Integrated assessment of Texas lignite development. Volume IV. Executive summary. [Forecasting]

Technical Report · Tue May 01 04:00:00 EDT 1979

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6893394· OSTI ID:6893394

Growth in Texas' overall energy demand, in general, and electrical demand, in particular, is expected to exceed national rates. It is anticipated that lignite use will be confined entirely to the utility and industrial sectors. The nominal case calls for Texas electric utility generation to grow by 5.3 percent per year from 1978 to 1987 and by 4.3 percent from 1987 to 2000. These rates, which represent the current projections of the state's utility industry, would increase energy consumption by the state's electric utilities from 1.8 quadrillion Btu's (Quads) in 1978 to 4.8 Quads in 2000. The nominal case for industrial energy consumption is consistent with earlier forecasts by TEAC and DOE, based on projections of economic activity. The rates used for industrial energy consumption (primarily process heat, process steam and on-site electrical power production) are 3.8 percent per year for the 1975 to 1990 period and 3.2 percent annually for 1990 to 2000. This growth results in an increase in industrial consumption from 2.4 Quads in 1978 to 5.2 Quads in 2000. An analysis of current plans for the use of coal and lignite by utilities in Texas indicates that through 1987, approximately 60 percent of the solid fossil fuel demand will be met by lignite. The factors listed all tend to increase the competitiveness of lignite over western coal. Thus, it appears that in the time frame of this study, lignite will continue to be the preferred fuel over imported coal. However, in the post-2000 era, lignite use may be surpassed by western coal as lignite reserves are depleted. By 2000, coal may also be imported from the Midwest.

• Research Organization: Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC (USA). Office of Energy, Minerals and Industry
• OSTI ID: 6893394
• Report Number(s): EPA-600/7-79-111d
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT
012000* -- Coal
Lignite
& Peat-- Mining
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
294001 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Coal
AIR QUALITY
AVAILABILITY
BOILERS
BROWN COAL
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
DEMAND
ELECTRIC UTILITIES
ENERGY CONSERVATION
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY POLICY
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FOSSIL-FUEL POWER PLANTS
FUELS
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
GROWTH
INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
LIGNITE
MATERIALS
NORTH AMERICA
PLANNING
POWER PLANTS
PRODUCTION
PUBLIC UTILITIES
RAIL TRANSPORT
RESOURCES
RETROFITTING
SITE SELECTION
SOUTHWEST REGION
TEXAS
THERMAL POWER PLANTS
TRANSPORT
USA
WATER RESOURCES