U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change

Sergi, Brian; Cole, Wesley; Lopez, Anthony; Diffendorfer, Jay; Williams, Travis; Gleason, Michael; Ancona, Zach

doi:10.25984/2438326

Title: U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change

Dataset
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Abstract

This dataset provides future supply curves representing the total resource potential for land-based wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment in the conterminous United States after accounting for the impact of land-use and land-cover change (LULC). We use LULC projections from 2010 to 2050 developed based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emission Scenarios. The LULC projections are subsequently fed into the renewable energy potential model (reV), which estimates total available wind and solar capacity after excluding non-developable land. Supply curves are provided for four IPCC scenarios in 2050: A1B, A2, B1, and B2. As a baseline, we also provide the supply curve from the B2 scenario in 2010. In addition to the supply curves, we also provide representative wind and solar generation profiles for each supply curve point. These generation profiles are provided as capacity factors and are based on a 2012 weather year using NSRDB and WindToolkit resource data. For more details on the supply curve and profile datasets included here please refer to README. Additional information on the supply curves and the LULC projections used to generate them, as well as an analysis of their impact on wind and solar deployment under decarbonizationmore »« less

Authors:

Sergi, Brian;

;

; Ancona, Zach

National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

Publication Date:: Wed Jan 10 04:00:00 UTC 2024

Other Number(s):: 6160

Research Org.:: DOE Open Energy Data Initiative (OEDI); National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Multiple Programs (EE)

Collaborations:: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

Subject:: Array; PV; United States; capacity factor; climate change; data; energy; energy analysis; generation profiles; land-cover; land-use; model; photovoltaic; power; reV; siting; solar; solar energy; solar power; supply curve; wind; wind energy; wind power

OSTI Identifier:: 2438326

DOI:: https://doi.org/10.25984/2438326

Citation Formats


                    Sergi, Brian, Cole, Wesley, Lopez, Anthony, Diffendorfer, Jay, Williams, Travis, Gleason, Michael, and Ancona, Zach. U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change.  United States: N. p., 2024. 
        Web.  doi:10.25984/2438326.

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                    Sergi, Brian, Cole, Wesley, Lopez, Anthony, Diffendorfer, Jay, Williams, Travis, Gleason, Michael, & Ancona, Zach. U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change.  United States.  doi:https://doi.org/10.25984/2438326

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                    Sergi, Brian, Cole, Wesley, Lopez, Anthony, Diffendorfer, Jay, Williams, Travis, Gleason, Michael, and Ancona, Zach. 2024.  
"U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change".  United States.  doi:https://doi.org/10.25984/2438326.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/2438326. Pub date:Wed Jan 10 04:00:00 UTC 2024

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@article{osti_2438326,

  title        = {U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change},

  author       = {Sergi, Brian and Cole, Wesley and Lopez, Anthony and Diffendorfer, Jay and Williams, Travis and Gleason, Michael and Ancona, Zach},

  abstractNote = {This dataset provides future supply curves representing the total resource potential for land-based wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment in the conterminous United States after accounting for the impact of land-use and land-cover change (LULC). We use LULC projections from 2010 to 2050 developed based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emission Scenarios. The LULC projections are subsequently fed into the renewable energy potential model (reV), which estimates total available wind and solar capacity after excluding non-developable land. Supply curves are provided for four IPCC scenarios in 2050: A1B, A2, B1, and B2. As a baseline, we also provide the supply curve from the B2 scenario in 2010. In addition to the supply curves, we also provide representative wind and solar generation profiles for each supply curve point. These generation profiles are provided as capacity factors and are based on a 2012 weather year using NSRDB and WindToolkit resource data. For more details on the supply curve and profile datasets included here please refer to README. Additional information on the supply curves and the LULC projections used to generate them, as well as an analysis of their impact on wind and solar deployment under decarbonization can be found in the publication linked below: "U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change Publication".},

  doi          = {10.25984/2438326},

  journal      = {},

  number       = ,

  volume       = ,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Wed Jan 10 04:00:00 UTC 2024},

  month        = {Wed Jan 10 04:00:00 UTC 2024}

}

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.25984/2438326

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