Industrial market for sulfur dioxide emission-control systems. Final report. [Forecasting to 2000]

Technical Report · Sun Aug 01 04:00:00 EDT 1982

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6746636· OSTI ID:6746636

Under the postulated EIA medium world oil price scenario, in which oil prices are projected to rise at a real rate of 2.2% per year, coal will represent from 78 to 91% of MFBI fuel consumption by the year 2000, up from the present 16%. This increase would occur even in the absence of FUA, because the cost of coal is substantially lower than the cost of oil or gas. Much of this market will develop in the relatively near to intermediate term (before 1990). Annual installations will be much lower (by about 40%) after that period, reflecting a lower overall steam demand growth rate and the fact that much of the discretionary conversion of gas and oil boilers to coal will have been completed. About 22% of the sales will be for discretionary conversion of oil and gas boilers still having some useful life; the rest will be for nondiscretionary expansion or replacement of worn-out boilers. Under the postulated cost and performance estimates for the competing coal-burning technologies, we expect that AFB combustors and lime spray dryer FGD systems will dominate the market, with 42% of the market in our base case scenario. If the attitudes of the industrial decision-makers are factored into the analyses, particularly their aversion to FGD systems with wet wastes, the AFB and lime spray dryer technologies will capture as much as 73% of the coal-burning market. Costs for the various flue gas desulfurization (FGD) technologies were projected to be sufficiently close that the selection of one over another will depend on site-specific factors such as the availability of waste disposal facilities, the demonstrated reliability of the particular systems, and the vendor's reputation.

• Research Organization: Hagler, Bailly and Co., Washington, DC (USA)
• DOE Contract Number: AC21-80MC14729
• OSTI ID: 6746636
• Report Number(s): DOE/MC/14729-1243; ON: DE83002440
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT
010800 -- Coal
Lignite
& Peat-- Waste Management
015000 -- Coal
Lignite
& Peat-- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
02 PETROLEUM
020700 -- Petroleum-- Economics
Industrial
& Business Aspects
03 NATURAL GAS
030600 -- Natural Gas-- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS
200202* -- Fossil-Fueled Power Plants-- Waste Management-- Noxious Gas & Particulate Emissions
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
294001 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Coal
AIR POLLUTION
BOILER FUELS
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
CHALCOGENIDES
CHEMICAL REACTIONS
CLEAN AIR ACT
COAL
COAL GASIFICATION
COMBUSTORS
COMPARATIVE EVALUATIONS
DATA
DESULFURIZATION
DRY SCRUBBERS
ENERGY SOURCES
EQUIPMENT
FLUE GAS
FLUIDIZED-BED COMBUSTORS
FLUIDS
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FOSSIL-FUEL POWER PLANTS
FUEL GAS
FUEL OILS
FUEL SUBSTITUTION
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASEOUS WASTES
GASES
GASIFICATION
INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
INFORMATION
LAWS
LIQUID FUELS
MARKET
MATERIALS
NATIONAL ENERGY ACT
NATURAL GAS
NUMERICAL DATA
OILS
ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OTHER ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
OXIDES
OXYGEN COMPOUNDS
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
POLLUTION
POLLUTION CONTROL EQUIPMENT
POLLUTION LAWS
POLLUTION REGULATIONS
POWER PLANT AND INDUSTRIAL FUEL USE ACT
POWER PLANTS
PRICES
REGIONAL ANALYSIS
REGULATIONS
RETROFITTING
SCRUBBERS
SULFUR COMPOUNDS
SULFUR DIOXIDE
SULFUR OXIDES
THERMAL POWER PLANTS
THERMOCHEMICAL PROCESSES
WASTES