Short-term projections of the energy supply and demand in the United States from the EIA annual report to Congress, 1977

Technical Report · Fri Dec 01 04:00:00 EST 1978

OSTI ID:6306977

This Analysis Memorandum contains the short-term energy projections presented in the EIA Annual Report to Congress, 1977 (AAR/77). That Report, published in April 1978 reports results obtained using the data, industry expertise, and computer-based forecasting models available in January and February 1978. Recent events have altered the short-term outlook for domestic energy markets, and a full analysis of those factors will be presented in the 197 Annual Report. United States domestic consumption of gross energy inputs (not accounting for generation and transmission losses) is projected to grow from 73.7 quadrillion Btu (quads) in 1976 to 79.6 quads by 1979, an increase of about 2.6% per year, accelerating somewhat from the 1970--1976 growth rate of about 1.8%. This assumes a mid-range projections of economic activity. A low growth assumption yields a 1979 domestic consumption figure of 79.2 quads (2.4% growth) and the high demand assumption yields consumption of 81.9 quads (3.6% growth rate). Detailed analyses of the short-term forecasts for each fuel are included. The major factors affecting demands and supplies, the ranges of the forecasts, the sensitivity of the forecasts to significant uncertainties, and comparisons with other relevant forecasts are presented. (MCW)

• Research Organization: Department of Energy, Washington, DC (USA). Energy Information Administration
• OSTI ID: 6306977
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0102/37
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
DATA FORMS
DOCUMENT TYPES
ELECTRIC POWER
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL GAS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASES
NATURAL GAS
NORTH AMERICA
PETROLEUM
POWER
REVIEWS
TABLES
USA