skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Compact binary merger rates: Comparison with LIGO/Virgo upper limits

Journal Article · · Astrophysical Journal
; ;  [1];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [6]
  1. Astronomical Observatory, Warsaw University, Al. Ujazdowskie 4, 00-478 Warsaw (Poland)
  2. Department of Astrophysics/IMAPP, Radboud University Nijmegen, P.O. Box 9010, 6500 GL Nijmegen (Netherlands)
  3. Enrico Fermi Institute, Department of Physics, and Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637 (United States)
  4. Center for Computational Relativity and Gravitation, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY 14623 (United States)
  5. Department of Physics and Astronomy, The University of Mississippi, University, MS 38677 (United States)
  6. CCS-2, MSD409, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545 (United States)

We compare evolutionary predictions of double compact object merger rate densities with initial and forthcoming LIGO/Virgo upper limits. We find that: (i) Due to the cosmological reach of advanced detectors, current conversion methods of population synthesis predictions into merger rate densities are insufficient. (ii) Our optimistic models are a factor of 18 below the initial LIGO/Virgo upper limits for BH–BH systems, indicating that a modest increase in observational sensitivity (by a factor of ∼2.5) may bring the first detections or first gravitational wave constraints on binary evolution. (iii) Stellar-origin massive BH–BH mergers should dominate event rates in advanced LIGO/Virgo and can be detected out to redshift z ≃ 2 with templates including inspiral, merger, and ringdown. Normal stars (<150 M{sub ⊙}) can produce such mergers with total redshifted mass up to M{sub tot,z}≃400 M{sub ⊙}. (iv) High black hole (BH) natal kicks can severely limit the formation of massive BH–BH systems (both in isolated binary and in dynamical dense cluster evolution), and thus would eliminate detection of these systems even at full advanced LIGO/Virgo sensitivity. We find that low and high BH natal kicks are allowed by current observational electromagnetic constraints. (v) The majority of our models yield detections of all types of mergers (NS–NS, BH–NS, BH–BH) with advanced detectors. Numerous massive BH–BH merger detections will indicate small (if any) natal kicks for massive BHs.

OSTI ID:
22890154
Journal Information:
Astrophysical Journal, Vol. 819, Issue 2; Other Information: Country of input: International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA); Since 2009, the country of publication for this journal is the UK.; ISSN 0004-637X
Country of Publication:
United Kingdom
Language:
English

References (142)

