Short-Term Energy Outlook. Volume 2. Methodology

Technical Report · Mon Nov 01 04:00:00 EST 1982

OSTI ID:6451732

Analytical techniques and assumptions used to prepare the forecasts shown in the November 1982 Outlook, Volume 1 are discussed. Chapters are independent of one another so that specific information can be obtained without reading the entire volume. A brief overview of each chapter is given below: Chapter 2 discusses the changes in forecasting methodology for motor gasoline, distillate and residual fuel oil, other petroleum products, coking coal, electricity generation, and various energy prices. Chapter 3 evaluates the accuracy of previous short-term forecasts of all the major energy sources published in the last 11 issues of the Outlook. Macroeconomic and weather assumptions are included in this evaluation. Chapter 4 analyzes the reasons for the recent price increases in residential electricity and natural gas. Chapter 5 discusses the methodology used to forecast coal exports and analyzes US coal exports from both a historical and an international perspective, and Chapter 6 summarizes the panel discussions at the Short-Term Energy Forecasting Symposium held in October 1982.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC. Office of Energy Markets and End Use
• OSTI ID: 6451732
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0202(82/4Q)-2; ON: DE83008810
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
DATA
DATA COMPILATION
DEMAND
ELECTRIC POWER
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SOURCES
EXPORTS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL OILS
FUELS
INFORMATION
LIQUID FUELS
MATERIALS
NUMERICAL DATA
OILS
ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OTHER ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
POWER
PRICES
RESIDENTIAL SECTOR