skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: How to support EV adoption: Tradeoffs between charging infrastructure investments and vehicle subsidies in California

Journal Article · · Energy Policy

Supporting the adoption of zero-emission vehicle (ZEVs), including plug-in electric vehicles (EVs), has become a priority for governments due to their ability to reduce petroleum demand, improve air quality, and reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Optimal strategies to accelerate EV adoption must weigh the relative value of alternative policy mechanisms to consumers, including public charging infrastructure and vehicle purchase subsidies. We use a historically validated light-duty vehicle consumer choice tool, the ADOPT model, to simulate personal light-duty vehicle adoption and related emissions in California. ADOPT is updated to incorporate a quantification of the tangible value of public charging infrastructure, allowing us to simulate the impact of investments in public charging infrastructure and vehicle purchase subsidies under different scenarios. We show that both policies result in increased EV adoption, with the most effective policy varying depending on vehicle technology assumptions. Under conservative technology improvement assumptions, infrastructure investments are most effective in promoting EV sales and reducing CO2 emissions, while under optimistic technology improvement assumptions a combination of infrastructure and subsidies best supports EV sales and CO2 emission reductions.

Research Organization:
National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
California Energy Commission (CEC); USDOE
Grant/Contract Number:
AC36-08GO28308
OSTI ID:
1862946
Report Number(s):
NREL/JA-5400-79659; MainId:35880; UUID:200da53e-ac32-4037-a390-e7790c541eb3; MainAdminID:64240
Journal Information:
Energy Policy, Vol. 165; ISSN 0301-4215
Publisher:
ElsevierCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (28)

The role of charging and refuelling infrastructure in supporting zero-emission vehicle sales journal April 2020
Promoting the Market for Plug-In Hybrid and Battery Electric Vehicles: Role of Recharge Availability
  • Lin, Zhenhong; Greene, David L.
  • Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Vol. 2252, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.3141/2252-07
journal January 2011
Electricity rates for electric vehicle direct current fast charging in the United States journal October 2019
Consumers continue to be confused about electric vehicles: comparing awareness among Canadian new car buyers in 2013 and 2017 journal November 2019
A review of factors influencing consumer intentions to adopt battery electric vehicles journal October 2017
The role of demand-side incentives and charging infrastructure on plug-in electric vehicle adoption: analysis of US States journal July 2018
Crafting strong, integrated policy mixes for deep CO2 mitigation in road transport journal August 2020
Spatial and temporal heterogeneity of marginal emissions: Implications for electric cars and other electricity-shifting policies journal November 2014
The influence of financial incentives and other socio-economic factors on electric vehicle adoption journal May 2014
The effectiveness of financial purchase incentives for battery electric vehicles – A review of the evidence journal December 2017
An in-depth examination of electric vehicle incentives: Consumer heterogeneity and changing response over time journal February 2020
Modeling electric vehicle adoption considering a latent travel pattern construct and charging infrastructure journal July 2019
Latent demand for zero-emissions vehicles in Canada (Part 1): Insights from a design space exercise journal February 2019
Providing the Spark: Impact of financial incentives on battery electric vehicle adoption journal November 2019
Public charging infrastructure for plug-in electric vehicles: What is it worth? journal January 2020
Determining marginal electricity for near-term plug-in and fuel cell vehicle demands in California: Impacts on vehicle greenhouse gas emissions journal April 2010
The rise of electric vehicles—2020 status and future expectations journal March 2021
Effectiveness of electric vehicle incentives in the United States journal August 2018
US residential charging potential for electric vehicles journal December 2013
Effectiveness of incentives on electric vehicle adoption in Norway journal July 2016
Consumer valuation of changes in driving range: A meta-analysis journal September 2013
Mostly positive implications of long-haul truck electrification journal October 2021
Who can recharge a plug-in electric vehicle at home? journal July 2012
Comparative Assessment of Models and Methods To Calculate Grid Electricity Emissions journal August 2016
A comprehensive model of regional electric vehicle adoption and penetration journal February 2017
Consumer preferences for electric vehicles: a literature review journal September 2016
Assessing the impact of policy interventions on the adoption of plug-in electric vehicles: An agent-based model journal September 2016
Levelized Cost of Charging Electric Vehicles in the United States journal July 2020