Evidence of a supernova origin for the black hole in the system GRO J1655 - 40 journal September 1999
A ‘kilonova’ associated with the short-duration γ-ray burst GRB 130603B journal August 2013
The atmospheric structure and fundamental parameters of the red supergiants AH Scorpii, UY Scuti, and KW Sagittarii journal June 2013
Massive double compact object mergers: gravitational wave sources and r-process element production sites journal April 2014
Mass-loss predictions for O and B stars as a function of metallicity journal April 2001
Multidimensional supernova simulations with approximative neutrino transport: II. Convection and the advective-acoustic cycle in the supernova core journal December 2007
Observational constraints of stellar collapse: Diagnostic probes of nature's extreme matter experiment journal April 2014
Asymmetric neutrino emission and formation of rapidly moving pulsars journal January 1993
A Catalog of Parameters for Globular Clusters in the Milky Way journal October 1996
Double white dwarfs as progenitors of R Coronae Borealis stars and Type I supernovae journal February 1984
The Mass Distribution of Stellar Black Holes journal May 1998
Orbital Parameters for the Soft X‐Ray Transient 4U 1543−47: Evidence for a Black Hole journal May 1998
What Can the Accretion‐induced Collapse of White Dwarfs Really Explain? journal May 1999
A Black Hole in the X‐Ray Nova Velorum 1993
  • Filippenko, Alexei V.; Leonard, Douglas C.; Matheson, Thomas
  • Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific, Vol. 111, Issue 762 https://doi.org/10.1086/316413
journal August 1999
Infrared Observations of Nova Muscae 1991: Black Hole Mass Determination from Ellipsoidal Variations journal August 2001
Formation and Evolution of Microquasar GRS 1915+105 journal August 2002
GRO J0422+32: The Lowest Mass Black Hole? journal December 2003
The Mass of the Black Hole in GS 2000+25 journal January 2004
North‐South Neutrino Heating Asymmetry in Strongly Magnetized and Rotating Stellar Cores journal January 2005
The Neutrino Bubble Instability: A Mechanism for Generating Pulsar Kicks journal October 2005
Effects of Neutrino‐driven Kicks on the Supernova Explosion Mechanism journal April 2006
XTE J1118+480: A Metal-rich Black Hole Binary in the Galactic Halo journal May 2006
Late‐Time Convection in the Collapse of a 23 M Star journal April 2007
On the Rarity of Double Black Hole Binaries: Consequences for Gravitational Wave Detection journal June 2007
A Radial Velocity Survey of the Cyg OB2 Association journal August 2007
A New Look at the Binary Characteristics of Massive Stars journal November 2007
The Milky Way Tomography with SDSS. I. Stellar Number Density Distribution journal February 2008
The Orbital Period of the Wolf-Rayet Binary IC 10 X-1: Dynamic Evidence that the Compact Object Is a Black Hole journal October 2007
Chemical Abundances of the Secondary Star in the Black Hole X‐Ray Binary XTE J1118+480 journal May 2008
The mass of the Black hole in xte J1118+480 journal December 2012
On the Maximum mass of Stellar Black Holes journal April 2010
Pulsar Binary Birthrates with Spin-Opening Angle Correlations journal April 2010
Binary Compact Object Coalescence Rates: the role of Elliptical Galaxies journal May 2010
NEAR-INFRARED SPECTROSCOPY OF LOW-MASS X-RAY BINARIES: ACCRETION DISK CONTAMINATION AND COMPACT OBJECT MASS DETERMINATION IN V404 Cyg AND Cen X-4 journal May 2010
Interacting Binaries with Eccentric Orbits. iii. Orbital Evolution due to Direct Impact and Self-Accretion journal November 2010
The mass of the Black hole in Cygnus x-1 journal November 2011
Mass Measurements of Black Holes in X-Ray Transients: is There a mass gap? journal September 2012
Double Compact Objects. i. the Significance of the Common Envelope on Merger Rates journal October 2012
The Chemical Composition of the sun from Helioseismic and Solar Neutrino data journal April 2014
The Formation and Gravitational-Wave Detection of Massive Stellar Black hole Binaries journal June 2014
A Parallax Distance to the Microquasar grs 1915+105 and a Revised Estimate of its Black hole mass journal October 2014
The Black hole Formation Probability journal January 2015
The fate of the Compact Remnant in Neutron star Mergers journal October 2015
Toward Complete Statistics of Massive Binary Stars: Penultimate Results from the Cygnus ob2 Radial Velocity Survey journal August 2014
Advanced LIGO: the next generation of gravitational wave detectors journal April 2010
Characterization of the LIGO detectors during their sixth science run journal May 2015
Virgo: a laser interferometer to detect gravitational waves journal March 2012
