Methodology and preliminary models for analyzing nuclear-safeguards decisions

Technical Report · Wed Nov 01 04:00:00 EST 1978

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/5360663· OSTI ID:5360663

Judd, B R; Weissenberger, S

This report describes a general analytical tool designed with Lawrence Livermore Laboratory to assist the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in making nuclear safeguards decisions. The approach is based on decision analysis - a quantitative procedure for making decisions under uncertain conditions. The report: describes illustrative models that quantify the probability and consequences of diverted special nuclear material and the costs of safeguarding the material; demonstrates a methodology for using this information to set safeguards regulations (safeguards criteria); and summarizes insights gained in a very preliminary assessment of a hypothetical reprocessing plant.

• Research Organization: Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (USA); Applied Decision Analysis, Inc., Menlo Park, CA (USA)
• DOE Contract Number: W-7405-ENG-48
• OSTI ID: 5360663
• Report Number(s): UCID-19335; ON: DE82009802
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

050800 -- Nuclear Fuels-- Spent Fuels Reprocessing
055001* -- Nuclear Fuels-- Safeguards
Inspection
& Accountability-- Technical Aspects
11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION
COST
DECISION MAKING
FUEL REPROCESSING PLANTS
MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
NUCLEAR FACILITIES
NUCLEAR MATERIALS DIVERSION
NUCLEAR MATERIALS MANAGEMENT
REGULATIONS
SAFEGUARDS
SECURITY
US NRC
US ORGANIZATIONS