CIA's ''the international energy situation: outlook to 1985''. [Evaluation of the CIA report]

Journal Article · Sat Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1977 · Electr. Perspect.; (United States)

OSTI ID:7079012

Netschert, B C

A prediction by the Central Intelligence Agency in their report that 1980 world oil production will fall short of world demand is examined and found to be not as pessimistic as President Carter indicated at his April 15, 1977 press conference. The report presents a statistical review of the world energy and petroleum situation, develops demand scenarios, and concludes a possible shortfall in energy supplies. Dr. Netschert feels that a combination of international demand and political events would need to occur in order for the shortfall to become probable. Newly discovered resources are not included in the report, which makes a pessimistic worst-case assumption for each energy source. The author concludes that President Carter used the report as a way to get public attention and commitment to a national energy policy. CIA assessments of the China, Soviet Union, and OPEC energy capability are challenged. (DCK)

• Research Organization: National Economic Research Associates, New York
• OSTI ID: 7079012
• Journal Information: Electr. Perspect.; (United States), Journal Name: Electr. Perspect.; (United States) Vol. 4; ISSN ELPED
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290400 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Energy Resources
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
ASIA
CHINA
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY POLICY
ENERGY SHORTAGES
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
EUROPE
EXPLORATION
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUELS
GLOBAL ASPECTS
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
INFORMATION
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
MATHEMATICS
OPEC
PETROLEUM
PRODUCTION
PUBLIC OPINION
RESERVES
STATISTICS
TABLES
USSR