Modeling Estimated Personnel Needs for a Potential Foot and Mouth Disease Outbreak
Foot and Mouth disease (FMD) is a highly infectious and contagious viral disease affecting cloven-hoofed livestock that was last detected in the United States (US) in 1929. The prevalence of FMD in other countries, as well as the current potential for this virus to be used as a form of agroterrorism, has made preparations for a potential FMD outbreak a national priority. To assist in the evaluation of national preparedness, all 50 states were surveyed via e-mail, telephone and web search to obtain emergency response plans for FMD or for foreign animal diseases in general. Information from 33 states was obtained and analyzed for estimates of personnel resources needed to respond to an outbreak. These estimates were consolidated and enhanced to create a tool that could be used by individual states to better understand the personnel that would be needed to complete various tasks over time during an outbreak response. The estimates were then coupled, post-processing, to the output from FMD outbreaks simulated in California using the Multiscale Epidemiological/Economic Simulation and Analysis (MESA) model at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory to estimate the personnel resource demands, by task, over the course of an outbreak response.
- Research Organization:
- Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE
- DOE Contract Number:
- W-7405-ENG-48
- OSTI ID:
- 944292
- Report Number(s):
- LLNL-JRNL-401408
- Journal Information:
- North Carolina State Undergraduate Research Journal, vol. 4, no. 2, June 23, 2008, pp. 5-9, Journal Name: North Carolina State Undergraduate Research Journal, vol. 4, no. 2, June 23, 2008, pp. 5-9 Journal Issue: 2 Vol. 4
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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