Increasing atmospheric humidity and CO 2 concentration alleviate forest mortality risk
Abstract
Climate-induced forest mortality is being increasingly observed throughout the globe. Alarmingly, it is expected to exacerbate under climate change due to shifting precipitation patterns and rising air temperature. However, the impact of concomitant changes in atmospheric humidity and CO2 concentration through their influence on stomatal kinetics remains a subject of debate and inquiry. By using a dynamic soil–plant–atmosphere model, mortality risks associated with hydraulic failure and stomatal closure for 13 temperate and tropical forest biomes across the globe are analyzed. The mortality risk is evaluated in response to both individual and combined changes in precipitation amounts and their seasonal distribution, mean air temperature, specific humidity, and atmospheric CO2 concentration. Model results show that the risk is predicted to significantly increase due to changes in precipitation and air temperature regime for the period 2050–2069. However, this increase may largely get alleviated by concurrent increases in atmospheric specific humidity and CO2 concentration. The increase in mortality risk is expected to be higher for needleleaf forests than for broadleaf forests, as a result of disparity in hydraulic traits. These findings will further facilitate decisions about intervention and management of different forest types under changing climate.
- Authors:
-
- Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States). Nicholas School of the Environment
- Marquette Univ., Milwaukee, WI (United States). Dept. of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering
- Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM (United States). Dept. of Biology
- Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States). Nicholas School of the Environment and Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering
- Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States). Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Earth and Environmental Systems Science Division; National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Boulder, CO (United States); World Climate Research Programme (WCRP); Univ. of Montana, Missoula, MT (United States); Max Planck Society, Jena (Germany). Max Planck Inst. for Biogeochemistry; National Science Foundation (NSF)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1377084
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1425374
- Grant/Contract Number:
- sc0011461; EAR-1454983; EAR-1331846; DGE-1068871; EAR-1316258; EAR-1338694; EAR-134470; DEB-1557176
- Resource Type:
- Published Article
- Journal Name:
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Name: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Journal Volume: 114 Journal Issue: 37; Journal ID: ISSN 0027-8424
- Publisher:
- National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC (United States)
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; forest mortality; drought; climate change; hydraulic failure; stomatal closure
Citation Formats
Liu, Yanlan, Parolari, Anthony J., Kumar, Mukesh, Huang, Cheng-Wei, Katul, Gabriel G., and Porporato, Amilcare. Increasing atmospheric humidity and CO 2 concentration alleviate forest mortality risk. United States: N. p., 2017.
Web. doi:10.1073/pnas.1704811114.
Liu, Yanlan, Parolari, Anthony J., Kumar, Mukesh, Huang, Cheng-Wei, Katul, Gabriel G., & Porporato, Amilcare. Increasing atmospheric humidity and CO 2 concentration alleviate forest mortality risk. United States. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1704811114
Liu, Yanlan, Parolari, Anthony J., Kumar, Mukesh, Huang, Cheng-Wei, Katul, Gabriel G., and Porporato, Amilcare. Mon .
"Increasing atmospheric humidity and CO 2 concentration alleviate forest mortality risk". United States. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1704811114.
@article{osti_1377084,
title = {Increasing atmospheric humidity and CO 2 concentration alleviate forest mortality risk},
author = {Liu, Yanlan and Parolari, Anthony J. and Kumar, Mukesh and Huang, Cheng-Wei and Katul, Gabriel G. and Porporato, Amilcare},
abstractNote = {Climate-induced forest mortality is being increasingly observed throughout the globe. Alarmingly, it is expected to exacerbate under climate change due to shifting precipitation patterns and rising air temperature. However, the impact of concomitant changes in atmospheric humidity and CO2 concentration through their influence on stomatal kinetics remains a subject of debate and inquiry. By using a dynamic soil–plant–atmosphere model, mortality risks associated with hydraulic failure and stomatal closure for 13 temperate and tropical forest biomes across the globe are analyzed. The mortality risk is evaluated in response to both individual and combined changes in precipitation amounts and their seasonal distribution, mean air temperature, specific humidity, and atmospheric CO2 concentration. Model results show that the risk is predicted to significantly increase due to changes in precipitation and air temperature regime for the period 2050–2069. However, this increase may largely get alleviated by concurrent increases in atmospheric specific humidity and CO2 concentration. The increase in mortality risk is expected to be higher for needleleaf forests than for broadleaf forests, as a result of disparity in hydraulic traits. These findings will further facilitate decisions about intervention and management of different forest types under changing climate.},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.1704811114},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
number = 37,
volume = 114,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Aug 28 00:00:00 EDT 2017},
month = {Mon Aug 28 00:00:00 EDT 2017}
}
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1704811114
Web of Science
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