Environmental linkages in regional econometric impact-analysis models
In this study, environmental-quality factors are linked to an econometric model of the Evansville, Indiana/Kentucky regional economy, which is aplied to coal-based synthetic-fuels-development scenarios. After a review of regional input-output and simultaneous equation models for environmental analysis, the latter approach is shown to offer the most pragmatic tool for integrative regional modeling. An overview of the socio-economic portion of the Evansville Area econometric model is initially given. This is followed by a discussion of numerous methodological issues, including measurement error, functional form, and estimation method. Eight research hypotheses concerning environmental relationships are then presented, which are tested through the econometric estimation process. The model is estimated with pooled time-series, cross-sectional data, allowing for the environmental analysis of coal development projects on local communities in a multi-county, bi-state impact analysis region. Environmental equations estimated in the model include air quality by three major pollution categories, automobile traffic and commuting flows, water use and wastewater treatment, solid waste generation, and population density. Finally, the environmental impacts of alternative coal-development scenarios for the region through 1995 are forecasted, and are seen to be a function of not only the coal projects, but also net migration and population growth, employment in related local industries, per capita income levels, and national variables such as the GNP (in real terms).
- OSTI ID:
- 6943912
- Resource Relation:
- Other Information: Thesis (Ph. D.)
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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Related Subjects
29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
ENERGY MODELS
INDIANA
SYNTHETIC FUELS INDUSTRY
KENTUCKY
ECONOMIC IMPACT
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
REGIONAL ANALYSIS
COAL INDUSTRY
FEDERAL REGION IV
FEDERAL REGION V
INDUSTRY
NORTH AMERICA
USA
010900* - Coal
Lignite
& Peat- Environmental Aspects
530200 - Environmental-Social Aspects of Energy Technologies- Assessment of Energy Technologies- (-1989)
294001 - Energy Planning & Policy- Coal
295000 - Energy Planning & Policy- Hydrogen & Synthetic Fuels
290200 - Energy Planning & Policy- Economics & Sociology
290300 - Energy Planning & Policy- Environment
Health
& Safety