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Residential energy use alternatives to the year 2000. [From engineering-economic computer model]

Conference ·
OSTI ID:7180535

This paper describes a comprehensive engineering-economic computer model used to simulate energy use in the residential sector from 1970 to 2000. The purpose of the model is to provide an analytical tool with which to evaluate a variety of conservation policies, technologies, and strategies for their impacts on residential energy use and fuel expenditures over time. The baseline forecast developed here shows total fuel use growing from 17.6 GGJ (10/sup 8/ joules) in 1975 to 26.4 GGJ in 2000, with an average annual growth rate of 1.7 percent. The percentage of household fuel provided by electricity grows from 44 percent in 1975 to 56 percent in 2000. The percentages provided by all other fuels decline over time. Alternative high and low forecasts show a range in annual fuel use growth from 1975 to 2000 of 2.1 percent to 0.3 percent.

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Lab., Tenn. (USA)
OSTI ID:
7180535
Report Number(s):
CONF-760648-1
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English