Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations

Tang, Shuaiqi; Gleckler, Peter; Xie, Shaocheng; Lee, Jiwoo; Ahn, Min-Seop; Covey, Curt; Zhang, Chengzhu

doi:10.1175/jcli-d-20-0639.1

Title: Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations

Journal Article · Thu Mar 18 00:00:00 EDT 2021 · Journal of Climate

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0639.1· OSTI ID:1871792

Tang, Shuaiqi ^[1]; Gleckler, Peter ^[1]; Xie, Shaocheng ^[1]; Lee, Jiwoo ^[1]; Ahn, Min-Seop ^[1]; Covey, Curt ^[1]; Zhang, Chengzhu ^[1]

Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)

We report the diurnal and semi-diurnal cycle of precipitation simulated from CMIP6 models during 1996-2005 are evaluated globally between 60°S and 60°N, as well as at ten selected locations representing three categories of diurnal cycle of precipitation: (1) afternoon precipitation over land, (2) early morning precipitation over ocean, and (3) nocturnal precipitation over land. Three satellite-based and two ground-based rainfall products are used to evaluate the climate models. Globally, the ensemble mean of CMIP6 models shows a diurnal phase of 3 to 4 hours earlier over land and 1 to 2 hours earlier over ocean, when compared with the latest satellite products. These biases are in line with what were found in previous versions of climate models but reduced compared to the CMIP5 ensemble mean. Analysis at the selected locations complimented with in-situ measurements further reinforces these results. Several CMIP6 models have shown a significant improvement in the diurnal cycle of precipitation compared to their CMIP5 counterparts, notably on delaying afternoon precipitation over land. This can be attributed to the use of more sophisticated convective parameterizations. Most models are still unable to capture the nocturnal peak associated with elevated convection and propagating mesoscale convective systems, with a few exceptions that allow convection to be initiated above the boundary layer to capture nocturnal elevated convection. We also quantify an encouraging consistency between the satellite- and ground-based precipitation measurements despite differing spatiotemporal resolutions and sampling periods, which provides confidence in using them to evaluate the diurnal and semi-diurnal cycle of precipitation in climate models.

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Research Organization:: Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)

Grant/Contract Number:: AC52-07NA27344

OSTI ID:: 1871792

Report Number(s):: LLNL-JRNL-813453; 1021409

Journal Information:: Journal of Climate, Vol. vol. 34, Issue no. 8; ISSN 0894-8755

Publisher:: American Meteorological SocietyCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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