The Effect of Metallicity on the Detection Prospects for Gravitational Waves journal May 2010
AN r -PROCESS KILONOVA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT-HARD GRB 130603B journal August 2013
The Light Curve of the Macronova Associated with the Long–Short Burst grb 060614 journal September 2015
The mass of the black hole in GRS 1915+105: new constraints from infrared spectroscopy journal February 2013
Natal kicks of stellar mass black holes by asymmetric mass ejection in fallback supernovae journal July 2013
Implications of PSR J0737-3039B for the Galactic NS-NS binary merger rate journal January 2015
Constraining the formation of black holes in short-period black hole low-mass X-ray binaries journal September 2015
Matching post-Newtonian and numerical relativity waveforms: Systematic errors and a new phenomenological model for nonprecessing black hole binaries journal September 2010
Inspiral-merger-ringdown multipolar waveforms of nonspinning black-hole binaries using the effective-one-body formalism journal December 2011
A statistical study of 233 pulsar proper motions journal July 2005
Magnetic braking of Ap/Bp stars: application to compact black-hole X-ray binaries journal March 2006
The cosmic evolution of metallicity from the SDSS fossil record journal December 2008
Investigating stellar-mass black hole kicks: Investigating stellar-mass black hole kicks journal September 2012
Formation of a Black Hole in the Dark journal April 2003
Binary Interaction Dominates the Evolution of Massive Stars journal July 2012
Pulsar Kicks and dark Matter from a Sterile Neutrino conference January 2012
Large Mixing Angle Sterile Neutrinos and Pulsar Velocities journal October 2009
The Chemical Composition of the Sun journal September 2009
An unusually massive stellar black hole in the Galaxy journal November 2001
Neutrino Transport in Strongly Magnetized Proto–Neutron Stars and the Origin of Pulsar Kicks: The Effect of Asymmetric Magnetic Field Topology journal October 1998
The Role of Helium Stars in the Formation of Double Neutron Stars journal July 2003
Neutron Star Kicks from Asymmetric Collapse journal January 2004
The Cosmic Coalescence Rates for Double Neutron Star Binaries journal January 2004
Kinematics of Black Hole X‐Ray Binary GRS 1915+105 journal October 2007
Understanding Compact Object Formation and Natal Kicks. ii. the case of xte J1118 + 480 journal May 2009
On the Binding Energy Parameter λ of Common Envelope Evolution journal May 2010
Compact Object Coalescence rate Estimation from Short Gamma-Ray Burst Observations journal April 2013
Advanced Virgo: a second-generation interferometric gravitational wave detector journal December 2014
An ellipsoidal modulation in Nova Ophiuchi 1977 (=H1705–25=V2107 Oph) journal May 1995
Pulsar kicks from a dark-matter sterile neutrino journal November 2003
The formation of the black hole in the X-ray binary system V404 Cyg journal April 2009
The R136 star cluster hosts several stars whose individual masses greatly exceed the accepted 150 M⊙ stellar mass limit: Very massive stars in R136 and NGC 3603 journal July 2010
Multidimensional supernova simulations with approximative neutrino transport: I. Neutron star kicks and the anisotropy of neutrino-driven explosions in two spatial dimensions journal September 2006
Can Parity Violation in Neutrino Transport Lead to Pulsar Kicks? journal July 1999
Pulsar Acceleration by Asymmetric Emission of Sterile Neutrinos journal March 2001
The Hubble Higher z Supernova Search: Supernovae to z ≈ 1.6 and Constraints on Type Ia Progenitor Models journal September 2004
Understanding Compact Object Formation and Natal Kicks. I. Calculation Methods and the Case of GRO J1655−40 journal May 2005
Compact Object Modeling with the StarTrack Population Synthesis Code
  • Belczynski, Krzysztof; Kalogera, Vassiliki; Rasio, Frederic A.
  • The Astrophysical Journal Supplement Series, Vol. 174, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1086/521026
journal January 2008
The First Accurate Parallax Distance to a Black hole journal November 2009
The Inclination of the soft X-Ray Transient A0620–00 and the mass of its Black hole journal January 2010
Ic10 X-1/Ngc300 x-1: the very Immediate Progenitors of Bh-Bh Binaries journal March 2011
Missing Black Holes Unveil the Supernova Explosion Mechanism journal September 2012
The Not-So-Massive Black hole in the Microquasar Grs1915+105 journal April 2013
Distinguishing Compact Binary Population Synthesis Models Using Gravitational wave Observations of Coalescing Binary Black Holes journal August 2015
Compact binary coalescences in the band of ground-based gravitational-wave detectors journal May 2010
