The impacts of rising vapour pressure deficit in natural and managed ecosystems

Novick, Kimberly A.; Ficklin, Darren L.; Grossiord, Charlotte; Konings, Alexandra G.; Martínez‐Vilalta, Jordi; Sadok, Walid; Trugman, Anna T.; Williams, A. Park; Wright, Alexandra J.; Abatzoglou, John T.; Dannenberg, Matthew P.; Gentine, Pierre; Guan, Kaiyu; Johnston, Miriam R.; Lowman, Lauren E. L.; Moore, David J. P.; McDowell, Nate G.

doi:10.1111/pce.14846

Title: The impacts of rising vapour pressure deficit in natural and managed ecosystems

Journal Article · 12 February 2024 · Plant, Cell and Environment

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/pce.14846 · OSTI ID:2301779

^[1]; Ficklin, Darren L. ^[2];

^[3]; Konings, Alexandra G. ^[4]; Martínez‐Vilalta, Jordi ^[5];

^[6]; Trugman, Anna T. ^[7]; Williams, A. Park ^[8]; Wright, Alexandra J. ^[9]; Abatzoglou, John T. ^[10]; Dannenberg, Matthew P. ^[11]; Gentine, Pierre ^[12]; Guan, Kaiyu ^[13]; Johnston, Miriam R. ^[11];

^[14]; Moore, David J. P. ^[15];

^[16]

O'Neill School of Public and Environmental Affairs Indiana University Bloomington Indiana USA
Department of Geography Indiana University Bloomington Indiana USA
Plant Ecology Research Laboratory (PERL), School of Architecture Civil and Environmental Engineering (EPFL) Lausanne Switzerland, Community Ecology Unit, Swiss Federal Institute for Forest Snow and Landscape WSL Lausanne Switzerland
Department of Earth System Science Stanford University Stanford California USA
CREAF Bellaterra Catalonia Spain, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona Bellaterra Catalonia Spain
Department of Agronomy and Plant Genetics University of Minnesota St. Paul Minnesota USA
Department of Geography University of California Santa Barbara California USA
Department of Geography University of California Los Angeles California USA
Department of Biological Sciences California State University Los Angeles Los Angeles California USA
Management of Complex Systems Department University of California Merced California USA
Department of Geographical and Sustainability Sciences University of Iowa Iowa City Iowa USA
Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering Columbia University New York New York USA, Center for Learning the Earth with Artificial Intelligence and Physics (LEAP) Columbia University New York New York USA
Agroecosystem Sustainability Center, Institute for Sustainability, Energy, and Environment University of Illinois Urbana‐Champaign Urbana Illinois USA, Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, College of Agricultural, Consumers, and Environmental Sciences University of Illinois Urbana‐Champaign Urbana Illinois USA, National Center for Supercomputing Applications University of Illinois Urbana‐Champaign Urbana Illinois USA
Department of Engineering Wake Forest University Winston‐Salem North Carolina USA
School of Natural Resources and the Environment University of Arizona Tucson Arizona USA
Atmospheric Sciences &, Global Change Division Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Richland Washington USA, School of Biological Sciences Washington State University Pullman Washington USA

Abstract An exponential rise in the atmospheric vapour pressure deficit (VPD) is among the most consequential impacts of climate change in terrestrial ecosystems. Rising VPD has negative and cascading effects on nearly all aspects of plant function including photosynthesis, water status, growth and survival. These responses are exacerbated by land–atmosphere interactions that couple VPD to soil water and govern the evolution of drought, affecting a range of ecosystem services including carbon uptake, biodiversity, the provisioning of water resources and crop yields. However, despite the global nature of this phenomenon, research on how to incorporate these impacts into resilient management regimes is largely in its infancy, due in part to the entanglement of VPD trends with those of other co‐evolving climate drivers. Here, we review the mechanistic bases of VPD impacts at a range of spatial scales, paying particular attention to the independent and interactive influence of VPD in the context of other environmental changes. We then evaluate the consequences of these impacts within key management contexts, including water resources, croplands, wildfire risk mitigation and management of natural grasslands and forests. We conclude with recommendations describing how management regimes could be altered to mitigate the otherwise highly deleterious consequences of rising VPD.

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Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE

Grant/Contract Number:: SC0021980; SC0022302

OSTI ID:: 2301779

Alternate ID(s):: OSTI ID: 2301782; OSTI ID: 2438281

Journal Information:: Plant, Cell and Environment, Journal Name: Plant, Cell and Environment; ISSN 0140-7791

Publisher:: Wiley-BlackwellCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United Kingdom

Language:: English

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