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Energy consumption and fuel choice by residential and commercial consumers in the United States

Journal Article · · Energy Syst. Policy; (United States)
OSTI ID:7140224
This paper reports on the conceptual design and estimation of a model of total energy demand and fuel choice in the residential and commercial sector in the United States. A simple flow adjustment model is used to explain total energy demand in the residential and commercial sector and a multinomial logit formulation is used to explain the ''fuel split'' between oil, natural gas, and electricity. Estimates of ''market-share'' elasticities and own-price and cross-price elasticities are presented for oil, natural gas, and electricity for an abstract mean state within the United States. The econometric model is then used to simulate the consumption of the various fuels under four possible future price scenarios. The results of these simulations are compared with those published by the Federal Energy Administration.
OSTI ID:
7140224
Journal Information:
Energy Syst. Policy; (United States), Journal Name: Energy Syst. Policy; (United States) Vol. 1:4; ISSN ESYPB
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English