Scenarios for future climate change: Results of GCM (General Circulation Model) simulations

Conference · Tue Sep 27 04:00:00 EDT 1988

OSTI ID:6501176

MacCracken, M C

The continuing emissions of gases that are able to increase the efficiency with which the atmosphere traps infrared radiation are beginning to alter the global climate. During the next century, theoretical simulations project that global average temperatures will rise by several degrees Celsius above their pre-industrial baseline and that precipitation patterns may shift seasonally and spatially. Although research is being intensified so that detailed regional estimates can be provided, projected increases in summer temperatures and the accompanying increased evaporation, especially during natural warm excursions such as the summer of 1988, appear to pose troubling conditions for water supplies, agriculture, transport, and other activities dependent on water resources. 9 refs.

• Research Organization: Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (USA)
• DOE Contract Number: W-7405-ENG-48
• OSTI ID: 6501176
• Report Number(s): UCRL-100144; CONF-8809282-1; ON: DE89006151
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

500200* -- Environment
Atmospheric-- Chemicals Monitoring & Transport-- (-1989)
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
CARBON COMPOUNDS
CARBON DIOXIDE
CARBON OXIDES
CHALCOGENIDES
CLIMATES
COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION
ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS
EVALUATION
EVAPORATION
FORECASTING
GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS
GLOBAL ASPECTS
GREENHOUSE EFFECT
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MODIFICATIONS
OXIDES
OXYGEN COMPOUNDS
PHASE TRANSFORMATIONS
RESOURCES
SIMULATION
WATER RESOURCES