Earthquakes: prediction proving elusive

Journal Article · Fri Apr 28 04:00:00 EST 1978 · Science; (United States)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1126/science.200.4340.419· OSTI ID:5705128

Kerr, R A

The difficulties associated with earthquake prediction are reviewed. The once-promising dilatancy theory has been displaced by monitoring of small earthquakes and earthquake swarms. While the ability to observe possible precursors has increased considerably, no reliable precursor has been found; without a long, detailed monitoring record, it is difficult to tell if some anomalous activity foretells a major earthquake. The existence of slow earthquakes would greatly complicate long-term prediction. (RWR)

• OSTI ID: 5705128
• Journal Information: Science; (United States), Journal Name: Science; (United States) Vol. 200:4340; ISSN SCIEA
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

58 GEOSCIENCES
580201* -- Geophysics-- Seismology & Tectonics-- (1980-1989)
EARTHQUAKES
FORECASTING
MONITORING
PRECURSOR
SEISMIC EVENTS