538-4357
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC52-06NA25396
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
The Astrophysical Journal (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: The Astrophysical Journal (Online); Journal Volume: 819; Journal Issue: 2; Journal ID: ISSN 1538-4357
Publisher:
Institute of Physics (IOP)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS; astronomy and astrophysics; binaries: close; gravitation; stars: evolution; stars: neutron

Citation Formats

Belczynski, Krzysztof, Repetto, Serena, Holz, Daniel E., O'Shaugnessy, Richard, Bulik, Tomasz, Berti, Emanuele, Fryer, Christopher Lee, and Dominik, Michal. Compact binary merger rates: Comparison with LIGO/Virgo upper limits. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.3847/0004-637X/819/2/108.
Belczynski, Krzysztof, Repetto, Serena, Holz, Daniel E., O'Shaugnessy, Richard, Bulik, Tomasz, Berti, Emanuele, Fryer, Christopher Lee, & Dominik, Michal. Compact binary merger rates: Comparison with LIGO/Virgo upper limits. United States. https://doi.org/10.3847/0004-637X/819/2/108
Belczynski, Krzysztof, Repetto, Serena, Holz, Daniel E., O'Shaugnessy, Richard, Bulik, Tomasz, Berti, Emanuele, Fryer, Christopher Lee, and Dominik, Michal. Thu . "Compact binary merger rates: Comparison with LIGO/Virgo upper limits". United States. https://doi.org/10.3847/0004-637X/819/2/108. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1296670.
@article{osti_1296670,
title = {Compact binary merger rates: Comparison with LIGO/Virgo upper limits},
author = {Belczynski, Krzysztof and Repetto, Serena and Holz, Daniel E. and O'Shaugnessy, Richard and Bulik, Tomasz and Berti, Emanuele and Fryer, Christopher Lee and Dominik, Michal},
abstractNote = {Here, we compare evolutionary predictions of double compact object merger rate densities with initial and forthcoming LIGO/Virgo upper limits. We find that: (i) Due to the cosmological reach of advanced detectors, current conversion methods of population synthesis predictions into merger rate densities are insufficient. (ii) Our optimistic models are a factor of 18 below the initial LIGO/Virgo upper limits for BH–BH systems, indicating that a modest increase in observational sensitivity (by a factor of ~2.5) may bring the first detections or first gravitational wave constraints on binary evolution. (iii) Stellar-origin massive BH–BH mergers should dominate event rates in advanced LIGO/Virgo and can be detected out to redshift z sime 2 with templates including inspiral, merger, and ringdown. Normal stars ($\lt 150\;{M}_{\odot }$) can produce such mergers with total redshifted mass up to ${M}_{{\rm{tot,z}}}\simeq 400\;{M}_{\odot }$. (iv) High black hole (BH) natal kicks can severely limit the formation of massive BH–BH systems (both in isolated binary and in dynamical dense cluster evolution), and thus would eliminate detection of these systems even at full advanced LIGO/Virgo sensitivity. We find that low and high BH natal kicks are allowed by current observational electromagnetic constraints. (v) The majority of our models yield detections of all types of mergers (NS–NS, BH–NS, BH–BH) with advanced detectors. Numerous massive BH–BH merger detections will indicate small (if any) natal kicks for massive BHs.},
doi = {10.3847/0004-637X/819/2/108},
journal = {The Astrophysical Journal (Online)},
number = 2,
volume = 819,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Mar 03 00:00:00 EST 2016},
month = {Thu Mar 03 00:00:00 EST 2016}
}

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Binary Black Hole Mergers from Globular Clusters: Implications for Advanced LIGO
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Binary Interaction Dominates the Evolution of Massive Stars
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Gravitational wave sources and their detectability
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Interacting Binaries with Eccentric Orbits. iii. Orbital Evolution due to Direct Impact and Self-Accretion
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On IC 10 X-1, the Most Massive Known Stellar-Mass Black Hole
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The Neutrino Bubble Instability: A Mechanism for Generating Pulsar Kicks
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The Not-So-Massive Black hole in the Microquasar Grs1915+105
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Distinguishing Compact Binary Population Synthesis Models Using Gravitational wave Observations of Coalescing Binary Black Holes
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The Hubble Higher z Supernova Search: Supernovae to z ≈ 1.6 and Constraints on Type Ia Progenitor Models
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A ‘kilonova’ associated with the short-duration γ-ray burst GRB 130603B
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The Chemical Composition of the sun from Helioseismic and Solar Neutrino data
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Mass-loss predictions for O and B stars as a function of metallicity
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Double white dwarfs as progenitors of R Coronae Borealis stars and Type I supernovae
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Understanding Compact Object Formation and Natal Kicks. I. Calculation Methods and the Case of GRO J1655−40
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Understanding Compact Object Formation and Natal Kicks. iv. the case of ic 10 x-1
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Understanding Compact Object Formation and Natal Kicks. iii. the case of Cygnus x-1
journal, February 2012


On the Binding Energy Parameter λ of Common Envelope Evolution
journal, May 2010


A possible macronova in the late afterglow of the long–short burst GRB 060614
journal, June 2015

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Evolution and fate of very massive stars
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Multidimensional supernova simulations with approximative neutrino transport: II. Convection and the advective-acoustic cycle in the supernova core
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Pulsar Kicks and dark Matter from a Sterile Neutrino
conference, January 2012

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IC10~X-1/NGC300~X-1: the very immediate progenitors of BH-BH binaries
text, January 2008


Large Mixing Angle Sterile Neutrinos and Pulsar Velocities
text, January 2009


Predictions for the Rates of Compact Binary Coalescences Observable by Ground-based Gravitational-wave Detectors
text, January 2010


The effect of metallicity on the detection prospects for gravitational waves
text, January 2010


The Mass of the Black Hole in Cygnus X-1
text, January 2011


A Jet Break in the X-ray Light Curve of Short GRB 111020A: Implications for Energetics and Rates
text, January 2012


Common Envelope Evolution: Where we stand and how we can move forward
text, January 2012


The not-so-massive black hole in the microquasar GRS1915+105
text, January 2013


An r-Process Kilonova Associated with the Short-Hard GRB 130603B
text, January 2013


Double Compact Objects II: Cosmological Merger Rates
text, January 2013


Implications of PSR J0737-3039B for the Galactic NS-NS Binary Merger Rate
text, January 2013


Double Compact Objects III: Gravitational Wave Detection Rates
text, January 2014


The Fate of the Compact Remnant in Neutron Star Mergers
text, January 2015


The lightcurve of the macronova associated with the long-short burst GRB 060614
text, January 2015


A Black Hole in the Superluminal source SAX J1819.3-2525 (V4641 Sgr)
text, January 2001


The quiescent light curve and evolutionary state of GRO J1655-40
text, January 2001


The Cosmic Coalescence Rates for Double Neutron Star Binaries
text, January 2003


Magnetic Braking of Ap/Bp Stars: Application to Compact Black-Hole X-Ray Binaries
text, January 2005


Effects of neutrino-driven kicks on the supernova explosion mechanism
text, January 2005


XTE J1118+480: A Metal-Rich Black Hole Binary in the Galactic Halo
text, January 2006


On the rarity of double black hole binaries: consequences for gravitational-wave detection
text, January 2006


The Mass Distribution of Stellar Black Holes
text, January 1997


Hyper-Accreting Black Holes and Gamma-Ray Bursts
text, January 1998


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The rate of stellar mass black hole scattering in galactic nuclei
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Populations of stellar mass Black holes from binary systems
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