Model documentation report: short-term integrated forecasting system

Technical Report · Wed Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1986

OSTI ID:5761381

The Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System (STIFS) Demand Model consists of a set of energy demand and price models that are used to forecast monthly demand and prices of various energy products up to eight quarters in the future. The STIFS demand model is based on monthly data (unless otherwise noted), but the forecast is published on a quarterly basis. All of the forecasts are presented at the national level, and no regional detail is available. The model discussed in this report is the January 1986 version of the STIFS demand model. The relationships described by this model include: the specification of retail energy prices as a function of input prices (for example, the world oil price where appropriate), seasonal factors, and other significant variables; and the specification of energy demand by product as a function of price, a measure of economic activity, and other appropriate variables. 61 tabs.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC. Office of Energy Markets and End Use
• OSTI ID: 5761381
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-M017; ON: DE86012574
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
294000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Fossil Fuels
298000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Consumption & Utilization
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
DATA
DEMAND
DOCUMENTATION
ELECTRIC POWER
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
EXPORTS
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL GAS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASES
IMPORTS
INFORMATION
MARKET
MATERIALS
NATURAL GAS
NUMERICAL DATA
PETROLEUM
POWER
STATISTICAL DATA