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World oil availability: the role of OPEC policies

Journal Article · · Annu. Rev. Energy; (United States)
The new ''bean-counting'' approach, which examines the technical, economic, and political factors that affect OPEC nations' perceptions and policy options, can lead to far-more-realistic evaluations of world oil availability in the 1980s. In general, by 1990, OPEC oil exports will decline by 15-40%, and the world oil trade could shrink by 30%. Little reflief is expected from non-OPEC oil producers in the developed, developing, and Communist regions. OPEC nations' pricing is expected to be based on regional considerations, with wide variations in price between different qualities of crude oil that ignore the traditional differentials mechanism. In all, the world economy remains unprepared to cope with the fundamental changes brought about by OPEC. 40 refs.
Research Organization:
East-West Resources Systems Inst., Honolulu, Hawaii
OSTI ID:
6825010
Journal Information:
Annu. Rev. Energy; (United States), Journal Name: Annu. Rev. Energy; (United States) Vol. 6; ISSN AREND
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English