Forecasts of principal petroleum product demands 1979, 1985, 1990 by DOE region and four macroeconomic/geologic scenarios

Technical Report · Tue Aug 01 04:00:00 EDT 1978

OSTI ID:6067070

Allen, C; Gaynor, W; Walton, H

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) was requested by the Economic Regulatory Administration to provide estimates of the domestic demand for the principal refined petroleum products in 1980, 1985, and 1990 in each region of the country. This information was to be used in DOE testimony before the US Senate Subcommittee on Energy Conservation and Regulation on July 10, 1978. Tables 1 to 4 of this Analysis Memorandum present the range of domestic demand estimates for 1979, 1985, and 1990 for gasoline, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel oil, and jet fuel oil. The range was obtained by considering four macro-economic/geologic scenarios originally developed for the EIA Annual Report to Congress, Volume II, (AAR) published in April 1978. Descriptions of the pecise assumptions underlying these scenarios can be found in the AAR. Demands for 1979 were developed using the Short-Term Petroleum Product Demand (STPPDM) Model, while forecasts for 1985 and 1990 were developed by the EIA mid-range energy modeling system. All forecasts are consistent with those published in the AAR. Forecasts for 1980 are not presented because the short-term model has not been validated for that year using the scenario definitions contained in the AAR.

• Research Organization: Department of Energy, Washington, DC (USA). Energy Information Administration
• OSTI ID: 6067070
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0102/12
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

02 PETROLEUM
020700 -- Petroleum-- Economics
Industrial
& Business Aspects
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
294002 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Petroleum
DEMAND FACTORS
FORECASTING
FUEL OILS
FUELS
GASOLINE
HEATING OILS
JET ENGINE FUELS
OILS
ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OTHER ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
RESIDUAL FUELS