Predictions for the rates of compact binary coalescences observable by ground-based gravitational-wave detectors journal July 2010
Estimates of black hole natal kick velocities from observations of low-mass X-ray binaries journal December 2015
Pulsar Kicks and dark Matter from a Sterile Neutrino journal March 2005
Short-Duration Gamma-Ray Bursts journal August 2014
Common envelope evolution: where we stand and how we can move forward journal February 2013
A possible macronova in the late afterglow of the long–short burst GRB 060614 journal June 2015
The quiescent light curve and the evolutionary state of GRO J1655-40 journal March 2002
A Black Hole in the X-Ray Nova Ophiuchi 1997 journal April 1997
Hyperaccreting Black Holes and Gamma‐Ray Bursts journal June 1999
The Trigonometric Parallax of Cygnus x-1 journal November 2011
The Dynamical Evolution of Stellar Black Holes in Globular Clusters journal February 2015
Double Compact Objects. iii. Gravitational-Wave Detection Rates journal June 2015
The effects of high-velocity supernova kicks on the orbital properties and sky distributions of neutron-star binaries journal May 1995
Precise mass and spin measurements for a stellar-mass black hole through X-ray timing: the case of GRO J1655−40 journal November 2013
Evolution and fate of very massive stars journal June 2013
The effect of PSR J0737-3039 on the DNS merger rate and implications for gravity-wave detection journal March 2010
Neutrino-driven Explosions in Gamma-Ray Bursts and Hypernovae journal March 2003
Host Galaxies Catalog Used in LIGO Searches for Compact Binary Coalescence Events journal March 2008
Understanding Compact Object Formation and Natal Kicks. iii. the case of Cygnus x-1 journal February 2012
Keck infrared observations of GRO J0422+32 in quiescence journal January 2007
IC10~X-1/NGC300~X-1: the very immediate progenitors of BH-BH binaries text January 2008
Understanding Compact Object Formation and Natal Kicks: II. The case of XTE J1118+480 text January 2008
Large Mixing Angle Sterile Neutrinos and Pulsar Velocities text January 2009
Compact Binary Coalescences in the Band of Ground-based Gravitational-Wave Detectors text January 2009
Predictions for the Rates of Compact Binary Coalescences Observable by Ground-based Gravitational-wave Detectors text January 2010
The effect of metallicity on the detection prospects for gravitational waves text January 2010
Near-Infrared Spectroscopy of Low Mass X-ray Binaries : Accretion Disk Contamination and Compact Object Mass Determination in V404 Cyg and Cen X-4 text January 2010
Matching post-Newtonian and numerical relativity waveforms: systematic errors and a new phenomenological model for non-precessing black hole binaries text January 2010
The Mass of the Black Hole in Cygnus X-1 text January 2011
A Jet Break in the X-ray Light Curve of Short GRB 111020A: Implications for Energetics and Rates text January 2012
Common Envelope Evolution: Where we stand and how we can move forward text January 2012
The not-so-massive black hole in the microquasar GRS1915+105 text January 2013
An r-Process Kilonova Associated with the Short-Hard GRB 130603B text January 2013
Massive double compact object mergers: gravitational wave sources and r-process-element production sites text January 2013
Double Compact Objects II: Cosmological Merger Rates text January 2013
Implications of PSR J0737-3039B for the Galactic NS-NS Binary Merger Rate text January 2013
Double Compact Objects III: Gravitational Wave Detection Rates text January 2014
The Fate of the Compact Remnant in Neutron Star Mergers text January 2015
The lightcurve of the macronova associated with the long-short burst GRB 060614 text January 2015
Constraining the formation of black-holes in short-period Black-Hole Low-Mass X-ray Binaries text January 2015
A Black Hole in the Superluminal source SAX J1819.3-2525 (V4641 Sgr) text January 2001
The quiescent light curve and evolutionary state of GRO J1655-40 text January 2001
The Cosmic Coalescence Rates for Double Neutron Star Binaries text January 2003
The Hubble Higher-Z Supernova Search: Supernovae to z=1.6 and Constraints on Type Ia Progenitor Models text January 2004
Magnetic Braking of Ap/Bp Stars: Application to Compact Black-Hole X-Ray Binaries text January 2005
Effects of neutrino-driven kicks on the supernova explosion mechanism text January 2005
XTE J1118+480: A Metal-Rich Black Hole Binary in the Galactic Halo text January 2006
On the rarity of double black hole binaries: consequences for gravitational-wave detection text January 2006
The Mass Distribution of Stellar Black Holes text January 1997
Hyper-Accreting Black Holes and Gamma-Ray Bursts text January 1998

