Assumptions for the Annual Energy Outlook 1993. [Contains model documentation and regional maps]

Technical Report · Fri Jan 08 04:00:00 EST 1993

OSTI ID:7039891

This report is an auxiliary document to the Annual Energy Outlook 1993 (AEO) (DOE/EIA-0383(93)). It presents a detailed discussion of the assumptions underlying the forecasts in the AEO. The energy modeling system is an economic equilibrium system, with component demand modules representing end-use energy consumption by major end-use sector. Another set of modules represents petroleum, natural gas, coal, and electricity supply patterns and pricing. A separate module generates annual forecasts of important macroeconomic and industrial output variables. Interactions among these components of energy markets generate projections of prices and quantities for which energy supply equals energy demand. This equilibrium modeling system is referred to as the Intermediate Future Forecasting System (IFFS). The supply models in IFFS for oil, coal, natural gas, and electricity determine supply and price for each fuel depending upon consumption levels, while the demand models determine consumption depending upon end-use price. IFFS solves for market equilibrium for each fuel by balancing supply and demand to produce an energy balance in each forecast year.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States). Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting
• Sponsoring Organization: DOE; USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
• OSTI ID: 7039891
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0527(93); ON: DE93006304
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT
015000 -- Coal
Lignite
& Peat-- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
02 PETROLEUM
020700 -- Petroleum-- Economics
Industrial
& Business Aspects
03 NATURAL GAS
030600 -- Natural Gas-- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
296000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Electric Power
DEMAND
DEMAND FACTORS
ELECTRIC POWER
ELECTRICITY
ENERGY
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL GAS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASES
INDUSTRY
MARKET
NATURAL GAS
PETROLEUM
POWER
PRICES
RESIDENTIAL SECTOR
SUPPLY AND DEMAND
TRANSPORTATION SECTOR