Residential demand for energy: a time-series and cross-sectional analysis for eight OECD countries

Technical Report · Sat Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1983

OSTI ID:6485120

Chern, W S; Ketoff, A; Schipper, L; Rosse, J S

The purpose of this study is to develop an econometric model of residential energy demand at the end-use level for the eight countries in the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). A multinomial logit model was developed and estimated for the total residential demand and the space heating component. The model consists of an aggregate demand equation and a set of fuel share equations. Annual data for selected years during 1960 to 1979 from eight countries are pooled for estimation. The statistical results show that energy price, income, heating degree days, house size, and the saturation of central heating are important determinants for total residential demand and its space heating component. In other words, the differences in residential energy use patterns among the eight OECD countries can be explained by the differences in these structural variables. Four sets of energy demand elasticities were computed from the model's estimates. The estimates of the overall price elasticity are -0.513 and -0.356 for the total residential demand and space heating demand, respectively. The corresponding estimates of income elasticity are 0.771 and 0.465. The other fuel share elasticities and conventional fuel demand elasticities were also computed and presented in the report.

• Research Organization: Lawrence Berkeley Lab., CA (USA)
• DOE Contract Number: AC03-76SF00098
• OSTI ID: 6485120
• Report Number(s): LBL-14251; ON: DE83008650
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
320101* -- Energy Conservation
Consumption
& Utilization-- Residential Buildings-- (-1987)
ASIA
CANADA
DEMAND
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMICS
ELECTRIC POWER
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY SOURCES
EUROPE
FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY
FLUIDS
FOSSIL FUELS
FRANCE
FUEL GAS
FUEL OILS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASES
HEATING
ITALY
JAPAN
LIQUID FUELS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
NATURAL GAS
NORTH AMERICA
OILS
ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OTHER ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
POWER
RESIDENTIAL SECTOR
SCANDINAVIA
SOLID FUELS
SPACE HEATING
SWEDEN
UNITED KINGDOM
USA
WESTERN EUROPE