A new method for stochastic production simulation in generation system with multiple hydro units
This paper describes a new method of calculating loss of load probability, expected energy generation and production cost for units in a generating system with multiple hydro units. The method uses the equivalent load duration curve (ELDC) obtained by convolving the distributions of the original load and the forced outage power loss of all generators. Hydro units are scheduled on the ELDC according to their assigned energy and available capacity. Then the deconvolution procedure is performed to obtain a load duration curve for an equivalent system without hydro units. The expected energy of the thermal units is achieved by convolving the generating units in an economic merit order of loading.
- Research Organization:
- Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua Univ., Beijing (CN)
- OSTI ID:
- 6943929
- Journal Information:
- IEEE Trans. Energy Conver.; (United States), Journal Name: IEEE Trans. Energy Conver.; (United States) Vol. 3:2; ISSN ITCNE
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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Related Subjects
130300* -- Hydro Energy-- Plant Design & Operation
130500 -- Hydro Energy-- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
ACCOUNTING
ASIA
CHINA
ECONOMICS
ELECTRIC GENERATORS
ENERGY ACCOUNTING
ENERGY ANALYSIS
HYDROELECTRIC POWER PLANTS
LOAD ANALYSIS
LOAD MANAGEMENT
MANAGEMENT
OUTAGES
POWER PLANTS
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES