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Estimating and forecasting failure rate processes by means of the Kalman filter. [Nonparametric method]

Conference ·
OSTI ID:7125821
A new nonparametric method is described for analyzing failure data. The approach used is to model the logarithm of the failure-rate process as a linear dynamic system with observations. This formulation permits the underlying failure-rate process to be corrupted by noise from various sources. In addition, the observations of the process are functions of simple nonparametric failure-rate estimates which are assumed to be noisy. The Kalman filter equations are used to provide the estimates and future forecasts. An example is provided. 5 figures.
Research Organization:
Los Alamos Scientific Lab., NM (USA)
DOE Contract Number:
W-7405-ENG-36
OSTI ID:
7125821
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-76-41; CONF-751250-1
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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