Supply 77: EPRI annual energy supply forecasts. [Gas; petroleum; coal; nuclear; electricity; 1975-2000]

Technical Report · Mon May 01 04:00:00 EDT 1978

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/7036484· OSTI ID:7036484

Browne, T. E.; Chamberlin, J. H.; Halter, A. N.; Riley, R. E.; Searl, M. F.; Searls, J.; Urbanek, R. J.

Domestic energy production and prices by fuel type, as well as imports, are projected for the 1975 to 2000 period. Natural gas production is expected to increase gradually to 1990 and then decline. Output of domestic petroleum liquids, including shale oil, peaks in the 1990 to 1995 period and then declines. Shale oil output reaches one million barrels a day by the end of the century. Coal production capability increases throughout the period, reaching 2.6 billion tons per year by the year 2000, providing markets develop for this output level. Nuclear power growth is expected to accelerate above present trends later in the century, reaching 380 gigawatts in the year 2000. At this level, nuclear power would produce as much electricity as the burning of an additional 1.3 billion tons of coal. A reference electric power case and two other levels of output are presented. These levels of output are analyzed in connection with reference levels of fuel and construction costs, as well as variations on these reference levels. Measured in constant 1976 dollars, average revenue requirements per kilowatt-hour for electric power output range from a likely low of 3.52 cents per kilowatt-hour to a likely high of 3.99 cents per kilowatt-hour, with a reference case figure of 3.71 cents. The comparable figure for 1976 was 2.89 cents.

• Research Organization: Electric Power Research Inst., Palo Alto, Calif. (USA)
• OSTI ID: 7036484
• Report Number(s): EPRI-EA-634-SR
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
ACTINIDES
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
ELECTRIC POWER
ELEMENTS
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL GAS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASES
METALS
NATURAL GAS
NUCLEAR POWER
PETROLEUM
POWER
URANIUM