skip to main content

Title: Temperature-based Instanton Analysis: Identifying Vulnerability in Transmission Networks

A time-coupled instanton method for characterizing transmission network vulnerability to wind generation fluctuation is presented. To extend prior instanton work to multiple-time-step analysis, line constraints are specified in terms of temperature rather than current. An optimization formulation is developed to express the minimum wind forecast deviation such that at least one line is driven to its thermal limit. Results are shown for an IEEE RTS-96 system with several wind-farms.
Authors:
 [1] ;  [1] ;  [2] ;  [2] ;  [3]
  1. Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI (United States)
  2. Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
  3. Columbia Univ., New York, NY (United States)
Publication Date:
OSTI Identifier:
1177981
Report Number(s):
LA-UR--15-22510
DOE Contract Number:
AC52-06NA25396
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Research Org:
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION Energy Sciences, Forecast uncertainty, Optimization, Transmission operations, Wind energy