Assessment of potential US petroleum supply shortfalls, 1978. Analysis memorandum AM/IA/78-06

Technical Report · Fri Jun 02 04:00:00 EDT 1978

OSTI ID:5749402

Butler, D

The purpose of this Analysis Memorandum is to provide an assessment of potential US petroleum supply shortfalls for the year 1978. The assessment is based upon the mid-range (Projection Series C) supply and demand projections provided in the Energy Information Administration 1977 Annual Report to Congress, Volume II. A total of five disruption scenarios (25% OAPEC embargo, 50% OAPEC embargo, Persian Gulf closure, OPEC embargo, and targeted OPEC embargo) for the year 1978 was simulated using the Petroleum Allocation (PAL) model. The expected supply shortfalls to the United States resulting from each of these cases are summarized.

• Research Organization: Department of Energy, Washington, DC (USA). Energy Information Administration
• OSTI ID: 5749402
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0102/24
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

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