Nonutility demand for coal. Volume 1. Industrial coal demand. Final report
The potential for coal consumption in industrial boilers and non-boiler equipment is examined. Since expectations as to the extent of these demands are likely to change in the future, the analyses develop methodologies and approaches for the reader to evaluate competing coal demands in response to changing conditions. Forecasts are developed to illustrate use of the methodologies, but are not intended to represent absolute predictions of the future. Two methodologies are presented. The Industrial Boiler Fuel Choice Model forecasts fuel demands and fuel choice decisions for new and existing industrial boilers. A companion model, the Process Heat Model (PHM), covers fossil fuel use in non-boiler equipment plus by-product fuel use in both boiler and non-boiler equipment. These two models are useful tools for heating the importance of a great many market uncertainties that affect fuel use in the industrial sector. Such uncertainties include the level of fuel demand as it is affected by economic growth, energy conservation, and the pace of scheduled boiler retirements; costs of different fuels, equipment, and capital; and many different environmental and energy regulations. The methodologies developed in the course of this project have subsequently been incorported into an overall coal market forecast. The integrating tool for this was Coal and Electric Utilities Model (CEUM). Using a coal market model such as CEUM, it is possible to explore further the non-utility demands developed here, evaluating likely coal supply patterns and price effects. 12 figures, 83 tables.
- Research Organization:
- ICF, Inc., Washington, DC (USA)
- OSTI ID:
- 6903142
- Report Number(s):
- EPRI-EA-3456-Vol.1; ON: TI84920370
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
Similar Records
Reviving industrial coal use: a cast study of the United Kingdom
Short-term coal demand model. Technical memorandum TM/ESA/78-01. [Forecasting; by state]
Related Subjects
015000 -- Coal
Lignite
& Peat-- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290100 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Energy Analysis & Modeling
294001* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Coal
BOILER FUELS
BOILERS
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
COAL
COST
DATA
DECISION MAKING
DEMAND
ECONOMICS
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUELS
INFORMATION
LEGAL ASPECTS
MARKET
MATERIALS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
NORTH AMERICA
NUMERICAL DATA
THEORETICAL DATA
USA