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Title: The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0)contribution to CMIP6

Abstract

Detection and attribution (D&A) simulations were important components of CMIP5 and underpinned the climate change detection and attribution assessments of the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The primary goals of the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP) are to facilitate improved estimation of the contributions of anthropogenic and natural forcing changes to observed global warming as well as to observed global and regional changes in other climate variables; to contribute to the estimation of how historical emissions have altered and are altering contemporary climate risk; and to facilitate improved observationally constrained projections of future climate change. D&A studies typically require unforced control simulations and historical simulations including all major anthropogenic and natural forcings. Such simulations will be carried out as part of the DECK and the CMIP6 historical simulation. In addition D&A studies require simulations covering the historical period driven by individual forcings or subsets of forcings only: such simulations are proposed here. Key novel features of the experimental design presented here include firstly new historical simulations with aerosols-only, stratospheric-ozone-only, CO2-only, solar-only, and volcanic-only forcing, facilitating an improved estimation of the climate response to individual forcing, secondly future single forcing experiments, allowing observationally constrainedmore » projections of future climate change, and thirdly an experimental design which allows models with and without coupled atmospheric chemistry to be compared on an equal footing.« less

Authors:
ORCiD logo [1];  [2]; ORCiD logo [3];  [4]; ORCiD logo [5]; ORCiD logo [6];  [7]; ORCiD logo [8];  [9]
  1. Univ. of Victoria, Victoria (Canada)
  2. National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba (Japan)
  3. Instituto de Astrofisica de Andalucia, Granada (Spain)
  4. Univ. of Edinburgh, Edinburgh (United Kingdom)
  5. ETH Zurich, Zurich (Switzerland)
  6. GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel (Germany); Christian-Albrechts-Univ., zu Kiel, Kiel (Germany)
  7. Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
  8. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  9. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
OSTI Identifier:
1480412
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1377543
Report Number(s):
LLNL-JRNL-736775
Journal ID: ISSN 1991-9603; 889362
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC52-07NA27344; AC02-05CH11231
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Geoscientific Model Development (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Geoscientific Model Development (Online); Journal Volume: 9; Journal Issue: 10; Journal ID: ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher:
European Geosciences Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
58 GEOSCIENCES

Citation Formats

Gillett, Nathan P., Shiogama, Hideo, Funke, Bernd, Hegerl, Gabriele, Knutti, Reto, Matthes, Katja, Santer, Benjamin D., Stone, Daithi, and Tebaldi, Claudia. The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0)contribution to CMIP6. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3685-2016.
Gillett, Nathan P., Shiogama, Hideo, Funke, Bernd, Hegerl, Gabriele, Knutti, Reto, Matthes, Katja, Santer, Benjamin D., Stone, Daithi, & Tebaldi, Claudia. The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0)contribution to CMIP6. United States. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3685-2016
Gillett, Nathan P., Shiogama, Hideo, Funke, Bernd, Hegerl, Gabriele, Knutti, Reto, Matthes, Katja, Santer, Benjamin D., Stone, Daithi, and Tebaldi, Claudia. Tue . "The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0)contribution to CMIP6". United States. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3685-2016. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1480412.
@article{osti_1480412,
title = {The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0)contribution to CMIP6},
author = {Gillett, Nathan P. and Shiogama, Hideo and Funke, Bernd and Hegerl, Gabriele and Knutti, Reto and Matthes, Katja and Santer, Benjamin D. and Stone, Daithi and Tebaldi, Claudia},
abstractNote = {Detection and attribution (D&A) simulations were important components of CMIP5 and underpinned the climate change detection and attribution assessments of the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The primary goals of the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP) are to facilitate improved estimation of the contributions of anthropogenic and natural forcing changes to observed global warming as well as to observed global and regional changes in other climate variables; to contribute to the estimation of how historical emissions have altered and are altering contemporary climate risk; and to facilitate improved observationally constrained projections of future climate change. D&A studies typically require unforced control simulations and historical simulations including all major anthropogenic and natural forcings. Such simulations will be carried out as part of the DECK and the CMIP6 historical simulation. In addition D&A studies require simulations covering the historical period driven by individual forcings or subsets of forcings only: such simulations are proposed here. Key novel features of the experimental design presented here include firstly new historical simulations with aerosols-only, stratospheric-ozone-only, CO2-only, solar-only, and volcanic-only forcing, facilitating an improved estimation of the climate response to individual forcing, secondly future single forcing experiments, allowing observationally constrained projections of future climate change, and thirdly an experimental design which allows models with and without coupled atmospheric chemistry to be compared on an equal footing.},
doi = {10.5194/gmd-9-3685-2016},
journal = {Geoscientific Model Development (Online)},
number = 10,
volume = 9,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Oct 18 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Tue Oct 18 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}

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journal, January 2018

  • Kageyama, Masa; Braconnot, Pascale; Harrison, Sandy P.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-1033-2018

The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification
journal, January 2019

  • Smith, Doug M.; Screen, James A.; Deser, Clara
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-1139-2019

The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31)
journal, January 2020

  • Juckes, Martin; Taylor, Karl E.; Durack, Paul J.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020

The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 1: Overview and over-arching analysis plan
text, January 2018

  • Kageyama, Masa; Braconnot, Pascale; Harrison, Sandy P.
  • Copernicus Publications
  • DOI: 10.7892/boris.116300

Attribution of ocean temperature change to anthropogenic and natural forcings using the temporal, vertical and geographical structure
journal, July 2019

  • Bilbao, Roberto A. F.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Bouttes, Nathaelle
  • Climate Dynamics, Vol. 53, Issue 9-10
  • DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04910-1

Improved Decadal Predictions of North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre SST in CMIP6
journal, January 2021

  • Borchert, Leonard F.; Menary, Matthew B.; Swingedouw, Didier
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 48, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091307

A Recent Systematic Increase in Vapor Pressure Deficit over Tropical South America
journal, October 2019


Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): Background and experimental design
text, January 2017

  • Mitchell, D.; AchutaRao, K.; Allen, M.
  • Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
  • DOI: 10.17863/cam.48389

Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
journal, January 2020

  • Wilcox, Laura J.; Liu, Zhen; Samset, Bjørn H.
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 20
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020

Bias in CMIP6 models as compared to observed regional dimming and brightening
journal, January 2020

  • Moseid, Kine Onsum; Schulz, Michael; Storelvmo, Trude
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 24
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-16023-2020

AerChemMIP: quantifying the effects of chemistry and aerosols in CMIP6
journal, January 2017

  • Collins, William J.; Lamarque, Jean-François; Schulz, Michael
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 10, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-585-2017

The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 1: Overview and over-arching analysis plan
journal, January 2018

  • Kageyama, Masa; Braconnot, Pascale; Harrison, Sandy P.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-1033-2018

The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31)
journal, January 2020

  • Juckes, Martin; Taylor, Karl E.; Durack, Paul J.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020