California energy demand 1978-2000: a preliminary assessment

Book · Mon Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1979

OSTI ID:5700726

This report presents the Energy Commission staff's independent evaluation of the potential for future growth in demand for electricity and natural gas. It concludes that growth in electricity demand through the year 2000 will be significant, but that the pace of this growth, at an annual average of 2.0% per year for sales and 1.8% for peak, will be much slower than experienced in the 1960s and early 1970s. California utilities together project a rate of electricity sales growth of 3.4% annually from 1978-2000, with a range from 2.16 (LADWP) to 4.41 (SMUD). In contrast, the staff assessment is that growth will be more moderate, at 2.0%, with a range from 1.79 (PG and E) to 3.07 (SDG and E). Statewide noncoincident peak electric demand is projected by the utilities to grow at 3.2% per year over the 1978-2000 period compared to 1.8% forecast by the staff. The LADWP forecast at 1.87% per year and SMUD at 3.83% per year define the range of utility estimates with SCE (3.07), PG and E (3.58), and SDG and E (3.77) falling in between. This contrasts with a staff forecast range of 1.60 (PG and E) to 3.21 (SDG and E). The staff assessment for natural gas demand is that the recent decline in consumption is expected to stop and gas demand will grow very slowly, rising annually at 0.57% from 1978-1984 and 0.96% from 1978-2000.

• OSTI ID: 5700726
• Report Number(s): NP-24201
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

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CALIFORNIA
CO-GENERATION
CONSUMPTION RATES
DATA
DATA FORMS
DEMAND
DEMAND FACTORS
DEUS
ELECTRIC POWER
ELECTRIC UTILITIES
ENERGY CONSERVATION
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY SOURCES
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL GAS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASES
GRAPHS
GROWTH
INDUSTRY
INFORMATION
NATURAL GAS
NORTH AMERICA
NUMERICAL DATA
OFF-PEAK POWER
PEAK LOAD
PETROLEUM
POWER
POWER GENERATION
PUBLIC UTILITIES
STEAM GENERATION
TABLES
TRADE
USA
WESTERN REGION