Methodology and preliminary models for analyzing nuclear safeguards decisions

Technical Report · Wed Nov 01 04:00:00 EST 1978

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6441062· OSTI ID:6441062

This report describes a general analytical tool designed to assist the NRC in making nuclear safeguards decisions. The approach is based on decision analysis--a quantitative procedure for making decisions under uncertain conditions. The report: describes illustrative models that quantify the probability and consequences of diverted special nuclear material and the costs of safeguarding the material, demonstrates a methodology for using this information to set safeguards regulations (safeguards criteria), and summarizes insights gained in a very preliminary assessment of a hypothetical reprocessing plant.

• Research Organization: Applied Decision Analysis, Inc., Menlo Park, CA (USA)
• DOE Contract Number: W-7405-ENG-48
• OSTI ID: 6441062
• Report Number(s): UCRL-13931
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

050800 -- Nuclear Fuels-- Spent Fuels Reprocessing
055001* -- Nuclear Fuels-- Safeguards
Inspection
& Accountability-- Technical Aspects
11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION
DECISION MAKING
FUEL REPROCESSING PLANTS
NUCLEAR FACILITIES
NUCLEAR MATERIALS DIVERSION
RISK ASSESSMENT
SAFEGUARDS