Cited By (81)

The first gravitational-wave source from the isolated evolution of two stars in the 40–100 solar mass range journal June 2016
A two per cent Hubble constant measurement from standard sirens within five years journal October 2018
The effect of pair-instability mass loss on black-hole mergers journal October 2016
The black hole retention fraction in star clusters journal September 2018
bpass predictions for binary black hole mergers journal July 2016
Black hole binaries dynamically formed in globular clusters journal April 2017
Host galaxy properties of mergers of stellar binary black holes and their implications for advanced LIGO gravitational wave sources journal December 2017
Impact of ejecta morphology and composition on the electromagnetic signatures of neutron star mergers journal April 2018
Double gravitational wave mergers journal August 2018
Black Hole Mergers From Globular Clusters Observable by LISA I: Eccentric Sources Originating From Relativistic N-body Dynamics journal August 2018
GW170817: implications for the local kilonova rate and for surveys from ground-based facilities journal September 2018
X-ray detectability of accreting isolated black holes in our Galaxy journal March 2018
Radio emission from accreting isolated black holes in our galaxy journal July 2019
Detecting gravitational self-lensing from stellar-mass binaries composed of black holes or neutron stars journal November 2019
Gravitational-wave detection rates for compact binaries formed in isolation: LIGO/Virgo O3 and beyond journal September 2019
Machine-learning interpolation of population-synthesis simulations to interpret gravitational-wave observations: A case study journal October 2019
Directly comparing GW150914 with numerical solutions of Einstein’s equations for binary black hole coalescence journal September 2016
Black hole mergers and the QCD axion at Advanced LIGO journal February 2017
Gravitational wave searches for ultralight bosons with LIGO and LISA journal September 2017
Eccentric black hole mergers forming in globular clusters journal May 2018
Digging Deeper: Observing Primordial Gravitational Waves below the Binary-Black-Hole-Produced Stochastic Background journal April 2017
Neutron-Star Radius from a Population of Binary Neutron Star Mergers journal January 2018
THE EVOLUTION OF NORMAL GALAXY X-RAY EMISSION THROUGH COSMIC HISTORY: CONSTRAINTS FROM THE 6 MS CHANDRA DEEP FIELD-SOUTH journal June 2016
The role of the Kozai–Lidov Mechanism in Black hole Binary Mergers in Galactic Centers journal September 2016
Merging Black hole Binaries in Galactic Nuclei: Implications for Advanced-Ligo Detections journal November 2016
Binary Black Holes in Dense star Clusters: Exploring the Theoretical Uncertainties journal January 2017
Dissipative Evolution of Unequal-mass Binary–single Interactions and Its Relevance to Gravitational-wave Detections journal February 2018
Black Hole Mergers in Galactic Nuclei Induced by the Eccentric Kozai–Lidov Effect journal April 2018
Can We Distinguish Low-mass Black Holes in Neutron Star Binaries? journal March 2018
The Rate of Stellar Mass Black Hole Scattering in Galactic Nuclei journal August 2019
Double Neutron Star Mergers from Hierarchical Triple-star Systems journal September 2019
Populations of Stellar-mass Black Holes from Binary Systems journal October 2019
The Progenitor of Gw150914 journal June 2016
The Growth of Stellar Mass Black Hole Binaries Trapped in the Accretion Disks of Active Galactic Nuclei journal June 2018
The Complete Evolution of a Neutron-star Binary through a Common Envelope Phase Using 1D Hydrodynamic Simulations journal October 2019
Rotating stars in relativity journal November 2017
High mass X-ray binaries: Beacons in a stormy universe journal August 2018
Black hole spins in coalescing binary black holes journal December 2018
First results from the IllustrisTNG simulations: a tale of two elements – chemical evolution of magnesium and europium journal March 2018
Stochastic Gravitational-Wave Background due to Primordial Binary Black Hole Mergers journal November 2016
Directly comparing GW150914 with numerical solutions of Einstein's equations for binary black hole coalescence other January 2016
Binary Black Hole Mergers from Field Triples: Properties, Rates, and the Impact of Stellar Evolution journal May 2017
