Load forecasting in today's environment

Conference · Sat Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1977 · Proc. Am. Power Conf.; (United States)

OSTI ID:6630316

McMahon, J A; Maxwell, L C

This paper examines the basic influences on load growth and alternative methodologies which can be used to quantify these influences, using specifically, experiences at the Tennessee Valley Authority. The TVA approach to load forecasting is designed mainly to explain four broad influences on load growth--economic activity, conservation, substitution of electricity for scarce fossil fuels, and increased use of electricity for pollution abatement in industry. TVA utilizes different methodological approaches in forecasting in order to quantify the four factors influencing load growth. These methodologies include trend forecasts, engineering models, and econometric models. These methods are combined with various sources of information including discussions with customers, surveys of pollution abatement and substitution, and forecasters' judgment in order to derive a forecast of electricity consumption. (MCW)

• Research Organization: Tennessee Valley Authority, Chattanooga
• OSTI ID: 6630316
• Report Number(s): CONF-770403-
• Conference Information: Journal Name: Proc. Am. Power Conf.; (United States) Journal Volume: 39
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS
200000 -- Fossil-Fueled Power Plants
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
296000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Electric Power
ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY
ELECTRIC UTILITIES
ENERGY CONSERVATION
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY POLICY
EVALUATION
FORECASTING
FUEL SUBSTITUTION
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
INDUSTRY
LAWS
LOAD MANAGEMENT
MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY ACT
NATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
POLLUTION ABATEMENT
POWER DEMAND
PUBLIC UTILITIES
TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY
US ORGANIZATIONS