Model documentation: short-term integrated forecasting system demand model, 1984

Technical Report · Tue May 01 04:00:00 EDT 1984

OSTI ID:6975542

The Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System (STIFS) Demand Model consists of a set of energy demand and price models that are used to forecast monthly demand and prices of various energy products six quarters in the future. The STIFS demand model is based on monthly data (unless otherwise noted), but the forecast is published on a quarterly basis. All of the forecasts are presented at the national level, and no regional detail is available. The model discussed in this report is the February 1984 version of the STIFS demand model. The relationships described by this model include: the specification of retail energy prices as a function of input prices (for example, the world oil price where appropriate), seasonal factors, and other significant variables; and the specification of energy demand by product as a function of price, a measure of economic activity, and other appropriate variables. Commodities covered are: gasoline, distillate, fuel oils, residual fuel oils, power generation, coal and other petroleum products. 27 references, 3 figures, 45 tables.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC. Office of Energy Markets and End Use
• OSTI ID: 6975542
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0391(84); ON: DE84011315
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290100 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Energy Analysis & Modeling
294002* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Petroleum
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
DEMAND
DISTILLATES
ECONOMICS
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SOURCES
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL OILS
FUELS
GASOLINE
LIQUID FUELS
MATERIALS
NORTH AMERICA
OILS
ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OTHER ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM DISTILLATES
PETROLEUM FRACTIONS
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
POWER GENERATION
PRICES
RESIDUAL FUELS
SEASONAL VARIATIONS
USA
VARIATIONS