Global energy and carbon dioxide

Conference · Sun Aug 26 04:00:00 EDT 1984

OSTI ID:6944296

Reilly, J; Edmonds, J

The literature on energy and carbon dioxide (CO/sub 2/) emissions is reviewed and a brief overview of recent work using the IEA/ORAU long-term energy CO/sub 2/ model is given. It was designed to provide forecasts of carbon emissions explicitly based to energy and economic factors. Recent work has focused on developing three emissions scenarios; the extreme scenarios are presented as bracketing the range of likely future emissions rates. Ongoing work will use Monte Carlo techniques to assess uncertainty in future forecasts and attribute uncertainty to uncertainty in model assumptions and parameters. The paper concludes that the model and scenario construction exercises should serve to complement decisionmaking and interaction among scientists and policymakers.

• Research Organization: Institute for Energy Analysis, Washington, DC (USA)
• DOE Contract Number: AC05-76OR00033
• OSTI ID: 6944296
• Report Number(s): CONF-840851-5; ON: DE87004896
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

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CARBON COMPOUNDS
CARBON DIOXIDE
CARBON OXIDES
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