Short-term energy outlook. Volume 2. Methodology

Technical Report · Sun May 01 04:00:00 EDT 1983

OSTI ID:5764065

This volume updates models and methodologies and presents information on new developments since November 1982. Chapters are independent of one another. Chapter 2 discusses recent changes in forecasting methodology for nonutility distillate fuel oil demand and for the near-term petroleum forecasts. Chapter 3 evaluates the accuracy of previous short-term forecasts of most of the major energy sources published in the last 13 issues of the Outlook. Macroeconomic and weather assumptions are included in this evaluation. Chapter 4 presents a comparison of energy forecasts for 1983. Chapter 5 tests for structural change in US petroleum consumption. Chapter 6 discusses the use of appropriate weather data in energy demand modeling. Chapter 7 discusses petroleum inventories, imports, and refinery runs.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC. Office of Energy Markets and End Use
• OSTI ID: 5764065
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0202(83/2Q)-2; ON: DE83016853
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

02 PETROLEUM
020700* -- Petroleum-- Economics
Industrial
& Business Aspects
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290100 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Energy Analysis & Modeling
294002 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Petroleum
DATA
DEMAND
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SOURCES
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL OILS
FUELS
IMPORTS
INFORMATION
INVENTORIES
LIQUID FUELS
NORTH AMERICA
NUMERICAL DATA
OILS
ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OTHER ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
PRODUCTION
STATISTICAL DATA
USA
WEATHER