Energy and the Third World

Journal Article · Sun Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1978 · Technol. Rev.; (United States)

OSTI ID:6690401

Martin, W F ^[1]; Pinto, F J.P.

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1. International Energy Agency, Paris

The imbalance of energy supply and demand is analyzed for ninety-three developing nations, of which 13 are members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and 80 are non-OPEC. Estimates of future energy growth by the Workshop on Alternative Energy Strategies (WAES) used the World Bank's SIMLINK model, which assumes a historical relationship between energy consumption and economic growth. Developing countries are projected to have a higher growth rate than developed countries through the year 2000, with the OPEC countries having rates of over seven percent and non-OPEC developing countries rates of four to five percent. Supply and demand estimates are derived for petroleum, natural gas, coal, and electricity for both low and high economic growth. An imbalance emerges that could cause the high-income developing nations to impose constraints on the non-OPEC nations. The most serious constraint would be inadequate capital to develop self-sufficiency. Developing countries may devise policies to moderate energy demand by balancing development equally among the industrial, agricultural, and service sectors. 11 references.

• OSTI ID: 6690401
• Journal Information: Technol. Rev.; (United States), Journal Name: Technol. Rev.; (United States) Vol. 80:7; ISSN TEREA
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290200 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Economics & Sociology
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
CAPITAL
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMICS
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY POLICY
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FORECASTING
GLOBAL ASPECTS
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
OIL-IMPORTING COUNTRIES
OPEC
SUPPLY AND DEMAND
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER