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New Opportunities to Study Earthquake Precursors

Journal Article · · Seismological Research Letters
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1785/0220200089· OSTI ID:1770032
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [2];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9];  [8];  [10];  [11];  [12];  [13];  [14];  [15];  [16];  [17];  [18] more »;  [19] « less
  1. Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY (United States)
  2. Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States)
  3. Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX (United States)
  4. Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA (United States)
  5. Univ. of California, Santa Cruz, CA (United States)
  6. Tulane Univ., New Orleans, LA (United States)
  7. Michigan State Univ., East Lansing, MI (United States)
  8. GNS Science, Lower Hut (New Zealand)
  9. California Institute of Technology (CalTech), Pasadena, CA (United States). Jet Propulsion Lab. (JPL)
  10. Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL (United States)
  11. Stanford Univ., CA (United States)
  12. US Geological Survey, Moffet Field, CA (United States)
  13. US Geological Survey, Pasadena, CA (United States)
  14. Univ. de Chile, Santiago (Chile)
  15. Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY (United States). Lamon-Doherty Earth Observatory
  16. Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX (United States).; GNS Science, Lower Hut (New Zealand)
  17. Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
  18. Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States)
  19. Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI (United States)
The topic of earthquake prediction has a long history, littered with failed attempts. Part of the challenge is that possible precursory signals are usually reported after the event, and the systematic relationships between potential precursors and main events, should they exist, are unclear. Furthermore, several recent studies have shown the potential of new approaches to simultaneously detect earthquake foreshocks and slow-slip phenomena through ground deformation, seismic, and gravitational transients—weeks to months before large subduction zone earthquakes. The entire international community of earthquake researchers should be engaged in deploying instrumentation, sharing data in real time, and improving physical models to resolve the extent to which slow slip events and earthquake swarms enhance the likelihood (or not) for later, larger earthquakes.
Research Organization:
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC52-07NA27344
OSTI ID:
1770032
Report Number(s):
LLNL-JRNL--806078; 1011317
Journal Information:
Seismological Research Letters, Journal Name: Seismological Research Letters Journal Issue: 5 Vol. 91; ISSN 0895-0695
Publisher:
Seismological Society of AmericaCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (27)

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A 15 year slow‐slip event on the Sunda megathrust offshore Sumatra journal August 2015
An 8 month slow slip event triggers progressive nucleation of the 2014 Chile megathrust journal May 2017
Triggered Slow Slip and Afterslip on the Southern Hikurangi Subduction Zone Following the Kaikōura Earthquake journal May 2018
A large slow slip event and the depth of the seismogenic zone in the south central Alaska subduction zone journal July 2006
Episodic slow slip events in the Japan subduction zone before the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake journal July 2013
Simple Physical Model for the Probability of a Subduction- Zone Earthquake Following Slow Slip Events and Earthquakes: Application to the Hikurangi Megathrust, New Zealand journal May 2018
Statistical Significance of Precursory Gravity Changes Before the 2011 M w  9.0 Tohoku‐Oki Earthquake journal July 2019
Earthquake Initiation From Laboratory Observations and Implications for Foreshocks journal December 2019
Weeks‐Long and Years‐Long Slow Slip and Tectonic Tremor Episodes on the South Central Alaska Megathrust journal December 2019
A route to more tractable expert advice journal January 2010
Migrating pattern of deformation prior to the Tohoku-Oki earthquake revealed by GRACE data journal April 2018
Real-time discrimination of earthquake foreshocks and aftershocks journal October 2019
Months-long thousand-kilometre-scale wobbling before great subduction earthquakes journal April 2020
The L'Aquila Earthquake of 6 April 2009 and Italian Government Policy on Disaster Response journal October 2010
Propagation of Slow Slip Leading Up to the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake journal January 2012
Intense foreshocks and a slow slip event preceded the 2014 Iquique Mw 8.1 earthquake journal July 2014
Periodic slow slip triggers megathrust zone earthquakes in northeastern Japan journal January 2016
Connecting slow earthquakes to huge earthquakes journal July 2016
Ultrastable laser interferometry for earthquake detection with terrestrial and submarine cables journal June 2018
Illuminating seafloor faults and ocean dynamics with dark fiber distributed acoustic sensing journal November 2019
Seafloor Geodesy journal May 2014
The Establishment of an Operational Earthquake Forecasting System in Italy journal September 2014
Facing the Communication Challenges during an Earthquake Swarm Period journal September 2016
#EarthquakeAdvisory: Exploring Discourse between Government Officials, News Media, and Social Media during the 2016 Bombay Beach Swarm journal November 2019
Statistical Seismology and Communication of the USGS Operational Aftershock Forecasts for the 30 November 2018 Mw 7.1 Anchorage, Alaska, Earthquake journal December 2019
Scientific Exploration of Induced SeisMicity and Stress (SEISMS) journal January 2017

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