Short-term energy outlook (Quarterly Projections, Q3, 1991)

Technical Report · Fri Aug 02 04:00:00 EDT 1991

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/5648191· OSTI ID:5648191

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) presents future cases of quarterly short-term energy supply, demand, and prices for publication in February, May, August, and November in the Short-Term Energy Outlook (Outlook). An annual supplement analyzes the performance of previous forecasts, compares recent cases with those of other forecasting services, and discusses current topics related to the short-term energy markets. The forecast period for this issue of the Outlook extends from the third quarter of 1991 through the fourth quarter of 1992. Some data for the second quarter of 1991 are preliminary EIA estimates (for example, some petroleum estimates are based on statistics from the Weekly Petroleum Status Report) or are derived from internal model simulations using the latest exogenous information available (for example, some electricity demand estimates are based on recent weather data). the cases are produced using the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System (STIFS). The STIFS model is driven principally by the following sets of assumptions or inputs: estimates of key macroeconomic variables, world oil price assumptions, and assumptions about the severity of weather. Macroeconomic estimates are produced by DRI/McGraw-Hill, but are adjusted by EIA to reflect EIA assumptions about the world price crude oil, energy product prices, and other assumptions which may affect the macroeconomic outlook. 29 refs., 14 figs., 1 tab.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States). Office of Energy Markets and End Use
• Sponsoring Organization: DOE; USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• OSTI ID: 5648191
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0202(91/3Q); ON: DE91016938
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
294002* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Petroleum
294003 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Natural Gas
296000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Electric Power
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY
ENERGY SOURCES
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL GAS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASES
HISTORICAL ASPECTS
MATERIALS
NATURAL GAS
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
SUPPLY AND DEMAND