Impact of inter-correlated initial binary parameters on double black hole and neutron star mergers journal November 2018
Double neutron stars: merger rates revisited journal November 2017
The effect of binding energy and resolution in simulations of the common envelope binary interaction journal March 2018
Gamma-ray bursts and their use as cosmic probes journal July 2017
Escape speed of stellar clusters from multiple-generation black-hole mergers in the upper mass gap journal August 2019
Probing the black hole merger history in clusters using stellar tidal disruptions journal August 2019
Observing cosmological binary mergers with next generation neutrino and gravitational wave detectors journal January 2020
Black hole superradiance signatures of ultralight vectors journal August 2017
Deep neural networks to enable real-time multimessenger astrophysics journal February 2018
Multiband gravitational-wave event rates and stellar physics journal May 2019
Spectroscopy of Kerr Black Holes with Earth- and Space-Based Interferometers journal September 2016
MOCCA-SURVEY Database. I. Eccentric Black Hole Mergers during Binary–Single Interactions in Globular Clusters journal March 2018
On the Rate and on the Gravitational Wave Emission of Short and Long GRBs journal May 2018
Constraining the Fraction of Binary Black Holes Formed in Isolation and Young Star Clusters with Gravitational-wave Data journal November 2019
The Final spin from Binary Black Holes in Quasi-Circular Orbits journal July 2016
Upper Limits on the Rates of Binary Neutron star and Neutron Star–Black hole Mergers from Advanced Ligo’S First Observing run journal November 2016
Dynamical Formation of Low-mass Merging Black Hole Binaries like GW151226 journal February 2017
Where Are LIGO’s Big Black Holes? journal December 2017
Gravitational-wave Sources from Mergers of Binary Black Holes Catalyzed by Flyby Interactions in the Field journal December 2019
A Dynamical Gravitational Wave Source in a Dense Cluster journal January 2016
On the host galaxy properties of stellar binary black hole mergers journal October 2017
eLISA eccentricity measurements as tracers of binary black hole formation journal September 2016
Monte Carlo Population Synthesis on Massive Star Binaries: Astrophysical Implications for Gravitational-wave Sources journal October 2018
Presupernova Evolution and Explosive Nucleosynthesis of Rotating Massive Stars in the Metallicity Range −3 ≤ [Fe/H] ≤ 0 journal July 2018
Prospects for Multiband Gravitational-Wave Astronomy after GW150914 journal June 2016
Testing the speed of gravitational waves over cosmological distances with strong gravitational lensing text January 2016
The Evolution of Normal Galaxy X-ray Emission Through Cosmic History: Constraints from the 6 Ms Chandra Deep Field-South text January 2016
The Effect of Pair-Instability Mass Loss on Black Hole Mergers text January 2016
Stochastic Gravitational-Wave Background due to Primordial Binary Black Hole Mergers text January 2016
Dynamical Formation of Low-Mass Merging Black Hole Binaries like GW151226 text January 2016
Rotating Stars in Relativity text January 2016
Black hole spins in coalescing binary black holes text January 2017
Where are LIGO's Big Black Holes? text January 2017
Can we distinguish low mass black holes in neutron star binaries? text January 2017
The rate of stellar mass black hole scattering in galactic nuclei text January 2019
Constraining the fraction of binary black holes formed in isolation and young star clusters with gravitational-wave data text January 2019
Escape speed of stellar clusters from multiple-generation black-hole mergers in the upper mass gap text January 2019
Populations of stellar mass Black holes from binary systems text January 2019
The Complete Evolution of a Neutron-Star Binary through a Common Envelope Phase Using 1D Hydrodynamic Simulations text January 2019

Similar Records

Compact binary merger rates: Comparison with LIGO/Virgo upper limits
Journal Article · Thu Mar 03 00:00:00 EST 2016 · The Astrophysical Journal (Online) · OSTI ID:22890154

THE FATE OF Cyg X-1: AN EMPIRICAL LOWER LIMIT ON BLACK-HOLE-NEUTRON-STAR MERGER RATE
Journal Article · Sun Nov 20 00:00:00 EST 2011 · Astrophysical Journal Letters · OSTI ID:22890154

Double compact objects. II. Cosmological merger rates
Journal Article · Tue Dec 10 00:00:00 EST 2013 · Astrophysical Journal · OSTI ID:22890154