Simulating landscape change in the Olympic Peninsula using spatial ecological and socioeconomic data

Conference · Wed Jun 01 00:00:00 EDT 1994 · Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America; (United States)

OSTI ID:7075244

Flamm, R O ^[1]; Gottfried, R ^[2]; Lee, R G; Naiman, R J ^[3]; Turner, M G ^[4]; Wear, D ^[5]

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1. Florida Marine Research Institute, St. Petersburg, FL (United States)
2. Univ. of the South, Sewanee, TN (United States)
3. Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States)
4. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, TN (United States)
5. USDA Forest Service, Research Triangle Park, NC (United States)

Ecological and socioeconomic data were integrated to study landscape change for the Dungeness River basin in the Olympic Peninsula, Washington State. A multinomial logit procedure was used to evaluate twenty-two maps representing various data themes to derive transition probabilities of land cover change. Probabilities of forest disturbance were greater on private land than public. Between 1975 and 1988, forest cover increased, grassy/brushy covers decreased, and the number of forest patches increased about 30%. Simulations were run to estimate future land cover. These results were represented as frequency distributions for proportion cover and patch characteristics.

• OSTI ID: 7075244
• Report Number(s): CONF-940894-; CODEN: BECLAG
• Journal Information: Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America; (United States), Vol. 75:2; Conference: Annual Ecological Society of America (ESA) meeting: science and public policy, Knoxville, TN (United States), 7-11 Aug 1994; ISSN 0012-9623
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
LAND USE
FORECASTING
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS
TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION
WASHINGTON
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
DISTRIBUTION
ECOSYSTEMS
INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS
NORTH AMERICA
USA
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