Short-term energy outlook: quarterly projections, first quarter 1992

Technical Report · Sat Feb 01 04:00:00 EST 1992

OSTI ID:5853775

This publication presents future cases of quarterly short-term energy supply, demand, and prices for publication in February, May, August, and November in the Short-Term Energy Outlook (Outlook). An annual supplement analyzes the performance of previous forecasts, compares recent cases with those of other forecasting services, and discusses current topics related to the short-term energy markets. (See Short-Term Energy Outlook: Annual Supplement, DOE/EIA-0202). The principal users of the Outlook are managers and energy analysts in private industry and government. The forecast period for this issue extends from the first quarter of 1992 through the fourth quarter of 1993. Some data for the fourth quarter of 1991 are preliminary estimates (for example, some petroleum estimates are based on statistics from the Weekly Petroleum Status Report) or are derived from internal model simulations using the latest exogenous information available (for example, some electricity demand estimates are based on recent weather data). The cases are produced using the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System (STIFS). The STIFS model is driven principally by the following sets of assumptions or inputs: estimates of key macroeconomic variables, world oil price assumptions, and assumptions about the severity of weather. Macroeconomic estimates are produced by DRI/McGraw-Hill.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States). Office of Energy Markets and End Use
• Sponsoring Organization: DOE; USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• OSTI ID: 5853775
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0202(92/1Q); ON: DE92007641
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
294001 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Coal
294002 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Petroleum
294003 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Natural Gas
296000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Electric Power
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
DATA
DEMAND
ECONOMICS
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL CONSUMPTION
FUEL GAS
FUEL OILS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GAS OILS
GASES
GASOLINE
HEATING OILS
HISTORICAL ASPECTS
IMPORTS
INFORMATION
JET ENGINE FUELS
LIQUID FUELS
MARKET
MATERIALS
NATURAL GAS
NUMERICAL DATA
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM FRACTIONS
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
PRICES
SUPPLY AND DEMAND
WEATHER